Signal Comparison

SPY vs IWM — Signal Comparison

SPY regime: 🟡 Chop RegimeT1 win rate this regime: 44%
Verdict

As of July 13, 2026, SPY has a stronger EdgeOS setup with a Bull Count 3 (SCTR 8.0, choppy regime) vs IWM which has no active signal (SCTR 7.4). SPY's T1 setup has a 44% historical win rate in choppy regimes (799k signals, 7-year backtest). The current SPY regime is choppy.

SPYBull Count 3
$754.95
SCTR Score
8.0
Neutral (4–9)
Trend
Confirmed
Confirmed Bull
Ext Score
Tight
0.30
Win Rate
44%
T1 · chop regime
Buy Trigger$753.90
+1 ATR Target$760.99
Stop Level$749.52
Full SPY analysis →
IWMNo Active Signal
$295.99
SCTR Score
7.4
Neutral (4–9)
Trend
Fluid
Fluid Bear
Ext Score
Extended
9.09
Win Rate
Buy Trigger$298.46
+1 ATR Target$302.42
Stop Level$296.02
Full IWM analysis →

SPY vs IWM — Comparison Table

MetricSPYIWM
Price$754.95$295.99
Change %
SCTR Score8.07.4
SignalBull Count 3No Active Signal
TrendConfirmed BullFluid Bear
Ext ScoreTightExtended
Trigger Price$753.90$298.46

How EdgeOS Signals Work for Stock Comparison

EdgeOS (Edge Operating System) scans ~3,000 liquid US equities on the daily timeframe using the SCTR score (Stock Chart Technical Rank, 0–100) as the primary momentum filter. A T1 ignition fires when: (1) the bull counter crosses from 0 to 1, (2) SCTR is above 9, and (3) price closes above the Saty ATR +0.236 trigger level. This combination produced a 55% win rate in bull regimes across 799,000 signals over 7 years.

When comparing two stocks, SCTR matters for ranking — not as a hard entry gate. The 7-year backtest showed that lower SCTR stocks in confirmed bull trends outperform high-SCTR stocks (18.7% vs 14.7% progression rate to the +1 ATR target). SCTR measures accumulated momentum, while the signal itself measures the timing of the momentum shift.

The extension score is critical for comparing two active signals: a Tight (0–0.4) extension means the stock is near its Saty ATR baseline with room to run, while an Extended (>1.2) score indicates the stock has moved far from equilibrium and carries higher risk. When both SPY and IWM have active signals, prefer the one with a lower extension score.

Frequently Asked Questions — SPY vs IWM

Which is a better buy, SPY or IWM?
As of July 13, 2026, SPY has a stronger EdgeOS setup with a Bull Count 3 (SCTR 8.0, choppy regime) vs IWM which has no active signal (SCTR 7.4). SPY's T1 setup has a 44% historical win rate in choppy regimes (799k signals, 7-year backtest). The current SPY regime is choppy.
What is SPY's current trading signal?
SPY currently has a Bull Count 3 signal on the daily timeframe. SCTR is 8.0 (Neutral (4–9)). Trend: Confirmed Bull. Buy trigger $753.90 · Target $760.99 · Stop $749.52.
What is IWM's SCTR score?
IWM's SCTR score is 7.4. Between 4 and 9 — neutral zone. No strong directional momentum.
What is the historical win rate for T1 signals?
T1 ignition signals have a 55% win rate in bull regimes, 44% in choppy markets, and 38% in bear regimes, based on 799,000 signals from a 7-year backtest. The current SPY regime is 🟡 Chop Regime, so the adjusted T1 win rate is 44%. These numbers apply when entering within 1% of the buy trigger price with proper stop placement below the lower trigger level.

Signal data updated every 5 minutes from live EdgeOS scans · For informational purposes only · Not investment advice · Past performance does not guarantee future results.