Signal Comparison

RIVN vs LCID — Signal Comparison

SPY regime: 🟡 Chop RegimeT1 win rate this regime: 44%
Verdict

As of October 12, 2026, RIVN has a stronger EdgeOS setup with a Bear Count 4 (SCTR 0.0, choppy regime) vs LCID which has no active signal (SCTR 0.0). RIVN's T1 setup has a 44% historical win rate in choppy regimes (799k signals, 7-year backtest). The current SPY regime is choppy.

RIVNBear Count 4
$13.96
SCTR Score
0.0
Bearish (<4)
Trend
Confirmed
Confirmed Bear
Ext Score
Extended
1.82
Win Rate
—
Buy Trigger$14.48
+1 ATR Target$14.95
Stop Level$14.18
Full RIVN analysis →
LCIDNo Active Signal
$3.79
SCTR Score
0.0
Bearish (<4)
Trend
Confirmed
Confirmed Bear
Ext Score
Extended
20.00
Win Rate
—
Buy Trigger$3.88
+1 ATR Target$4.09
Stop Level$3.76
Full LCID analysis →

RIVN vs LCID — Comparison Table

MetricRIVNLCID
Price$13.96$3.79
Change %——
SCTR Score0.00.0
SignalBear Count 4No Active Signal
TrendConfirmed BearConfirmed Bear
Ext ScoreExtendedExtended
Trigger Price$14.48$3.88

How EdgeOS Signals Work for Stock Comparison

EdgeOS (Edge Operating System) scans ~3,000 liquid US equities on the daily timeframe using the SCTR score (Stock Chart Technical Rank, 0–100) as the primary momentum filter. A T1 ignition fires when: (1) the bull counter crosses from 0 to 1, (2) SCTR is above 9, and (3) price closes above the Saty ATR +0.236 trigger level. This combination produced a 55% win rate in bull regimes across 799,000 signals over 7 years.

When comparing two stocks, SCTR matters for ranking — not as a hard entry gate. The 7-year backtest showed that lower SCTR stocks in confirmed bull trends outperform high-SCTR stocks (18.7% vs 14.7% progression rate to the +1 ATR target). SCTR measures accumulated momentum, while the signal itself measures the timing of the momentum shift.

The extension score is critical for comparing two active signals: a Tight (0–0.4) extension means the stock is near its Saty ATR baseline with room to run, while an Extended (>1.2) score indicates the stock has moved far from equilibrium and carries higher risk. When both RIVN and LCID have active signals, prefer the one with a lower extension score.

Frequently Asked Questions — RIVN vs LCID

Which is a better buy, RIVN or LCID?
As of October 12, 2026, RIVN has a stronger EdgeOS setup with a Bear Count 4 (SCTR 0.0, choppy regime) vs LCID which has no active signal (SCTR 0.0). RIVN's T1 setup has a 44% historical win rate in choppy regimes (799k signals, 7-year backtest). The current SPY regime is choppy.
What is RIVN's current trading signal?
RIVN currently has a Bear Count 4 signal on the daily timeframe. SCTR is 0.0 (Bearish (<4)). Trend: Confirmed Bear. Buy trigger $14.48 · Target $14.95 · Stop $14.18.
What is LCID's SCTR score?
LCID's SCTR score is 0.0. Below 4 — bearish momentum zone. EdgeOS bear signals require SCTR below 4.
What is the historical win rate for T1 signals?
T1 ignition signals have a 55% win rate in bull regimes, 44% in choppy markets, and 38% in bear regimes, based on 799,000 signals from a 7-year backtest. The current SPY regime is 🟡 Chop Regime, so the adjusted T1 win rate is 44%. These numbers apply when entering within 1% of the buy trigger price with proper stop placement below the lower trigger level.

Signal data updated every 5 minutes from live EdgeOS scans · For informational purposes only · Not investment advice · Past performance does not guarantee future results.