T1 Ignition Signals — Thursday, September 17, 2026

EdgeOS scanned ~3,000 liquid US equities and identified 80 qualified signals.

CHOP REGIMEHistorical T1 win rate: 44% in Chop regimes(7-yr backtest · 799k signals)🟢 34 bull   🔴 46 bear

Signal Snapshot

On Thursday, September 17, 2026, the EdgeOS scanner identified 34 T1 ignition signals in a Chop market regime. The SPY SCTR was in the Chop zone, which corresponds to a historical T1 win rate of 44% based on 7-year backtests across 799,000+ signals. Bull T1 ignitions fired on: DELL, CAI, HAE, TEM, AGEN, UMC, ILMN, ARKG, SMTC, PBF, BEX, ROIV, SEI, BE, BIO, DBX, EWTX, IMAX, RLAY, RDNT, ARE, BLLN, WAT, MTCH, WST, CLF, FPS, SVXY, MKTX, BNS, LGND, TEVA, NWG, SAN. Bear ignitions: UNG, JKHY, SIRI, CI, BRO, FOX, FOXA, ASND, HIG, VRSK, SCI, LITE, AFRM, ADT, MRSH, HRI, TCBI, KRG, IRTC, HLT, CHDN, LRN, RSI, DTE, HXL, MCD, CSGP, AAPD, DKNG, MLM, WMS, GLPI, JD, PFGC, FCN, MZTI, BA, KVYO, KTB, SMG, POST, PDD, SARO, LITX, BILI, MTZ. A T1 ignition occurs when a stock's bull counter crosses from 0 to 1 with SCTR above 9, confirming the start of a new bullish count cycle. Entry is above the trigger price; the ATR-derived target and stop define the trade's risk/reward.

The 55% historical win rate for T1 ignitions applies in bull regimes. In chop, it drops to 44%; in bear regimes, 38%. Risk management and SCTR band matter: signals with SCTR in the High or VH band (above 6.0) historically outperform those in the Mid band.

🟢 T1 Ignition Signals (34)

SymbolSCTRBandTrendCloseTriggerTargetStopExt
DELL34.8VHConfirmed Bull$588.40$571.24$596.97$555.34🔵 Tight
CAI27.1VHConfirmed Bull$30.92$28.57$29.73$27.85🔴 Ext
HAE23.9VHConfirmed Bull$107.60$106.95$109.24$105.53🔵 Tight
TEM23.7VHConfirmed Bull$80.36$71.12$74.84$68.82🔴 Ext
AGEN21.8VHneutral$7.22$7.33$7.73$7.09🔵 Tight
UMC21.5VHConfirmed Bull$24.47$22.77$23.56$22.29🔴 Ext
ILMN21.4VHConfirmed Bull$245.18$231.31$239.03$226.55🔴 Ext
ARKG20.2VHConfirmed Bull$51.59$48.27$49.62$47.43🔴 Ext
SMTC20.2VHConfirmed Bull$178.19$170.38$179.56$164.72🔵 Tight
PBF20.2VHConfirmed Bull$77.16$76.97$80.33$74.89🔵 Tight
BEX18.0VHConfirmed Bull$38.62$36.91$40.52$34.68🔵 Tight
ROIV15.7VHConfirmed Bull$39.98$39.94$41.15$39.20🔵 Tight
SEI14.9VHConfirmed Bull$69.22$65.68$69.18$63.52🔵 Tight
BE14.6VHConfirmed Bull$280.76$274.47$288.89$265.57🔵 Tight
BIO14.5VHConfirmed Bull$382.41$381.44$389.26$376.62🔵 Tight
DBX14.3VHConfirmed Bull$37.61$38.02$38.92$37.46🔵 Tight
EWTX14.3VHConfirmed Bull$46.94$45.95$47.60$44.93🔵 Tight
IMAX14.0VHFluid Bear$51.83$52.48$53.80$51.66🔵 Tight
RLAY13.1VHConfirmed Bull$19.19$19.04$19.67$18.64🔵 Tight
RDNT13.1VHConfirmed Bull$77.78$76.42$78.51$75.14🔵 Tight
ARE12.5VHConfirmed Bull$56.34$53.96$55.40$53.08🔴 Ext
BLLN11.6VHConfirmed Bull$110.67$104.97$109.38$102.25🔴 Ext
WAT11.2VHConfirmed Bull$429.72$421.37$430.21$415.91🔵 Tight
MTCH11.2VHConfirmed Bull$43.77$43.88$44.83$43.28🔵 Tight
WST11.0VHConfirmed Bull$366.60$363.99$370.38$360.03🔵 Tight
CLF10.7VHConfirmed Bull$12.76$12.29$12.75$12.01🔵 Tight
FPS10.7VHConfirmed Bull$38.06$35.46$37.45$34.22🔴 Ext
SVXY10.3VHConfirmed Bull$63.50$62.53$63.25$62.09🟠 Stretch
MKTX10.1VHConfirmed Bull$163.32$163.54$164.17$163.16🔵 Tight
BNS9.9VHConfirmed Bull$94.10$93.36$94.65$92.56🔵 Tight
LGND9.7VHFluid Bull$284.70$277.36$284.37$273.04🔵 Tight
TEVA9.7VHConfirmed Bull$39.19$38.81$39.70$38.25🔵 Tight
NWG9.4VHConfirmed Bull$18.94$18.70$18.98$18.54🔵 Tight
SAN9.1VHConfirmed Bull$14.82$14.47$14.69$14.33🔴 Ext
DELLT1 IGNITIONSCTR 34.8 · Confirmed Bull

DELL generated a T1 ignition signal on Thursday, September 17, 2026 with the bull counter crossing to 1. The stock closed at $588.40 with a buy trigger above $571.24. ATR-based target is $596.97 with a stop below $555.34. SCTR 34.8 places this in the VH band (above median — historically better WR).

CAIT1 IGNITIONSCTR 27.1 · Confirmed Bull

CAI generated a T1 ignition signal on Thursday, September 17, 2026 with the bull counter crossing to 1. The stock closed at $30.92 with a buy trigger above $28.57. ATR-based target is $29.73 with a stop below $27.85. SCTR 27.1 places this in the VH band (above median — historically better WR).

HAET1 IGNITIONSCTR 23.9 · Confirmed Bull

HAE generated a T1 ignition signal on Thursday, September 17, 2026 with the bull counter crossing to 1. The stock closed at $107.60 with a buy trigger above $106.95. ATR-based target is $109.24 with a stop below $105.53. SCTR 23.9 places this in the VH band (above median — historically better WR).

TEMT1 IGNITIONSCTR 23.7 · Confirmed Bull

TEM generated a T1 ignition signal on Thursday, September 17, 2026 with the bull counter crossing to 1. The stock closed at $80.36 with a buy trigger above $71.12. ATR-based target is $74.84 with a stop below $68.82. SCTR 23.7 places this in the VH band (above median — historically better WR).

AGENT1 IGNITIONSCTR 21.8 · neutral

AGEN generated a T1 ignition signal on Thursday, September 17, 2026 with the bull counter crossing to 1. The stock closed at $7.22 with a buy trigger above $7.33. ATR-based target is $7.73 with a stop below $7.09. SCTR 21.8 places this in the VH band (above median — historically better WR).

UMCT1 IGNITIONSCTR 21.5 · Confirmed Bull

UMC generated a T1 ignition signal on Thursday, September 17, 2026 with the bull counter crossing to 1. The stock closed at $24.47 with a buy trigger above $22.77. ATR-based target is $23.56 with a stop below $22.29. SCTR 21.5 places this in the VH band (above median — historically better WR).

🔴 Bear Ignition Signals (46)

SymbolSCTRTrendCloseShort BelowTargetStop
UNG3.9Confirmed Bear$10.33$10.29$10.08$10.43
JKHY3.8Confirmed Bear$156.21$157.71$153.61$160.25
SIRI3.8Confirmed Bear$27.74$28.37$27.74$28.75
CI3.6Confirmed Bear$276.00$278.83$273.57$282.07
BRO3.4Confirmed Bear$65.12$65.42$63.94$66.34
FOX3.1Fluid Bear$58.43$58.76$57.50$59.54
FOXA3.0Fluid Bear$64.98$65.72$64.29$66.60
ASND3.0Confirmed Bear$239.04$245.27$237.42$250.11
HIG2.9Confirmed Bear$133.14$134.36$132.50$135.52
VRSK2.9Confirmed Bear$176.48$180.17$175.06$183.33
SCI2.9Confirmed Bear$79.04$80.25$78.84$81.13
LITE2.9neutral$893.61$903.37$851.49$935.43
AFRM2.8Confirmed Bear$70.28$70.70$67.84$72.46
ADT2.4Confirmed Bear$6.99$6.99$6.87$7.07
MRSH2.3Confirmed Bear$174.58$175.86$172.95$177.66
HRI2.1Confirmed Bear$138.76$140.97$135.33$144.45
TCBI1.8Confirmed Bear$94.48$94.90$93.51$95.76
KRG1.7Confirmed Bear$25.40$25.56$25.25$25.74
IRTC1.6Confirmed Bear$111.75$110.63$106.76$113.01
HLT1.5Confirmed Bear$302.54$304.09$299.11$307.17
CHDN1.3Confirmed Bear$82.22$81.97$79.77$83.33
LRN1.3Confirmed Bear$80.95$81.44$79.51$82.64
RSI1.2Confirmed Bear$25.25$25.64$24.81$26.14
DTE0.7Confirmed Bear$130.44$130.16$128.41$131.24
HXL0.3Confirmed Bear$88.04$90.45$88.41$91.71
MCD0.2Confirmed Bear$248.48$247.53$244.18$249.59
CSGP0.2Confirmed Bear$29.30$30.05$29.04$30.67
AAPD0.0Confirmed Bear$10.33$10.41$10.22$10.53
DKNG-0.3Confirmed Bear$22.47$24.06$23.18$24.60
MLM-0.5Confirmed Bear$494.44$493.59$483.34$499.93
WMS-0.5Confirmed Bear$125.67$125.83$122.55$127.85
GLPI-0.6Confirmed Bear$40.11$40.17$39.57$40.53
JD-0.7Confirmed Bear$26.64$26.77$26.36$27.03
PFGC-0.7Confirmed Bear$90.36$90.45$88.49$91.67
FCN-0.7Confirmed Bear$141.00$144.21$141.22$146.05
MZTI-0.8Confirmed Bear$101.25$102.15$99.51$103.77
BA-1.0Confirmed Bear$197.00$200.62$196.29$203.30
KVYO-1.0Confirmed Bear$15.87$15.98$15.17$16.48
KTB-1.2Confirmed Bear$65.53$67.70$65.53$69.04
SMG-1.6Confirmed Bear$53.93$54.33$52.85$55.25
POST-1.7Confirmed Bear$77.86$77.89$75.95$79.09
PDD-2.0Confirmed Bear$77.73$78.28$76.72$79.24
SARO-2.2Confirmed Bear$22.54$22.93$22.30$23.33
LITX-3.9Confirmed Bear$29.05$29.69$26.19$31.85
BILI-5.4Confirmed Bear$14.40$14.77$14.36$15.03
MTZ-8.2Confirmed Bear$207.75$222.26$211.39$228.98

Frequently Asked Questions

How many T1 ignition signals fired on Thursday, September 17, 2026?

EdgeOS identified 34 bull T1 ignitions and 46 bear ignitions on Thursday, September 17, 2026. The scanner filters to ~3,000 liquid US equities with ADV ≥ $40M and price ≥ $5.00.

What is the historical win rate for T1 ignitions?

In a Chop regime (current on Thursday, September 17, 2026), the historical win rate is 44% based on 7-year backtests across 799,000+ signals. In bull regimes: 55%. In chop: 44%. In bear: 38%.

How do I use these signals?

Buy above the trigger price (the close when bull count = 1). Hold toward the ATR target, which represents a 1.0× ATR move above the prior period close. Stop below the lower trigger. Exit near count 9 if reached. Average hold: 12–15 trading days for completed cycles.

What is SCTR and why does it matter here?

SCTR (StockCharts Technical Rank) is a composite score from 0–10 blending 26-week/13-week rate of change, PPO, and RSI. A reading above 9 is required for a T1 bull ignition. Higher SCTR (VH band, above 8) historically shows slightly better win rates.

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