T1 Ignition Signals — Wednesday, August 12, 2026

EdgeOS scanned ~3,000 liquid US equities and identified 134 qualified signals.

CHOP REGIMEHistorical T1 win rate: 44% in Chop regimes(7-yr backtest · 799k signals)🟢 109 bull   🔴 25 bear

Signal Snapshot

On Wednesday, August 12, 2026, the EdgeOS scanner identified 109 T1 ignition signals in a Chop market regime. The SPY SCTR was in the Chop zone, which corresponds to a historical T1 win rate of 44% based on 7-year backtests across 799,000+ signals. Bull T1 ignitions fired on: AEHL, NBIL, FCEL, CDNA, AEVA, NBIS, OUST, AXTI, CRWG, WYFI, UMAC, TECL, BEX, PSNL, SMCX, VAC, SITM, CRWV, MTRN, BE, SMCI, UMC, INTC, VSAT, GH, BRUN, COHX, USD, AAOI, QBTS, POET, FLEX, SMTC, NEBX, AAOX, DCO, MPC, ATRO, MRX, NVDX, RKLX, BRZE, WEN, CHAT, PRAX, RKLB, SOXQ, SOXX, MRCY, MRNA, LFUS, LITE, MTSI, BULL, LITX, SANM, CCC, TSMX, PSI, APH, FTXL, BELFB, ACLS, IREN, VECO, EWY, SOLV, IVZ, AVGO, TTMI, EMBJ, SXI, APLD, BAI, NVDA, PLXS, MSGS, FIVE, ASTX, FN, ROIV, TD, CGON, OMF, VIAV, SPMO, NOK, SRRK, SEI, HWC, EWBC, STUB, ASTS, IRTC, PRMB, LIVN, MTUM, RIO, RPRX, VLY, ECG, SBUX, ONB, Q, LYV, IHG, C, CACC, CHPY. Bear ignitions: TXT, BITB, IBIT, FBTC, AS, GBTC, BITO, GSK, BIRK, BBWI, LIN, ESLT, DECK, ELAN, EYE, BITX, SGI, STLA, CE, LII, TPL, WING, MUD, LABD, NBIZ. A T1 ignition occurs when a stock's bull counter crosses from 0 to 1 with SCTR above 9, confirming the start of a new bullish count cycle. Entry is above the trigger price; the ATR-derived target and stop define the trade's risk/reward.

The 55% historical win rate for T1 ignitions applies in bull regimes. In chop, it drops to 44%; in bear regimes, 38%. Risk management and SCTR band matter: signals with SCTR in the High or VH band (above 6.0) historically outperform those in the Mid band.

🟢 T1 Ignition Signals (109)

SymbolSCTRBandTrendCloseTriggerTargetStopExt
AEHL270.8VHConfirmed Bull$5.08$5.58$6.15$5.22🔵 Tight
NBIL48.2VHConfirmed Bull$34.85$22.28$27.38$19.14🔴 Ext
FCEL39.4VHConfirmed Bull$21.67$19.89$22.11$18.51🔵 Tight
CDNA39.2VHConfirmed Bull$47.31$47.75$49.42$46.71🔵 Tight
AEVA38.3VHConfirmed Bull$25.16$24.66$26.59$23.46🔵 Tight
NBIS35.5VHConfirmed Bull$259.20$199.48$219.71$186.98🔴 Ext
OUST35.4VHConfirmed Bull$46.12$46.27$49.94$43.99🔵 Tight
AXTI35.4VHConfirmed Bull$78.47$76.30$84.46$71.26🔵 Tight
CRWG33.4VHConfirmed Bull$30.25$22.90$26.00$20.98🔴 Ext
WYFI31.3VHConfirmed Bull$28.58$25.06$27.77$23.38🔴 Ext
UMAC30.7VHConfirmed Bull$27.03$26.56$28.48$25.38🔵 Tight
TECL30.3VHConfirmed Bull$214.05$208.65$220.61$201.25🔵 Tight
BEX29.6VHFluid Bull$29.53$25.32$30.80$21.94🔵 Tight
PSNL28.5VHConfirmed Bull$14.21$14.22$14.87$13.82🔵 Tight
SMCX26.2VHConfirmed Bull$12.55$9.54$10.69$8.84🔴 Ext
VAC24.6VHConfirmed Bull$119.33$116.22$120.64$113.50🔵 Tight
SITM24.5VHConfirmed Bull$680.52$679.87$721.20$654.33🔵 Tight
CRWV24.1VHConfirmed Bull$107.73$92.30$98.69$88.34🔴 Ext
MTRN24.0VHConfirmed Bull$283.26$285.06$298.83$276.54🔵 Tight
BE23.8VHConfirmed Bull$237.16$217.56$238.13$204.86🔵 Tight
SMCI23.8VHConfirmed Bull$37.61$32.20$34.13$31.00🔴 Ext
UMC22.7VHneutral$19.31$19.26$20.29$18.62🔵 Tight
INTC22.2VHFluid Bull$100.95$99.45$105.10$95.97🔵 Tight
VSAT22.0VHConfirmed Bull$87.23$85.94$90.54$83.10🔵 Tight
GH21.7VHConfirmed Bull$165.11$166.98$173.10$163.20🔵 Tight
BRUN21.5VHFluid Bull$22.17$19.25$21.33$17.97🔴 Ext
COHX21.4VHConfirmed Bull$38.47$34.53$40.13$31.07🔵 Tight
USD20.5VHConfirmed Bull$93.83$90.91$96.15$87.67🔵 Tight
AAOI19.5VHConfirmed Bull$138.08$138.08$150.24$130.58🔵 Tight
QBTS19.4VHConfirmed Bull$20.74$20.60$21.80$19.86🔵 Tight
POET19.4VHFluid Bull$8.87$8.78$9.40$8.40🔵 Tight
FLEX18.9VHFluid Bull$124.53$124.45$131.05$120.37🔵 Tight
SMTC18.7VHConfirmed Bull$140.00$133.81$142.33$128.55🔵 Tight
NEBX18.5VHFluid Bull$35.74$22.97$28.66$19.45🔴 Ext
AAOX18.3VHFluid Bull$20.95$20.95$24.76$18.59🔵 Tight
DCO18.3VHConfirmed Bull$201.39$199.25$205.70$195.27🔵 Tight
MPC17.3VHConfirmed Bull$348.25$339.21$348.25$333.63🔵 Tight
ATRO17.0VHConfirmed Bull$87.89$76.03$79.66$73.79🔴 Ext
MRX16.9VHConfirmed Bull$71.13$60.74$63.38$59.12🔴 Ext
NVDX16.4VHConfirmed Bull$20.59$19.73$20.72$19.11🔵 Tight
RKLX16.2VHFluid Bull$24.89$25.25$28.49$23.25🔵 Tight
BRZE15.9VHConfirmed Bull$27.68$28.59$29.78$27.85🔵 Tight
WEN15.7VHConfirmed Bull$8.66$7.67$8.04$7.43🔴 Ext
CHAT15.6VHConfirmed Bull$92.69$89.20$92.07$87.44🔴 Ext
PRAX15.4VHConfirmed Bull$386.33$375.45$390.88$365.91🔵 Tight
RKLB15.2VHFluid Bull$81.17$81.53$86.47$78.49🔵 Tight
SOXQ15.1VHConfirmed Bull$97.56$96.27$99.77$94.11🔵 Tight
SOXX15.0VHConfirmed Bull$546.61$540.52$560.99$527.88🔵 Tight
MRCY14.9VHConfirmed Bull$111.64$110.53$115.01$107.77🔵 Tight
MRNA14.9VHConfirmed Bull$63.67$61.50$64.53$59.64🔵 Tight
LFUS14.8VHConfirmed Bull$459.01$458.54$473.66$449.20🔵 Tight
LITE14.8VHConfirmed Bull$932.47$840.48$904.87$800.70🔴 Ext
MTSI14.7VHConfirmed Bull$310.75$304.78$320.49$295.08🔵 Tight
BULL14.7VHConfirmed Bull$7.67$7.65$7.92$7.49🔵 Tight
LITX14.7VHConfirmed Bull$34.54$28.70$33.07$26.00🔴 Ext
SANM14.5VHFluid Bull$208.90$206.20$217.36$199.30🔵 Tight
CCC14.5VHConfirmed Bull$6.97$6.95$7.19$6.79🔵 Tight
TSMX14.4VHConfirmed Bull$81.68$80.62$84.94$77.94🔵 Tight
PSI14.3VHConfirmed Bull$150.97$147.25$154.02$143.07🔵 Tight
APH14.1VHConfirmed Bull$169.96$168.87$174.18$165.59🔵 Tight
FTXL14.0VHConfirmed Bull$237.25$234.08$243.21$228.44🔵 Tight
BELFB14.0VHConfirmed Bull$294.45$294.19$307.44$286.01🔵 Tight
ACLS13.6VHConfirmed Bull$142.14$137.75$145.50$132.97🔵 Tight
IREN13.6VHConfirmed Bull$43.67$40.71$43.80$38.79🔵 Tight
VECO13.5VHFluid Bull$53.26$51.18$54.47$49.14🔵 Tight
EWY13.4VHConfirmed Bull$175.87$169.42$176.47$165.06🔵 Tight
SOLV13.4VHConfirmed Bull$85.29$84.79$87.03$83.41🔵 Tight
IVZ13.2VHConfirmed Bull$31.54$31.58$32.29$31.14🔵 Tight
AVGO12.9VHneutral$416.05$419.81$431.89$412.35🔵 Tight
TTMI12.9VHFluid Bull$138.10$133.73$143.42$127.75🔵 Tight
EMBJ12.6VHConfirmed Bull$73.96$72.01$74.00$70.77🔵 Tight
SXI12.6VHConfirmed Bull$330.53$330.73$341.08$324.33🔵 Tight
APLD12.5VHFluid Bull$31.15$30.34$32.46$29.04🔵 Tight
BAI12.5VHConfirmed Bull$46.04$44.92$46.53$43.92🔵 Tight
NVDA12.3VHConfirmed Bull$224.09$219.27$225.01$215.73🔵 Tight
PLXS12.1VHConfirmed Bull$271.95$273.42$283.46$267.22🔵 Tight
MSGS12.0VHConfirmed Bull$414.12$396.08$404.53$390.86🔴 Ext
FIVE11.8VHConfirmed Bull$238.15$236.14$242.31$232.33🔵 Tight
ASTX11.8VHFluid Bull$16.62$16.21$18.36$14.89🔵 Tight
FN11.5VHConfirmed Bull$571.88$535.56$566.91$516.20🔴 Ext
ROIV11.2VHConfirmed Bull$36.16$35.55$36.53$34.95🔵 Tight
TD11.1VHConfirmed Bull$123.31$121.84$123.38$120.90🔵 Tight
CGON11.0VHConfirmed Bull$76.99$77.85$80.52$76.21🔵 Tight
OMF11.0VHConfirmed Bull$64.65$64.04$65.24$63.30🔵 Tight
VIAV10.9VHConfirmed Bull$43.11$39.21$41.85$37.59🔴 Ext
SPMO10.9VHConfirmed Bull$151.21$149.57$152.86$147.55🔵 Tight
NOK10.8VHFluid Bull$10.32$9.59$10.09$9.29🔴 Ext
SRRK10.7VHConfirmed Bull$53.82$52.66$54.56$51.48🔵 Tight
SEI10.7VHFluid Bull$61.80$59.96$63.73$57.62🔵 Tight
HWC10.7VHConfirmed Bull$79.04$78.60$79.81$77.84🔵 Tight
EWBC10.6VHConfirmed Bull$135.05$133.59$135.39$132.49🔵 Tight
STUB10.6VHConfirmed Bear$8.54$8.32$8.74$8.06🔵 Tight
ASTS10.5VHConfirmed Bull$74.31$73.05$77.66$70.21🔵 Tight
IRTC10.5VHConfirmed Bull$125.35$123.29$127.89$120.45🔵 Tight
PRMB10.3VHConfirmed Bull$23.91$23.83$24.53$23.39🔵 Tight
LIVN10.3VHConfirmed Bull$80.78$79.29$81.57$77.87🔵 Tight
MTUM10.2VHConfirmed Bull$314.73$310.61$317.94$306.07🔵 Tight
RIO10.1VHConfirmed Bull$101.22$101.51$103.21$100.47🔵 Tight
RPRX9.9VHConfirmed Bull$59.22$58.12$59.20$57.46🔵 Tight
VLY9.9VHConfirmed Bull$14.93$14.84$15.06$14.70🔵 Tight
ECG9.7VHConfirmed Bull$140.00$136.52$143.12$132.44🔵 Tight
SBUX9.7VHConfirmed Bull$108.49$107.34$109.53$105.98🔵 Tight
ONB9.7VHConfirmed Bull$27.08$26.95$27.32$26.73🔵 Tight
Q9.7VHConfirmed Bull$142.08$140.05$145.89$136.43🔵 Tight
LYV9.4VHConfirmed Bull$185.33$184.46$188.10$182.20🔵 Tight
IHG9.3VHConfirmed Bull$161.82$156.68$159.29$155.06🔴 Ext
C9.3VHConfirmed Bull$137.58$136.58$139.19$134.96🔵 Tight
CACC9.3VHConfirmed Bear$577.25$577.16$593.20$567.26🔵 Tight
CHPY9.1VHFluid Bull$71.43$71.35$73.90$69.77🔵 Tight
AEHLT1 IGNITIONSCTR 270.8 · Confirmed Bull

AEHL generated a T1 ignition signal on Wednesday, August 12, 2026 with the bull counter crossing to 1. The stock closed at $5.08 with a buy trigger above $5.58. ATR-based target is $6.15 with a stop below $5.22. SCTR 270.8 places this in the VH band (above median — historically better WR).

NBILT1 IGNITIONSCTR 48.2 · Confirmed Bull

NBIL generated a T1 ignition signal on Wednesday, August 12, 2026 with the bull counter crossing to 1. The stock closed at $34.85 with a buy trigger above $22.28. ATR-based target is $27.38 with a stop below $19.14. SCTR 48.2 places this in the VH band (above median — historically better WR).

FCELT1 IGNITIONSCTR 39.4 · Confirmed Bull

FCEL generated a T1 ignition signal on Wednesday, August 12, 2026 with the bull counter crossing to 1. The stock closed at $21.67 with a buy trigger above $19.89. ATR-based target is $22.11 with a stop below $18.51. SCTR 39.4 places this in the VH band (above median — historically better WR).

CDNAT1 IGNITIONSCTR 39.2 · Confirmed Bull

CDNA generated a T1 ignition signal on Wednesday, August 12, 2026 with the bull counter crossing to 1. The stock closed at $47.31 with a buy trigger above $47.75. ATR-based target is $49.42 with a stop below $46.71. SCTR 39.2 places this in the VH band (above median — historically better WR).

AEVAT1 IGNITIONSCTR 38.3 · Confirmed Bull

AEVA generated a T1 ignition signal on Wednesday, August 12, 2026 with the bull counter crossing to 1. The stock closed at $25.16 with a buy trigger above $24.66. ATR-based target is $26.59 with a stop below $23.46. SCTR 38.3 places this in the VH band (above median — historically better WR).

NBIST1 IGNITIONSCTR 35.5 · Confirmed Bull

NBIS generated a T1 ignition signal on Wednesday, August 12, 2026 with the bull counter crossing to 1. The stock closed at $259.20 with a buy trigger above $199.48. ATR-based target is $219.71 with a stop below $186.98. SCTR 35.5 places this in the VH band (above median — historically better WR).

🔴 Bear Ignition Signals (25)

SymbolSCTRTrendCloseShort BelowTargetStop
TXT3.2Fluid Bull$88.89$87.60$85.61$88.82
BITB2.9Confirmed Bear$34.38$34.24$33.64$34.62
IBIT2.9Confirmed Bear$35.89$35.74$35.09$36.14
FBTC2.9Confirmed Bear$55.11$54.93$53.95$55.53
AS2.8Confirmed Bear$33.03$33.53$32.51$34.17
GBTC2.8Confirmed Bear$49.04$48.86$47.99$49.40
BITO2.4Confirmed Bear$8.55$8.52$8.36$8.62
GSK2.0Confirmed Bear$50.30$50.61$49.68$51.19
BIRK1.8Confirmed Bear$36.74$37.03$35.62$37.91
BBWI1.3Confirmed Bear$18.13$18.68$18.02$19.08
LIN1.2Confirmed Bear$479.43$487.99$479.77$493.07
ESLT0.9Confirmed Bear$779.51$769.55$748.39$782.61
DECK0.4Confirmed Bear$91.20$92.99$90.25$94.69
ELAN0.2Confirmed Bear$22.13$22.45$21.54$23.01
EYE0.2Confirmed Bear$19.51$21.82$21.03$22.30
BITX-0.1Confirmed Bear$11.77$11.68$11.24$11.96
SGI-0.8Confirmed Bear$64.25$64.57$62.42$65.91
STLA-2.2Confirmed Bear$5.35$5.40$5.24$5.50
CE-2.4Confirmed Bear$43.31$44.35$42.75$45.33
LII-3.5Confirmed Bear$420.91$426.28$411.57$435.38
TPL-4.5Confirmed Bear$342.77$360.43$345.72$369.51
WING-6.3Confirmed Bear$112.08$109.48$103.41$113.24
MUD-7.8Confirmed Bear$11.09$11.41$10.62$11.91
LABD-8.8Confirmed Bear$7.28$7.32$6.80$7.64
NBIZ-22.9Confirmed Bear$5.31$15.20$11.07$17.74

Frequently Asked Questions

How many T1 ignition signals fired on Wednesday, August 12, 2026?

EdgeOS identified 109 bull T1 ignitions and 25 bear ignitions on Wednesday, August 12, 2026. The scanner filters to ~3,000 liquid US equities with ADV ≥ $40M and price ≥ $5.00.

What is the historical win rate for T1 ignitions?

In a Chop regime (current on Wednesday, August 12, 2026), the historical win rate is 44% based on 7-year backtests across 799,000+ signals. In bull regimes: 55%. In chop: 44%. In bear: 38%.

How do I use these signals?

Buy above the trigger price (the close when bull count = 1). Hold toward the ATR target, which represents a 1.0× ATR move above the prior period close. Stop below the lower trigger. Exit near count 9 if reached. Average hold: 12–15 trading days for completed cycles.

What is SCTR and why does it matter here?

SCTR (StockCharts Technical Rank) is a composite score from 0–10 blending 26-week/13-week rate of change, PPO, and RSI. A reading above 9 is required for a T1 bull ignition. Higher SCTR (VH band, above 8) historically shows slightly better win rates.

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