Quantitative Fingerprint Matching · EdgeOS 7-Year Data

Stock Pattern Recognition

Identify stocks whose current technical fingerprint — SCTR momentum rank, EdgeOS bull count, trend phase, and extension level — matches past setups in 7 years of historical data. See what happened next based on forward return distributions across 799,000+ signals.

How Fingerprint Matching Works

Each stock in the EdgeOS universe is described by four quantitative signal dimensions. A fingerprint is the combination of all four — precise enough to find historically similar setups, general enough to return meaningful sample sizes from 7 years of data.

01

Pattern Score — SCTR Band

The Stock Chart Technical Ranking (SCTR) measures composite momentum from 0–100. The fingerprint uses SCTR bands: Low (<25), Mid (25–50), High (50–75), and VH (>75). Only stocks with SCTR > 9 are eligible for bull signals — SCTR gates whether a setup is in a strong enough momentum regime to qualify.

02

Cycle Phase — Bull Count

The EdgeOS bull counter increments each day price stays above the Saty ATR trigger in a bull trend. Count 1–4 = early cycle (best risk/reward). Count 5–8 = mid-cycle (ride-along). Count 9–13 = exhaustion zone (take profits, approaching reversal). The phase determines whether a pattern is an entry, a hold, or a trim signal.

03

Trend Phase — Confirmed vs Fluid

Trend classification uses EMA crossovers. Confirmed bull: EMA34 > EMA50 (multi-week trend established). Fluid bull: EMA5 > EMA12 only (short-term momentum, not yet confirmed). Confirmed bull setups have a ~5pp higher historical win rate than fluid bull setups at the same count phase — trend type is the primary filter after SCTR gating.

04

Extension Level — ext_score

The extension score measures how far price has moved above the Saty ATR trigger, normalized to ATR units. Tight (<0.4): price near trigger, best entry risk/reward. Mod (0.4–0.8): acceptable. Stretch (0.8–1.2): elevated risk, reduce size. Ext (>1.2): historically negative expected return, avoid new entries.

Live Top Pattern Matches

Current stocks in active bull counts with SCTR above 9 — updated every 30 minutes from the EdgeOS universe. Each row shows the four fingerprint dimensions for easy comparison.

SymbolSCTRBullTrendExtClose
AIXIVH553.71neutralTight$13.62
TCGLVH483.39Conf BullExt$172.84
BWETVH136.62neutralTight$174.39
ARMGVH136.06Conf BullExt$40.02
STAKVH106.51Conf BullExt$2.03
MNTSVH94.15Conf BullExt$19.40
SCOVH89.51Conf BullExt$26.91
EVTVVH83.57Conf BullExt$2.23
View all in workspace →

Reading a Pattern Fingerprint

A complete fingerprint looks like: SCTR HIGH · Bull 2 · Confirmed Bull · Mod Extension. In plain English: the stock has strong composite momentum (SCTR in the 50–75 band), is on its second bar of a new bull cycle (early-cycle, best risk/reward zone), the uptrend has been in place long enough for EMA34 to cross above EMA50 (confirmed — not just a short-term blip), and price has moved moderately above the Saty ATR trigger (extension score 0.4–0.8, acceptable entry risk).

When that fingerprint is queried against 7 years of EdgeOS data, the engine finds every past instance where a stock had the same four dimensions simultaneously — then aggregates the 5-day and 10-day forward returns from those instances. The result is a base rate: the historical probability of a positive return given that exact setup configuration, derived from real trade data rather than assumption.

The most important modifier is extension score. Tight extension (<0.4) consistently produces the best base rates because it means price is close to the trigger — the entry risk is defined and the upside target is further away. Extended setups (>1.2) produce historically negative expected returns because the easy move has already happened and mean reversion becomes more likely than continuation.

Fingerprint Dimension Reference

DimensionValueSignal Meaning
SCTRLow (<25)Weak composite momentum. Rare for bull signals. High failure rate.
SCTRMid (25–50)Moderate momentum. Valid setups but lower base rate than High/VH.
SCTRHigh (50–75)Strong momentum. Core zone for T1 ignitions with 55–60% 10d WR.
SCTRVH (>75)Exceptional momentum. Best when combined with Tight or Mod extension.
Bull Count1–4 (Early)First bars of a new cycle. Best risk/reward. Entry zone per doctrine.
Bull Count5–8 (Mid)Continuation. Hold winners; trail stop above trigger.
Bull Count9–13 (Exh)Exhaustion approaching. Take profits. New entries are low base rate.
TrendConfirmed BullEMA34 > EMA50. Multi-week trend. Highest win rate across all setups.
TrendFluid BullEMA5 > EMA12 only. Short-term. ~5pp lower WR than confirmed.
ExtensionTight (<0.4)Near trigger. Best base rate. Entry risk is tightest here.
ExtensionMod (0.4–0.8)Acceptable. Standard for most T1 ignitions at count 1–2.
ExtensionStretch (0.8–1.2)Elevated. Reduce position size. Consider waiting for pullback.
ExtensionExt (>1.2)Overextended. Historically negative expected return. Avoid entry.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is stock pattern recognition in trading?

Pattern recognition in trading identifies stocks whose current technical fingerprint — SCTR score, EdgeOS bull count, trend phase (confirmed/fluid), and extension level — matches past setups in the historical database. Instead of visual chart shapes, TraderValue uses quantitative signal components: a stock with SCTR 62, bull count 3, confirmed bull trend, and moderate extension has a precise fingerprint that can be matched against 7 years of similar configurations to compute forward return distributions.

How does TraderValue pattern matching work?

TraderValue's pattern matching compares four signal components: (1) SCTR band (how strong is the stock's composite momentum rank), (2) EdgeOS count phase (early cycle bull 1-4 vs mid-cycle 5-8 vs exhaustion 9-13), (3) trend type (confirmed bull trend when EMA34>EMA50 vs fluid bull when EMA5>EMA12 only), and (4) extension score (how far price has moved from Saty ATR trigger levels). Past setups with matching fingerprints are retrieved from 7 years of EdgeOS data, and their forward returns at 5 and 10 days are aggregated to produce base rates.

Which stocks are currently showing pattern matches?

Pattern matches are computed in real time for all 3,000+ liquid US stocks in the EdgeOS universe. The strongest current matches are stocks in active bull counts (bull > 0) with SCTR above 9 and low-to-moderate extension (ext_score < 1.2). You can see the current top matches on this page (updated every 30 minutes) or explore any specific stock's pattern in the TraderValue workspace.

What is the historical win rate for pattern-matched setups?

Based on 7 years of EdgeOS data across 799,000+ signals, T1 ignition setups (bull count 1) in confirmed bull trends with SCTR > 25 (high zone) have a 55-60% 10-day win rate in bull market regimes. Extension level is the biggest modifier: tight extension (<0.4) improves win rate by ~5pp; extended (>1.2) reduces it by ~8pp. The win rate calculator at /win-rates lets you apply all four fingerprint dimensions interactively.

How is pattern matching different from chart pattern recognition?

Traditional chart pattern recognition (head-and-shoulders, cup-and-handle) identifies visual price shapes that are subjective and inconsistent across practitioners. TraderValue pattern matching is purely quantitative: it uses four numerical signal dimensions from the EdgeOS system — SCTR, bull count, trend classification, and extension score — all derived from the same 47 Rust indicator algorithms that power the live signal feed. This makes fingerprint matching objective and reproducible: two analysts looking at the same stock get the same fingerprint.

Related Tools

Explore pattern matches in the Workspace →

Full EdgeOS signal feed with SCTR rankings, bull/bear counts, options flow, and AI research notes — all in one terminal.

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Pattern match data is updated every 30 minutes from the EdgeOS signal pipeline. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Past signal performance does not guarantee future results. Trading involves substantial risk of loss.