Signal Comparison

XLK vs XLF — Signal Comparison

SPY regime: 🟡 Chop RegimeT1 win rate this regime: 44%
Verdict

As of July 13, 2026, XLF has a stronger EdgeOS setup with a Bull Count 2 (SCTR 8.8, choppy regime) vs XLK which has no active signal (SCTR 9.8). XLF's setup has a 44% historical win rate in choppy regimes (799k signals, 7-year backtest). The current SPY regime is choppy.

XLKNo Active Signal
$185.78
SCTR Score
9.8
Bullish (>9)
Trend
Confirmed
Confirmed Bull
Ext Score
Extended
20.00
Win Rate
Buy Trigger$186.69
+1 ATR Target$191.01
Stop Level$184.01
Full XLK analysis →
XLFBull Count 2
$55.71
SCTR Score
8.8
Neutral (4–9)
Trend
Confirmed
Confirmed Bull
Ext Score
Tight
0.00
Win Rate
44%
T1 · chop regime
Buy Trigger$55.72
+1 ATR Target$56.30
Stop Level$55.36
Full XLF analysis →

XLK vs XLF — Comparison Table

MetricXLKXLF
Price$185.78$55.71
Change %
SCTR Score9.88.8
SignalNo Active SignalBull Count 2
TrendConfirmed BullConfirmed Bull
Ext ScoreExtendedTight
Trigger Price$186.69$55.72

How EdgeOS Signals Work for Stock Comparison

EdgeOS (Edge Operating System) scans ~3,000 liquid US equities on the daily timeframe using the SCTR score (Stock Chart Technical Rank, 0–100) as the primary momentum filter. A T1 ignition fires when: (1) the bull counter crosses from 0 to 1, (2) SCTR is above 9, and (3) price closes above the Saty ATR +0.236 trigger level. This combination produced a 55% win rate in bull regimes across 799,000 signals over 7 years.

When comparing two stocks, SCTR matters for ranking — not as a hard entry gate. The 7-year backtest showed that lower SCTR stocks in confirmed bull trends outperform high-SCTR stocks (18.7% vs 14.7% progression rate to the +1 ATR target). SCTR measures accumulated momentum, while the signal itself measures the timing of the momentum shift.

The extension score is critical for comparing two active signals: a Tight (0–0.4) extension means the stock is near its Saty ATR baseline with room to run, while an Extended (>1.2) score indicates the stock has moved far from equilibrium and carries higher risk. When both XLK and XLF have active signals, prefer the one with a lower extension score.

Frequently Asked Questions — XLK vs XLF

Which is a better buy, XLK or XLF?
As of July 13, 2026, XLF has a stronger EdgeOS setup with a Bull Count 2 (SCTR 8.8, choppy regime) vs XLK which has no active signal (SCTR 9.8). XLF's setup has a 44% historical win rate in choppy regimes (799k signals, 7-year backtest). The current SPY regime is choppy.
What is XLK's current trading signal?
XLK currently has a No Active Signal signal on the daily timeframe. SCTR is 9.8 (Bullish (>9)). Trend: Confirmed Bull. Buy trigger $186.69 · Target $191.01 · Stop $184.01.
What is XLF's SCTR score?
XLF's SCTR score is 8.8. Between 4 and 9 — neutral zone. No strong directional momentum.
What is the historical win rate for T1 signals?
T1 ignition signals have a 55% win rate in bull regimes, 44% in choppy markets, and 38% in bear regimes, based on 799,000 signals from a 7-year backtest. The current SPY regime is 🟡 Chop Regime, so the adjusted T1 win rate is 44%. These numbers apply when entering within 1% of the buy trigger price with proper stop placement below the lower trigger level.

Signal data updated every 5 minutes from live EdgeOS scans · For informational purposes only · Not investment advice · Past performance does not guarantee future results.