Intraday
Mid-Market Update — October 29, 2026
Mid-Market Update: 8 T1 ignitions, 5 bear signals. Live EdgeOS index regime, SPY key levels, and active setups.
TRADERVALUE
📊 Mid-Market Update
Thursday, October 29
Hey TraderValue readers,
Here's the live mid-session read from EdgeOS.
📡 Market Regime — Index & Futures
Index & Futures Regime
0/6 Bull 0/6 Bear T1 WR 57%
| Index | Last | Count | Trend | Ext | Chart |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPY (S&P 500) | $769.29 | — Neutral | ✅ Conf Bull | Tight | 📈 Chart |
| QQQ (Nasdaq) | $716.41 | — Neutral | ❌ Conf Bear | EXT ⚠️ | 📈 Chart |
| IWM (Russell) | $284.43 | 🟢 Bull 4 | ✅ Conf Bull | Tight | 📈 Chart |
| /ES (S&P Futs) | $7,740.00 | — Neutral | 🔽 Fluid Bear | EXT ⚠️ | 📈 Chart |
| /NQ (NQ Futs) | $29,482.50 | — Neutral | ❌ Conf Bear | Stretch | 📈 Chart |
| /YM (Dow Futs) | $52,458.00 | — Neutral | 🔽 Fluid Bear | Tight | 📈 Chart |
System is in a chop regime. T1 ignitions carry a 57% historical base rate. Tighten stops; avoid chasing extended setups.
8 T1 ignitions remain active mid-session. 6 at exhaustion — consider locking in gains. Avoid chasing setups with ext_score ≥ 20 (EXT) — the median 10-day drawdown roughly doubles.
EdgeOS · T1 base rate measured on 83k signals, 2020–2026. Not investment advice. Always use proper position sizing and stops.
📈 SPY Chart
📐 SPY — Saty ATR Price Levels
📐 SPY — Saty ATR Key Levels
| ▲ ATR Extension Target (+1.618×) | $779.12 |
| ▲ Bull Trigger (+0.236×) | $773.92 |
| — Last Close | $769.29 |
| ▼ Bear Trigger (−0.236×) | $770.70 |
| ▼ ATR Support Target (−1.618×) | $765.50 |
Mid-session: hold above $773.92 is bullish; break below $770.70 shifts to defensive.
🟢 T1 Ignitions — Active Setups
🟢 T1 Ignitions — 8 Active (Bull = 1, SCTR > 9)
| Symbol | Last | Count | Trigger | Stop | SCTR · Ext |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. BWET | $944.99 | Bull 1 | $914.44 (3.2% above) | $887.56 | 74 SCTR · Tight · 57% WR |
| 2. CAI | $36.19 | Bull 1 | $35.88 (0.8% above) | $35.02 | 29 SCTR · Tight · 57% WR |
| 3. NTRB | $6.49 | Bull 1 | $6.62 (+2.1% to trigger) | $6.36 | 24 SCTR · Tight · 57% WR |
| 4. PLTG | $20.61 | Bull 1 | $21.13 (+2.5% to trigger) | $20.41 | 22 SCTR · Tight · 57% WR |
| 5. FVN | $12.04 | Bull 1 | $11.66 (3.1% above) | $11.06 | 20 SCTR · Tight · 57% WR |
| 6. AOUT | $17.93 | Bull 1 | $18.25 (+1.8% to trigger) | $17.90 | 20 SCTR · Tight · 57% WR |
| 7. MTEX | $8.72 | Bull 1 | $8.68 (0.4% above) | $8.36 | 20 SCTR · Tight · 57% WR |
| 8. SBC | $5.55 | Bull 1 | $5.51 (0.7% above) | $5.39 | 19 SCTR · Tight · 57% WR |
Buy > trigger price. Target: ATR extension. Stop: below bear trigger. Base rate: 57% (83k T1s, 2020–26)
⚠️ Approaching Exhaustion (Bull ≥ 9)
⚠️ Exhaustion Watch — 6 at Bull ≥ 9
| Symbol | Last | Count | ATR Target | Stop | SCTR · Ext |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. SKIN | $10.24 | Bull 12 ⚠️ | $11.37 (+11.0% to target) | $10.28 | 688 SCTR · EXT ⚠️ |
| 2. TZA | $44.21 | Bull 41 ⚠️ | $47.62 (+7.7% to target) | $45.41 | 154 SCTR · EXT ⚠️ |
| 3. ABTC | $7.91 | Bull 14 ⚠️ | $8.63 (+9.2% to target) | $7.81 | 143 SCTR · EXT ⚠️ |
| 4. AMDD | $23.56 | Bull 20 ⚠️ | $24.47 (+3.9% to target) | $23.09 | 109 SCTR · EXT ⚠️ |
| 5. RCEL | $16.65 | Bull 25 ⚠️ | $17.31 (+4.0% to target) | $16.31 | 63 SCTR · EXT ⚠️ |
| 6. SLN | $19.75 | Bull 9 ⚠️ | $20.53 (+3.9% to target) | $19.52 | 52 SCTR · EXT ⚠️ |
These are approaching or at exhaustion (bull ≥ 9). Consider trimming or tightening stops.
🔴 Bear Ignitions
🔴 Bear T1 Ignitions — 5 Active
| Symbol | Last | Count | Short Trigger | Stop | SCTR · Ext |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. CABO | $5.22 | Bear 1 | $4.98 (−4.6% to trigger) | $5.76 | -24 SCTR · EXT ⚠️ |
| 2. CNXT | $36.12 | Bear 1 | $37.74 (4.5% below trigger) | $38.20 | -7 SCTR · EXT ⚠️ |
| 3. SVCO | $6.66 | Bear 1 | $6.77 (1.7% below trigger) | $6.99 | -6 SCTR · EXT ⚠️ |
| 4. TVGN | $5.96 | Bear 1 | $6.13 (2.8% below trigger) | $6.38 | -5 SCTR · EXT ⚠️ |
| 5. RXD | $12.57 | Bear 1 | $13.00 (3.4% below trigger) | $13.18 | -5 SCTR · EXT ⚠️ |
Short < bear trigger. Target: lo_atr. Stop: above bull trigger. Bear ignitions hit −1 ATR first 63% in a chop regime (measured 2020–2026); only 46% are lower after 10 days — take the target.
⏳ Brewing — Coiling Below Trigger
⏳ Brewing — Coiling Below Trigger
| Symbol | Last | Trigger | Distance | SCTR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DHY | $16.48 | $16.53 | +0.3% to trigger | SCTR 134 |
| CCUP | $19.28 | $19.36 | +0.4% to trigger | SCTR 113 |
| TJGC | $31.89 | $32.32 | +1.3% to trigger | SCTR 102 |
| RGTZ | $21.82 | $22.03 | +0.9% to trigger | SCTR 78 |
| DAMD | $9.48 | $9.50 | +0.3% to trigger | SCTR 69 |
| ETHA | $53.29 | $54.14 | +1.6% to trigger | SCTR 58 |
Set alerts at trigger price. These become T1 ignitions on breakout confirmation.
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Not investment advice. EdgeOS signals are based on historical pattern recognition.
Past win rates do not guarantee future results. Always use proper stops and position sizing.
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