As of July 14, 2026, TLT has a stronger EdgeOS setup with a Bear Count 8 (SCTR 2.0, choppy regime) vs HYG which has no active signal (SCTR 4.0). TLT's T1 setup has a 44% historical win rate in choppy regimes (799k signals, 7-year backtest). The current SPY regime is choppy.
| Metric | TLT | HYG |
|---|---|---|
| Price | $83.97 | $79.52 |
| Change % | — | — |
| SCTR Score | 2.0 | 4.0 |
| Signal | Bear Count 8 | No Active Signal |
| Trend | Confirmed Bear | Confirmed Bear |
| Ext Score | Extended | Tight |
| Trigger Price | $84.61 | $79.76 |
EdgeOS (Edge Operating System) scans ~3,000 liquid US equities on the daily timeframe using the SCTR score (Stock Chart Technical Rank, 0–100) as the primary momentum filter. A T1 ignition fires when: (1) the bull counter crosses from 0 to 1, (2) SCTR is above 9, and (3) price closes above the Saty ATR +0.236 trigger level. This combination produced a 55% win rate in bull regimes across 799,000 signals over 7 years.
When comparing two stocks, SCTR matters for ranking — not as a hard entry gate. The 7-year backtest showed that lower SCTR stocks in confirmed bull trends outperform high-SCTR stocks (18.7% vs 14.7% progression rate to the +1 ATR target). SCTR measures accumulated momentum, while the signal itself measures the timing of the momentum shift.
The extension score is critical for comparing two active signals: a Tight (0–0.4) extension means the stock is near its Saty ATR baseline with room to run, while an Extended (>1.2) score indicates the stock has moved far from equilibrium and carries higher risk. When both TLT and HYG have active signals, prefer the one with a lower extension score.
Live EdgeOS signal, SCTR, GEX, earnings, and Oracle ML signal for TLT
Live EdgeOS signal, SCTR, GEX, earnings, and Oracle ML signal for HYG
Real-time scan tape of all active T1 ignitions and bear setups today
Signal data updated every 5 minutes from live EdgeOS scans · For informational purposes only · Not investment advice · Past performance does not guarantee future results.