EdgeOS Signal State

MPC

Exhaustion (10)
Last close: $319.76

As of July 22, 2026, MPC has a Exhaustion (10) signal: bull count 10, SCTR 19.1 (bullish zone, above 9), Confirmed Bull trend. Buy trigger $317.30 · Target $323.73 · Stop $313.32. 83% historical T1 win rate in bull regimes (799k signals, 7-year backtest).

SPY regime: 🟡 Chop Regime · Historical T1 win rate this regime: 44% · Full stats →
Bull Count
10
Exhaustion zone
Bear Count
—
No bear signal
SCTR Score
19.1
Bullish (>9)
Trend
Confirmed
Confirmed Bull

Saty ATR Price Levels (daily)

Wilder ATR · Swing timeframe
+1 ATR TargetProfit target
+1.2%$323.73
Buy TriggerEntry level
-0.8%$317.30
Last CloseCurrent
+0.0%$319.76
Stop LevelStop loss
-2.0%$313.32
−1 ATR TargetBear target
-4.0%$306.89
Extension score: Extended(24.20)⚠ Overextended — higher risk entry
Historical Win Rate — This Setup
83%
historical win rate at +1ATR target (n=799k)
Full stats →

What this signal means for MPC

Count 10 — Exhaustion Zone. T1 ignition fires at count 1; count 9, 11, and 13 are Fibonacci exhaustion levels where the move often pauses or reverses. This is a trim/exit zone, not an entry. Historical data shows 83.1% of signals that reach the +1 ATR target do so before exhaustion. At count 10, new entries carry substantially higher risk.

SCTR 19.1 measures MPC's technical rank relative to all other stocks. EdgeOS requires SCTR > 9 for bull signals and < 4 for bear signals on the daily timeframe. At 19.1, MPC has confirmed bullish relative strength. How SCTR works →

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💬 Community — $MPC Discussion

Join discussion →
@tradervalueneutral5h · #signals

🔄 Lifecycle edges today State transitions vs prior trading day. **13** bull ignitions, **15** confirmations, **6** first-exhaustions, **6** terminals. **15** bear ignitions, **2** bear exhaustions.

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@tradervaluebearish5h · #setups

🔴 First exhaustion (16) 🔴 JD [Communication Services] $30.60 bull=9 (was 0) OEW 10.6 — trim 1/3 🔴 FXI [Index_ETF] $35.04 bull=9 (was 0) OEW 4.9 — trim 1/3 🔴 RH $183.95 bull=9 (was 0) OEW 14.2 — trim 1/3 🔴 MPC [Energy] $315.31 bull=9 (was 0) OEW 19.6 — trim 1/3 🔴 PSX [Energy] $208.80 bull=9 (was 0) OEW 16.9 — trim 1/3 🔴 ADM [Consumer Staples] $85.67 bull=9 (was 0) OEW 13.5 — trim 1/3 🔴 SHEL $86.20 bull=9 (was 0) OEW 8.9 — trim 1/3 🔴 CBOE [Financials] $278.21 bull=9 (was 0) OEW 8.7 — trim 1/3 🔴 ZM $90.91 bull=9 (was 0) OEW 9.3 — trim 1/3 🔴 VRSN $277.61 bull=9 (was 0) OEW 11.3 — trim 1/3 🔴 AAPL [Technology] $326.59 bull=9 (was 0) OEW 13.5 — trim 1/3 🔴 MSCI $625.11 bull=9 (was 0) OEW 11.0 — trim 1/3 🔴 NTNX [Technology] $55.11 bull=9 (was 0) OEW 15.0 — trim 1/3 🔴 IWD $246.96 bull=9 (was 0) OEW 8.3 — trim 1/3 🔴 SPYV $61.52 bull=9 (was 0) OEW 6.7 — trim 1/3 🔴 VYM $159.41 bull=9 (was 0) OEW 6.1

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@tradervaluebearish6h · #macro

📊 Market Breadth Gauge — 2026-07-21 20:20 UTC **📐 This gauge measures SCTR structural participation — NOT today's price moves.** A symbol counts as **bull** when SCTR > 9 (multi-week momentum). It stays green even on a down day. For today's % price changes see **#heatmap** (Price Change Heatmap). **Overall: LEANING BEARISH** — 527 bullish / 1,750 symbols (daily) Benchmark: SPY SCTR **6.1** · **Bull = SCTR > 9** · **Bear = SCTR < 4** · Outperform = SCTR > SPY

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Frequently Asked Questions — MPC

Does MPC have a T1 ignition signal today?
No. MPC does not currently have a T1 ignition on the daily timeframe. Current bull count is 10. A T1 fires when the EdgeOS bull counter crosses from 0 to 1 with SCTR above 9.
What is MPC's SCTR score?
MPC's SCTR score is 19.1 out of 100. This is in the bullish zone (above 9), indicating strong relative momentum. EdgeOS requires SCTR above 9 for bull signals and below 4 for bear signals.
What is the buy trigger price for MPC?
The EdgeOS buy trigger for MPC is $317.30 (Saty ATR +0.236 level). Profit target: $323.73 (+1 ATR). Stop loss: below $313.32.
What is the historical win rate for MPC T1 signals?
T1 ignition signals on the daily timeframe have a 55% win rate in bull market regimes across 799,000 signals over a 7-year backtest. In choppy markets the win rate is 44%; in bear regimes it is 38%. The current SPY regime is 🟡 Chop Regime (44% historical T1 win rate). Individual results for MPC depend on entry timing, market regime, and position management.
What is MPC's GEX (gamma exposure) level?
MPC GEX data requires options chain data from Tradier. GEX (Gamma Exposure) measures net dealer gamma at each strike. The Zero Gamma flip level is the price where dealer hedging switches from stabilizing (PG regime) to amplifying (NG regime). Above the flip = PG; below = NG. GEX levels act as dynamic support and resistance.
What is the Oracle ML signal for MPC today?
The Oracle ML engine computes a BUY, SELL, or NEUTRAL signal for MPC every 30 minutes using five weighted inputs: Pattern (30%, multi-timeframe EdgeOS alignment), Market Internals (25%, QQQ/IWM/VIX/GLD/TLT composite), Momentum (18%, RSI + velocity + DMI crossover), Structure (12%, VWAP + EMA + range position), and Flow (15%, EdgeOS options flow direction). Signal fires BUY when composite > +0.12, SELL when < -0.12. Open the TraderValue workspace for the live intraday Oracle signal.
When are MPC's next earnings and what is the expected move?
MPC earnings date is not currently confirmed in the next 90 days. When earnings approach, the options market prices in an expected move via the ATM straddle (call + put price at the nearest strike to spot). TraderValue tracks the last 8 quarters of EPS results and post-earnings price reactions for MPC.
What chart patterns is MPC showing?
MPC is not currently showing any high-confidence chart patterns (above 55%). TraderValue scans 17 patterns nightly including bull flag, cup and handle, head and shoulders, double bottom, ascending triangle, and more.
See MPC live in the workspace

Open MPC on a chart with EdgeOS overlays, Saty ATR levels, options flow, and AI research — all in one view.

Open MPC →Live Scans
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Signal data updated hourly from live EdgeOS scans · For informational purposes only · Not investment advice · Past performance does not guarantee future results.