EdgeOS Signal State

MSFT— Microsoft

Exhaustion (11)
⚡ Strong Entry
🔵 Long Term
Last close: $535.07

As of October 12, 2026, Microsoft (MSFT) has a Exhaustion (11) signal: bull count 11, SCTR 12.4 (bullish zone, above 9), Confirmed Bull trend. Buy trigger $525.40 · Target $534.45 · Stop $519.82. 83% historical T1 win rate in bull regimes (799k signals, 7-year backtest). Active signals: Strong Entry (Williams %R ≥ −35 and price above Donchian channel midpoint); Long-Term alignment (bull counter 11 — 3+ bars in bull campaign).

SPY regime: 🟡 Chop Regime · Historical T1 win rate this regime: 44% · Full stats →
Bull Count
11
Exhaustion zone
Bear Count
—
No bear signal
SCTR Score
12.4
Bullish (>9)
Trend
Confirmed
Confirmed Bull

Saty ATR Price Levels (daily)

Wilder ATR · Swing timeframe
+1 ATR TargetProfit target
-0.1%$534.45
Buy TriggerEntry level
-1.8%$525.40
Last CloseCurrent
+0.0%$535.07
Stop LevelStop loss
-2.9%$519.82
−1 ATR TargetBear target
-4.5%$510.77
Extension score: Extended(23.37)⚠ Overextended — higher risk entry
Historical Win Rate — This Setup
83%
historical win rate at +1ATR target (n=799k)
Full stats →

What this signal means for MSFT

Count 11 — Exhaustion Zone. T1 ignition fires at count 1; count 9, 11, and 13 are Fibonacci exhaustion levels where the move often pauses or reverses. This is a trim/exit zone, not an entry. Historical data shows 83.1% of signals that reach the +1 ATR target do so before exhaustion. At count 11, new entries carry substantially higher risk.

SCTR 12.4 measures MSFT's technical rank relative to all other stocks. EdgeOS requires SCTR > 9 for bull signals and < 4 for bear signals on the daily timeframe. At 12.4, MSFT has confirmed bullish relative strength. How SCTR works →

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💬 Community — $MSFT Discussion

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@tradervaluebullish12h · #signals

⭐ Watchlist movers (29 of 29 symbols) __🚀 Gainers__ ⚪ DOCN $134.82 **+8.81%** bull=0 OEW 0.1 🤖▓▓░░░░░░░░20% 📅Day $135.07→$135.88 📊Multi $135.38→$137.19 📆Swing $125.98→$132.70 🗓️Pos $136.81→$143.24 Mkt **?** · ADV $335M · ↑Bull SCTR 0 · 🔴Ext _📐 Trend: ↑UpTrend (Stage 2) · Accumulation · Cup & Handle 95% · Double Top 81%_ _📊 ADX 16 〰️Chop +DI 28.5 -DI 24.7_ _🛑 VolStop $120.70 ↑Long_ 🟢 DDOG $293.26 **+7.11%** bull=1 OEW 7.4 🤖▓▓░░░░░░░░20% 📅Day $293.60→$294.68 📊Multi $294.01→$296.44 📆Swing $276.58→$285.60 🗓️Pos $295.93→$304.56 Mkt **?** · ADV $796M · ↑Bull SCTR 15 · 🔴Ext _📐 Trend: ↑UpTrend (Stage 2) · Accumulation · Inv. Head & Shoulders 61%_ _📊 ADX 31 📈Trending +DI 34.4 -DI 11.9_ _🔀 DI: 🟢 +DI▲ ✅Confirmed (17d ago) · trigger $236.86_ _🛑 VolStop $258.12 ↑Long_ ⚪ AKAM $106.95 **+6.00%** bull=0 OEW -2.6 🤖▓▓░░░░░░░░20% 📅Day $107.12→$10

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@tradervalueneutral12h · #signals

⭐ Watchlist movers (29 of 29 symbols) __🚀 Gainers__ ⚪ DOCN $134.82 **+8.81%** bull=0 OEW 0.1 🤖▓▓░░░░░░░░20% 📅Day $135.07→$135.88 📊Multi $135.38→$137.19 📆Swing $125.98→$132.70 🗓️Pos $136.81→$143.24 Mkt **?** · ADV $335M · ↑Bull SCTR 0 · 🔴Ext _📐 Trend: ↑UpTrend (Stage 2) · Accumulation · Cup & Handle 95% · Double Top 81%_ _📊 ADX 16 〰️Chop +DI 28.5 -DI 24.7_ _🛑 VolStop $120.70 ↑Long_ 🟢 DDOG $293.26 **+7.11%** bull=1 OEW 7.4 🤖▓▓░░░░░░░░20% 📅Day $293.60→$294.68 📊Multi $294.01→$296.44 📆Swing $276.58→$285.60 🗓️Pos $295.93→$304.56 Mkt **?** · ADV $796M · ↑Bull SCTR 15 · 🔴Ext _📐 Trend: ↑UpTrend (Stage 2) · Accumulation · Inv. Head & Shoulders 61%_ _📊 ADX 31 📈Trending +DI 34.4 -DI 11.9_ _🔀 DI: 🟢 +DI▲ ✅Confirmed (17d ago) · trigger $236.86_ _🛑 VolStop $258.12 ↑Long_ ⚪ AKAM $106.95 **+6.00%** bull=0 OEW -2.6 🤖▓▓░░░░░░░░20% 📅Day $107.12→$10

👍 0💬 0
@tradervaluebullish12h · #signals

⭐ Watchlist movers (29 of 29 symbols) __🚀 Gainers__ ⚪ DOCN $134.82 **+8.81%** bull=0 OEW 0.1 🤖▓▓░░░░░░░░20% 📅Day $135.07→$135.88 📊Multi $135.38→$137.19 📆Swing $125.98→$132.70 🗓️Pos $136.81→$143.24 Mkt **?** · ADV $335M · ↑Bull SCTR 0 · 🔴Ext _📐 Trend: ↑UpTrend (Stage 2) · Accumulation · Cup & Handle 95% · Double Top 81%_ _📊 ADX 16 〰️Chop +DI 28.5 -DI 24.7_ _🛑 VolStop $120.70 ↑Long_ 🟢 DDOG $293.26 **+7.11%** bull=1 OEW 7.4 🤖▓▓░░░░░░░░20% 📅Day $293.60→$294.68 📊Multi $294.01→$296.44 📆Swing $276.58→$285.60 🗓️Pos $295.93→$304.56 Mkt **?** · ADV $796M · ↑Bull SCTR 15 · 🔴Ext _📐 Trend: ↑UpTrend (Stage 2) · Accumulation · Inv. Head & Shoulders 61%_ _📊 ADX 31 📈Trending +DI 34.4 -DI 11.9_ _🔀 DI: 🟢 +DI▲ ✅Confirmed (17d ago) · trigger $236.86_ _🛑 VolStop $258.12 ↑Long_ ⚪ AKAM $106.95 **+6.00%** bull=0 OEW -2.6 🤖▓▓░░░░░░░░20% 📅Day $107.12→$10

👍 0💬 0
@tradervalueneutral12h · #signals

⭐ Watchlist movers (29 of 29 symbols) __🚀 Gainers__ ⚪ DOCN $134.82 **+8.81%** bull=0 OEW 0.1 🤖▓▓░░░░░░░░20% 📅Day $135.07→$135.88 📊Multi $135.38→$137.19 📆Swing $125.98→$132.70 🗓️Pos $136.81→$143.24 Mkt **?** · ADV $335M · ↑Bull SCTR 0 · 🔴Ext _📐 Trend: ↑UpTrend (Stage 2) · Accumulation · Cup & Handle 95% · Double Top 81%_ _📊 ADX 16 〰️Chop +DI 28.5 -DI 24.7_ _🛑 VolStop $120.70 ↑Long_ 🟢 DDOG $293.26 **+7.11%** bull=1 OEW 7.4 🤖▓▓░░░░░░░░20% 📅Day $293.60→$294.68 📊Multi $294.01→$296.44 📆Swing $276.58→$285.60 🗓️Pos $295.93→$304.56 Mkt **?** · ADV $796M · ↑Bull SCTR 15 · 🔴Ext _📐 Trend: ↑UpTrend (Stage 2) · Accumulation · Inv. Head & Shoulders 61%_ _📊 ADX 31 📈Trending +DI 34.4 -DI 11.9_ _🔀 DI: 🟢 +DI▲ ✅Confirmed (17d ago) · trigger $236.86_ _🛑 VolStop $258.12 ↑Long_ ⚪ AKAM $106.95 **+6.00%** bull=0 OEW -2.6 🤖▓▓░░░░░░░░20% 📅Day $107.12→$10

👍 0💬 0
@tradervaluebullish12h · #signals

⭐ Watchlist movers (29 of 29 symbols) __🚀 Gainers__ ⚪ DOCN $134.82 **+8.81%** bull=0 OEW 0.1 🤖▓▓░░░░░░░░20% 📅Day $135.07→$135.88 📊Multi $135.38→$137.19 📆Swing $125.98→$132.70 🗓️Pos $136.81→$143.24 Mkt **?** · ADV $335M · ↑Bull SCTR 0 · 🔴Ext _📐 Trend: ↑UpTrend (Stage 2) · Accumulation · Cup & Handle 95% · Double Top 81%_ _📊 ADX 16 〰️Chop +DI 28.5 -DI 24.7_ _🛑 VolStop $120.70 ↑Long_ 🟢 DDOG $293.26 **+7.11%** bull=1 OEW 7.4 🤖▓▓░░░░░░░░20% 📅Day $293.60→$294.68 📊Multi $294.01→$296.44 📆Swing $276.58→$285.60 🗓️Pos $295.93→$304.56 Mkt **?** · ADV $796M · ↑Bull SCTR 15 · 🔴Ext _📐 Trend: ↑UpTrend (Stage 2) · Accumulation · Inv. Head & Shoulders 61%_ _📊 ADX 31 📈Trending +DI 34.4 -DI 11.9_ _🔀 DI: 🟢 +DI▲ ✅Confirmed (17d ago) · trigger $236.86_ _🛑 VolStop $258.12 ↑Long_ ⚪ AKAM $106.95 **+6.00%** bull=0 OEW -2.6 🤖▓▓░░░░░░░░20% 📅Day $107.12→$10

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Frequently Asked Questions — MSFT

Does MSFT have a T1 ignition signal today?
No. MSFT does not currently have a T1 ignition on the daily timeframe. Current bull count is 11. A T1 fires when the EdgeOS bull counter crosses from 0 to 1 with SCTR above 9.
What is MSFT's SCTR score?
MSFT's SCTR score is 12.4 out of 100. This is in the bullish zone (above 9), indicating strong relative momentum. EdgeOS requires SCTR above 9 for bull signals and below 4 for bear signals.
What is the buy trigger price for MSFT?
The EdgeOS buy trigger for MSFT is $525.40 (Saty ATR +0.236 level). Profit target: $534.45 (+1 ATR). Stop loss: below $519.82.
What is the historical win rate for MSFT T1 signals?
T1 ignition signals on the daily timeframe have a 55% win rate in bull market regimes across 799,000 signals over a 7-year backtest. In choppy markets the win rate is 44%; in bear regimes it is 38%. The current SPY regime is 🟡 Chop Regime (44% historical T1 win rate). Individual results for MSFT depend on entry timing, market regime, and position management.
What is MSFT's GEX (gamma exposure) level?
MSFT GEX data requires options chain data from Tradier. GEX (Gamma Exposure) measures net dealer gamma at each strike. The Zero Gamma flip level is the price where dealer hedging switches from stabilizing (PG regime) to amplifying (NG regime). Above the flip = PG; below = NG. GEX levels act as dynamic support and resistance.
What is the Oracle ML signal for MSFT today?
The Oracle ML engine computes a BUY, SELL, or NEUTRAL signal for MSFT every 30 minutes using five weighted inputs: Pattern (30%, multi-timeframe EdgeOS alignment), Market Internals (25%, QQQ/IWM/VIX/GLD/TLT composite), Momentum (18%, RSI + velocity + DMI crossover), Structure (12%, VWAP + EMA + range position), and Flow (15%, EdgeOS options flow direction). Signal fires BUY when composite > +0.12, SELL when < -0.12. Open the TraderValue workspace for the live intraday Oracle signal.
When are MSFT's next earnings and what is the expected move?
MSFT earnings date is not currently confirmed in the next 90 days. When earnings approach, the options market prices in an expected move via the ATM straddle (call + put price at the nearest strike to spot). TraderValue tracks the last 8 quarters of EPS results and post-earnings price reactions for MSFT.
What chart patterns is MSFT showing?
MSFT is not currently showing any high-confidence chart patterns (above 55%). TraderValue scans 17 patterns nightly including bull flag, cup and handle, head and shoulders, double bottom, ascending triangle, and more.
What is the analyst rating for MSFT?
Analyst ratings for MSFT aggregate Wall Street buy/hold/sell recommendations and price targets from major investment banks. TraderValue combines analyst consensus with EdgeOS technical signals for the highest-conviction setups.
What is MSFT's P/E ratio and key fundamentals?
MSFT key fundamentals including P/E ratio, market cap, EPS, and 52-week range are available in the TraderValue workspace alongside live EdgeOS technical signals.
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