EdgeOS Signal State

ADP

Bear Count 8
Last close: $261.80

As of September 29, 2026, ADP has a Bear Count 8 signal: SCTR 6.3 (neutral zone, 4–9), Confirmed Bear trend. Short trigger $262.35 · Target $258.08 · Stop $264.99. Bear signals in confirmed bear conditions (SCTR below 4) have a 40–53% win rate depending on market regime.

SPY regime: 🟡 Chop Regime · Historical T1 win rate this regime: 44% · Full stats →
Bull Count
—
No bull signal
Bear Count
8
Active bear
SCTR Score
6.3
Neutral (4–9)
Trend
Confirmed
Confirmed Bear

Saty ATR Price Levels (daily)

Wilder ATR · Swing timeframe
+1 ATR TargetProfit target
+2.8%$269.26
Buy TriggerEntry level
+1.2%$264.99
Last CloseCurrent
+0.0%$261.80
Stop LevelStop loss
+0.2%$262.35
−1 ATR TargetBear target
-1.4%$258.08
Extension score: Extended(20.00)⚠ Overextended — higher risk entry

What this signal means for ADP

Bear Count 8 means ADP has active bearish momentum. The signal entry is a short below the lower trigger ($262.35), targeting $258.08 with a stop above $264.99. Bear signals in a confirmed bear trend (SCTR < 4) have historically performed better than those in mixed conditions.

SCTR 6.3 measures ADP's technical rank relative to all other stocks. EdgeOS requires SCTR > 9 for bull signals and < 4 for bear signals on the daily timeframe. How SCTR works →

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💬 Community — $ADP Discussion

Join discussion →
@tradervalueneutral10d · #signals

🔄 Lifecycle edges today State transitions vs prior trading day. **2** bull ignitions, **1** confirmations, **0** first-exhaustions, **1** terminals. **5** bear ignitions, **2** bear exhaustions.

👍 0💬 0
@tradervalueneutral19d · #signals

🔄 Lifecycle edges today State transitions vs prior trading day. **3** bull ignitions, **1** confirmations, **1** first-exhaustions, **0** terminals. **23** bear ignitions, **2** bear exhaustions.

👍 0💬 0
@tradervalueneutral19d · #signals

🔄 Lifecycle edges today State transitions vs prior trading day. **3** bull ignitions, **1** confirmations, **1** first-exhaustions, **0** terminals. **23** bear ignitions, **2** bear exhaustions.

👍 0💬 0
@tradervaluebearish21d · #setups

💀 Campaign died (16) 💀 PSX [Energy] $255.09 bull=0 (was 18) OEW 15.8 — bull 18→0 💀 FDS $301.96 bull=0 (was 5) OEW 11.7 — bull 5→0 💀 ADP $277.62 bull=0 (was 5) OEW 10.6 — bull 5→0 💀 SPOT $542.43 bull=0 (was 5) OEW 10.3 — bull 5→0 💀 LNG $292.00 bull=0 (was 9) OEW 9.3 — bull 9→0 💀 NWSA $30.39 bull=0 (was 12) OEW 9.1 — bull 12→0 💀 JKHY $165.64 bull=0 (was 12) OEW 8.9 — bull 12→0 💀 ADM [Consumer Staples] $84.61 bull=0 (was 5) OEW 8.8 — bull 5→0 💀 TYL $364.03 bull=0 (was 13) OEW 8.7 — bull 13→0 💀 LNTH $100.97 bull=0 (was 7) OEW 8.6 — bull 7→0 💀 ET $21.50 bull=0 (was 7) OEW 7.7 — bull 7→0 💀 T [Communication Services] $25.68 bull=0 (was 5) OEW 6.8 — bull 5→0 💀 HAL [Energy] $37.07 bull=0 (was 5) OEW 6.3 — bull 5→0 💀 EXE $97.91 bull=0 (was 7) OEW 6.0 — bull 7→0 💀 EPD $38.94 bull=0 (was 9) OEW 5.8 — bull 9→0 💀 ED [Utilities] $107.29 bull=0 (was 5) OEW 4.0 — bull 5→0

👍 0💬 0
@tradervalueneutral27d · #signals

🔄 Lifecycle edges today State transitions vs prior trading day. **4** bull ignitions, **4** confirmations, **1** first-exhaustions, **0** terminals. **11** bear ignitions, **7** bear exhaustions.

👍 0💬 0
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Frequently Asked Questions — ADP

Does ADP have a T1 ignition signal today?
No. ADP does not currently have a T1 ignition on the daily timeframe. Current bull count is 0. A T1 fires when the EdgeOS bull counter crosses from 0 to 1 with SCTR above 9.
What is ADP's SCTR score?
ADP's SCTR score is 6.3 out of 100. This is in the neutral zone (4–9). EdgeOS requires SCTR above 9 for bull signals and below 4 for bear signals.
What is the buy trigger price for ADP?
The EdgeOS buy trigger for ADP is $264.99 (Saty ATR +0.236 level). Profit target: $269.26 (+1 ATR). Stop loss: below $262.35.
What is the historical win rate for ADP T1 signals?
T1 ignition signals on the daily timeframe have a 55% win rate in bull market regimes across 799,000 signals over a 7-year backtest. In choppy markets the win rate is 44%; in bear regimes it is 38%. The current SPY regime is 🟡 Chop Regime (44% historical T1 win rate). Individual results for ADP depend on entry timing, market regime, and position management.
What is ADP's GEX (gamma exposure) level?
ADP GEX data requires options chain data from Tradier. GEX (Gamma Exposure) measures net dealer gamma at each strike. The Zero Gamma flip level is the price where dealer hedging switches from stabilizing (PG regime) to amplifying (NG regime). Above the flip = PG; below = NG. GEX levels act as dynamic support and resistance.
What is the Oracle ML signal for ADP today?
The Oracle ML engine computes a BUY, SELL, or NEUTRAL signal for ADP every 30 minutes using five weighted inputs: Pattern (30%, multi-timeframe EdgeOS alignment), Market Internals (25%, QQQ/IWM/VIX/GLD/TLT composite), Momentum (18%, RSI + velocity + DMI crossover), Structure (12%, VWAP + EMA + range position), and Flow (15%, EdgeOS options flow direction). Signal fires BUY when composite > +0.12, SELL when < -0.12. Open the TraderValue workspace for the live intraday Oracle signal.
When are ADP's next earnings and what is the expected move?
ADP earnings date is not currently confirmed in the next 90 days. When earnings approach, the options market prices in an expected move via the ATM straddle (call + put price at the nearest strike to spot). TraderValue tracks the last 8 quarters of EPS results and post-earnings price reactions for ADP.
What chart patterns is ADP showing?
ADP is not currently showing any high-confidence chart patterns (above 55%). TraderValue scans 17 patterns nightly including bull flag, cup and handle, head and shoulders, double bottom, ascending triangle, and more.
What is the analyst rating for ADP?
Analyst ratings for ADP aggregate Wall Street buy/hold/sell recommendations and price targets from major investment banks. TraderValue combines analyst consensus with EdgeOS technical signals for the highest-conviction setups.
What is ADP's P/E ratio and key fundamentals?
ADP key fundamentals including P/E ratio, market cap, EPS, and 52-week range are available in the TraderValue workspace alongside live EdgeOS technical signals.
See ADP live in the workspace

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Signal data updated hourly from live EdgeOS scans · For informational purposes only · Not investment advice · Past performance does not guarantee future results.