Signal Comparison

XLK vs XLE — Signal Comparison

SPY regime: 🟡 Chop RegimeT1 win rate this regime: 44%
Verdict

As of August 27, 2026, XLE has a stronger EdgeOS setup with a Bull Count 8 (SCTR 9.6, choppy regime) vs XLK which has no active signal (SCTR 7.0). XLE's setup has a 44% historical win rate in choppy regimes (799k signals, 7-year backtest). The current SPY regime is choppy.

XLKNo Active Signal
$181.74
SCTR Score
7.0
Neutral (4–9)
Trend
Fluid
Fluid Bear
Ext Score
Extended
12.73
Win Rate
Buy Trigger$181.03
+1 ATR Target$184.22
Stop Level$179.07
Full XLK analysis →
XLEBull Count 8
$62.06
SCTR Score
9.6
Bullish (>9)
Trend
Fluid
Fluid Bear
Ext Score
Tight
0.00
Win Rate
44%
T1 · chop regime
Buy Trigger$63.39
+1 ATR Target$64.28
Stop Level$62.83
Full XLE analysis →

XLK vs XLE — Comparison Table

MetricXLKXLE
Price$181.74$62.06
Change %
SCTR Score7.09.6
SignalNo Active SignalBull Count 8
TrendFluid BearFluid Bear
Ext ScoreExtendedTight
Trigger Price$181.03$63.39

How EdgeOS Signals Work for Stock Comparison

EdgeOS (Edge Operating System) scans ~3,000 liquid US equities on the daily timeframe using the SCTR score (Stock Chart Technical Rank, 0–100) as the primary momentum filter. A T1 ignition fires when: (1) the bull counter crosses from 0 to 1, (2) SCTR is above 9, and (3) price closes above the Saty ATR +0.236 trigger level. This combination produced a 55% win rate in bull regimes across 799,000 signals over 7 years.

When comparing two stocks, SCTR matters for ranking — not as a hard entry gate. The 7-year backtest showed that lower SCTR stocks in confirmed bull trends outperform high-SCTR stocks (18.7% vs 14.7% progression rate to the +1 ATR target). SCTR measures accumulated momentum, while the signal itself measures the timing of the momentum shift.

The extension score is critical for comparing two active signals: a Tight (0–0.4) extension means the stock is near its Saty ATR baseline with room to run, while an Extended (>1.2) score indicates the stock has moved far from equilibrium and carries higher risk. When both XLK and XLE have active signals, prefer the one with a lower extension score.

Frequently Asked Questions — XLK vs XLE

Which is a better buy, XLK or XLE?
As of August 27, 2026, XLE has a stronger EdgeOS setup with a Bull Count 8 (SCTR 9.6, choppy regime) vs XLK which has no active signal (SCTR 7.0). XLE's setup has a 44% historical win rate in choppy regimes (799k signals, 7-year backtest). The current SPY regime is choppy.
What is XLK's current trading signal?
XLK currently has a No Active Signal signal on the daily timeframe. SCTR is 7.0 (Neutral (4–9)). Trend: Fluid Bear. Buy trigger $181.03 · Target $184.22 · Stop $179.07.
What is XLE's SCTR score?
XLE's SCTR score is 9.6. Above 9 — bullish momentum zone. EdgeOS bull signals require SCTR above 9.
What is the historical win rate for T1 signals?
T1 ignition signals have a 55% win rate in bull regimes, 44% in choppy markets, and 38% in bear regimes, based on 799,000 signals from a 7-year backtest. The current SPY regime is 🟡 Chop Regime, so the adjusted T1 win rate is 44%. These numbers apply when entering within 1% of the buy trigger price with proper stop placement below the lower trigger level.

Signal data updated every 5 minutes from live EdgeOS scans · For informational purposes only · Not investment advice · Past performance does not guarantee future results.