EdgeOS Signal State

NVAX— Novavax

Bear Count 13
Last close: $7.34

As of July 30, 2026, Novavax (NVAX) has a Bear Count 13 signal: SCTR 0.0 (bearish zone, below 4), Confirmed Bear trend. Short trigger $7.27 · Target $6.95 · Stop $7.47. Bear signals in confirmed bear conditions (SCTR below 4) have a 40–53% win rate depending on market regime.

SPY regime: 🟡 Chop Regime · Historical T1 win rate this regime: 44% · Full stats →
Bull Count
—
No bull signal
Bear Count
13
Exhaustion zone
SCTR Score
0.0
Bearish (<4)
Trend
Confirmed
Confirmed Bear

Saty ATR Price Levels (daily)

Wilder ATR · Swing timeframe
+1 ATR TargetProfit target
+6.1%$7.79
Buy TriggerEntry level
+1.8%$7.47
Last CloseCurrent
+0.0%$7.34
Stop LevelStop loss
-0.9%$7.27
−1 ATR TargetBear target
-5.3%$6.95
Extension score: Extended(20.00)⚠ Overextended — higher risk entry

What this signal means for NVAX

Bear Count 13 means NVAX has active bearish momentum. The signal entry is a short below the lower trigger ($7.27), targeting $6.95 with a stop above $7.47. Bear signals in a confirmed bear trend (SCTR < 4) have historically performed better than those in mixed conditions.

SCTR 0.0 measures NVAX's technical rank relative to all other stocks. EdgeOS requires SCTR > 9 for bull signals and < 4 for bear signals on the daily timeframe. How SCTR works →

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💬 Community — $NVAX Discussion

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@tradervaluebullish9h · #reversals

🟢 NVAX — ⛔ Count-13 Bear→Bull NVAX — Potential bull reversal at EdgeOS exhaustion level

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@tradervaluebullish9h · #reversals

⚡ EdgeOS Reversal Scanner — 50 signals **🟢 Potential Bull Reversals (bear exhaustion)** QCMD · Bear-13 · $16.02 · SCTR -12 · 📊13/13↓ LBRDA · Bear-13 · $34.47 · SCTR -12 · 📊13/13↓ XPOF · Bear-13 · $5.13 · SCTR -9 · 📊13/13↓ NVAX · Bear-13 · $7.34 · SCTR -6 · 📊13/13↓ HLIT · Bear-13 · $10.60 · SCTR -1 · 📊13/13↓ LYEL · Bear-13 · $19.25 · SCTR -6 · 📊12/13↓ NOK · Bear-13 · $8.41 · SCTR -5 · 📊12/13↓ GSKH · Bear-13 · $70.69 · SCTR 2 · 📊12/13↓ SPFI · Bear-13 · $39.39 · SCTR 2 · 📊11/13↓ WLFC · Bear-11 · $69.22 · SCTR -25 · 📊11/11↓ CRML · Bear-11 · $5.13 · SCTR -12 · 📊11/11↓ GRAG · Bear-11 · $6.65 · SCTR -8 · 📊11/11↓ GLIBA · Bear-11 · $28.38 · SCTR -6 · 📊11/11↓ HLMN · Bear-11 · $7.56 · SCTR -2 · 📊11/11↓ ANNX · Bear-11 · $5.44 · SCTR 4 · 📊11/11↓ ULBI · Bear-11 · $5.91 · SCTR -2 · 📊10/11↓ BGSF · Bear-11 · $5.34 · SCTR 2 · 📊10/11↓ SVRN · Bear-11 · $7.41 · SCTR -11 ·

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Frequently Asked Questions — NVAX

Does NVAX have a T1 ignition signal today?
No. NVAX does not currently have a T1 ignition on the daily timeframe. Current bull count is 0. A T1 fires when the EdgeOS bull counter crosses from 0 to 1 with SCTR above 9.
What is NVAX's SCTR score?
NVAX's SCTR score is 0.0 out of 100. This is in the bearish zone (below 4), indicating weak relative momentum. EdgeOS requires SCTR above 9 for bull signals and below 4 for bear signals.
What is the buy trigger price for NVAX?
The EdgeOS buy trigger for NVAX is $7.47 (Saty ATR +0.236 level). Profit target: $7.79 (+1 ATR). Stop loss: below $7.27.
What is the historical win rate for NVAX T1 signals?
T1 ignition signals on the daily timeframe have a 55% win rate in bull market regimes across 799,000 signals over a 7-year backtest. In choppy markets the win rate is 44%; in bear regimes it is 38%. The current SPY regime is 🟡 Chop Regime (44% historical T1 win rate). Individual results for NVAX depend on entry timing, market regime, and position management.
What is NVAX's GEX (gamma exposure) level?
NVAX GEX data requires options chain data from Tradier. GEX (Gamma Exposure) measures net dealer gamma at each strike. The Zero Gamma flip level is the price where dealer hedging switches from stabilizing (PG regime) to amplifying (NG regime). Above the flip = PG; below = NG. GEX levels act as dynamic support and resistance.
What is the Oracle ML signal for NVAX today?
The Oracle ML engine computes a BUY, SELL, or NEUTRAL signal for NVAX every 30 minutes using five weighted inputs: Pattern (30%, multi-timeframe EdgeOS alignment), Market Internals (25%, QQQ/IWM/VIX/GLD/TLT composite), Momentum (18%, RSI + velocity + DMI crossover), Structure (12%, VWAP + EMA + range position), and Flow (15%, EdgeOS options flow direction). Signal fires BUY when composite > +0.12, SELL when < -0.12. Open the TraderValue workspace for the live intraday Oracle signal.
When are NVAX's next earnings and what is the expected move?
NVAX earnings date is not currently confirmed in the next 90 days. When earnings approach, the options market prices in an expected move via the ATM straddle (call + put price at the nearest strike to spot). TraderValue tracks the last 8 quarters of EPS results and post-earnings price reactions for NVAX.
What chart patterns is NVAX showing?
NVAX is not currently showing any high-confidence chart patterns (above 55%). TraderValue scans 17 patterns nightly including bull flag, cup and handle, head and shoulders, double bottom, ascending triangle, and more.
What is the analyst rating for NVAX?
Analyst ratings for NVAX aggregate Wall Street buy/hold/sell recommendations and price targets from major investment banks. TraderValue combines analyst consensus with EdgeOS technical signals for the highest-conviction setups.
What is NVAX's P/E ratio and key fundamentals?
NVAX key fundamentals including P/E ratio, market cap, EPS, and 52-week range are available in the TraderValue workspace alongside live EdgeOS technical signals.
See NVAX live in the workspace

Open NVAX on a chart with EdgeOS overlays, Saty ATR levels, options flow, and AI research — all in one view.

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Signal data updated hourly from live EdgeOS scans · For informational purposes only · Not investment advice · Past performance does not guarantee future results.