Signal Comparison

TLT vs TMF — Signal Comparison

SPY regime: 🟢 Bull RegimeT1 win rate this regime: 55%
Verdict

As of May 30, 2026, both TLT and TMF have active EdgeOS signals. TLT leads with a higher SCTR score. T1 ignition signals have a 55% historical win rate in the current bull regime (799k signals, 7-year backtest). Use extension score and proximity to trigger to prioritize between the two setups.

TLTBull Count 3
$85.76
SCTR Score
5.3
Neutral (4–9)
Trend
Fluid
Fluid Bull
Ext Score
Tight
0.30
Win Rate
55%
T1 · bull regime
Buy Trigger$85.90
+1 ATR Target$86.40
Stop Level$85.58
Full TLT analysis →
TMFBull Count 3
$34.94
SCTR Score
4.4
Neutral (4–9)
Trend
Fluid
Fluid Bull
Ext Score
Tight
0.30
Win Rate
55%
T1 · bull regime
Buy Trigger$35.13
+1 ATR Target$35.73
Stop Level$34.75
Full TMF analysis →

TLT vs TMF — Comparison Table

MetricTLTTMF
Price$85.76$34.94
Change %
SCTR Score5.34.4
SignalBull Count 3Bull Count 3
TrendFluid BullFluid Bull
Ext ScoreTightTight
Trigger Price$85.90$35.13

How EdgeOS Signals Work for Stock Comparison

EdgeOS (Edge Operating System) scans ~3,000 liquid US equities on the daily timeframe using the SCTR score (Stock Chart Technical Rank, 0–100) as the primary momentum filter. A T1 ignition fires when: (1) the bull counter crosses from 0 to 1, (2) SCTR is above 9, and (3) price closes above the Saty ATR +0.236 trigger level. This combination produced a 55% win rate in bull regimes across 799,000 signals over 7 years.

When comparing two stocks, SCTR matters for ranking — not as a hard entry gate. The 7-year backtest showed that lower SCTR stocks in confirmed bull trends outperform high-SCTR stocks (18.7% vs 14.7% progression rate to the +1 ATR target). SCTR measures accumulated momentum, while the signal itself measures the timing of the momentum shift.

The extension score is critical for comparing two active signals: a Tight (0–0.4) extension means the stock is near its Saty ATR baseline with room to run, while an Extended (>1.2) score indicates the stock has moved far from equilibrium and carries higher risk. When both TLT and TMF have active signals, prefer the one with a lower extension score.

Frequently Asked Questions — TLT vs TMF

Which is a better buy, TLT or TMF?
As of May 30, 2026, both TLT and TMF have active EdgeOS signals. TLT leads with a higher SCTR score. T1 ignition signals have a 55% historical win rate in the current bull regime (799k signals, 7-year backtest). Use extension score and proximity to trigger to prioritize between the two setups.
What is TLT's current trading signal?
TLT currently has a Bull Count 3 signal on the daily timeframe. SCTR is 5.3 (Neutral (4–9)). Trend: Fluid Bull. Buy trigger $85.90 · Target $86.40 · Stop $85.58.
What is TMF's SCTR score?
TMF's SCTR score is 4.4. Between 4 and 9 — neutral zone. No strong directional momentum.
What is the historical win rate for T1 signals?
T1 ignition signals have a 55% win rate in bull regimes, 44% in choppy markets, and 38% in bear regimes, based on 799,000 signals from a 7-year backtest. The current SPY regime is 🟢 Bull Regime, so the adjusted T1 win rate is 55%. These numbers apply when entering within 1% of the buy trigger price with proper stop placement below the lower trigger level.

Signal data updated every 5 minutes from live EdgeOS scans · For informational purposes only · Not investment advice · Past performance does not guarantee future results.