Signal Comparison

NVDA vs MSFT — Signal Comparison

SPY regime: 🟡 Chop RegimeT1 win rate this regime: 44%
Verdict

As of August 27, 2026, NVDA has a stronger EdgeOS setup with a Bear Count 1 (SCTR 3.7, choppy regime) vs MSFT which has no active signal (SCTR 9.5). NVDA's T1 setup has a 44% historical win rate in choppy regimes (799k signals, 7-year backtest). The current SPY regime is choppy.

NVDABear Count 1
$209.66
SCTR Score
3.7
Bearish (<4)
Trend
Confirmed
Confirmed Bear
Ext Score
Extended
1.82
Win Rate
Buy Trigger$214.53
+1 ATR Target$219.31
Stop Level$211.57
Full NVDA analysis →
MSFTNo Active Signal
$496.37
SCTR Score
9.5
Bullish (>9)
Trend
Confirmed
Confirmed Bull
Ext Score
Extended
18.18
Win Rate
Buy Trigger$494.46
+1 ATR Target$503.38
Stop Level$488.96
Full MSFT analysis →

NVDA vs MSFT — Comparison Table

MetricNVDAMSFT
Price$209.66$496.37
Change %
SCTR Score3.79.5
SignalBear Count 1No Active Signal
TrendConfirmed BearConfirmed Bull
Ext ScoreExtendedExtended
Trigger Price$214.53$494.46

How EdgeOS Signals Work for Stock Comparison

EdgeOS (Edge Operating System) scans ~3,000 liquid US equities on the daily timeframe using the SCTR score (Stock Chart Technical Rank, 0–100) as the primary momentum filter. A T1 ignition fires when: (1) the bull counter crosses from 0 to 1, (2) SCTR is above 9, and (3) price closes above the Saty ATR +0.236 trigger level. This combination produced a 55% win rate in bull regimes across 799,000 signals over 7 years.

When comparing two stocks, SCTR matters for ranking — not as a hard entry gate. The 7-year backtest showed that lower SCTR stocks in confirmed bull trends outperform high-SCTR stocks (18.7% vs 14.7% progression rate to the +1 ATR target). SCTR measures accumulated momentum, while the signal itself measures the timing of the momentum shift.

The extension score is critical for comparing two active signals: a Tight (0–0.4) extension means the stock is near its Saty ATR baseline with room to run, while an Extended (>1.2) score indicates the stock has moved far from equilibrium and carries higher risk. When both NVDA and MSFT have active signals, prefer the one with a lower extension score.

Frequently Asked Questions — NVDA vs MSFT

Which is a better buy, NVDA or MSFT?
As of August 27, 2026, NVDA has a stronger EdgeOS setup with a Bear Count 1 (SCTR 3.7, choppy regime) vs MSFT which has no active signal (SCTR 9.5). NVDA's T1 setup has a 44% historical win rate in choppy regimes (799k signals, 7-year backtest). The current SPY regime is choppy.
What is NVDA's current trading signal?
NVDA currently has a Bear Count 1 signal on the daily timeframe. SCTR is 3.7 (Bearish (<4)). Trend: Confirmed Bear. Buy trigger $214.53 · Target $219.31 · Stop $211.57.
What is MSFT's SCTR score?
MSFT's SCTR score is 9.5. Above 9 — bullish momentum zone. EdgeOS bull signals require SCTR above 9.
What is the historical win rate for T1 signals?
T1 ignition signals have a 55% win rate in bull regimes, 44% in choppy markets, and 38% in bear regimes, based on 799,000 signals from a 7-year backtest. The current SPY regime is 🟡 Chop Regime, so the adjusted T1 win rate is 44%. These numbers apply when entering within 1% of the buy trigger price with proper stop placement below the lower trigger level.

Signal data updated every 5 minutes from live EdgeOS scans · For informational purposes only · Not investment advice · Past performance does not guarantee future results.