T1 Ignition Signals — Wednesday, September 16, 2026

EdgeOS scanned ~3,000 liquid US equities and identified 94 qualified signals.

CHOP REGIMEHistorical T1 win rate: 44% in Chop regimes(7-yr backtest · 799k signals)🟢 10 bull   🔴 84 bear

Signal Snapshot

On Wednesday, September 16, 2026, the EdgeOS scanner identified 10 T1 ignition signals in a Chop market regime. The SPY SCTR was in the Chop zone, which corresponds to a historical T1 win rate of 44% based on 7-year backtests across 799,000+ signals. Bull T1 ignitions fired on: NTRA, NET, SIG, LQDA, EQH, CRBG, ARQT, EHC, RAMP, QGEN. Bear ignitions: ORI, ASB, COLD, FTI, EWBC, FBTC, IBIT, KEX, USB, BITB, CVS, ARKB, FAF, ESS, GBTC, ZION, MMM, KNX, CNI, BITO, SHOP, AUB, MGY, PB, PYPL, PNC, CFG, TMUS, AN, OIH, MTB, HST, VNOM, TFC, WCN, NBIX, PNFP, PHM, NE, RIG, RF, UPS, HAL, VAL, HIMS, NFLX, RRC, CTRE, AXP, ENPH, HBAN, KEY, ABG, TPL, SUI, ICLN, KBH, ALLY, INFY, VERA, BLSH, JBHT, WY, BITX, LMND, VALE, NXPI, BKV, RKT, COIN, ADSK, NXST, INOD, Z, SYNA, ODFL, RKLB, ONDS, ON, RUN, FLY, NXT, AVL, AVGX. A T1 ignition occurs when a stock's bull counter crosses from 0 to 1 with SCTR above 9, confirming the start of a new bullish count cycle. Entry is above the trigger price; the ATR-derived target and stop define the trade's risk/reward.

The 55% historical win rate for T1 ignitions applies in bull regimes. In chop, it drops to 44%; in bear regimes, 38%. Risk management and SCTR band matter: signals with SCTR in the High or VH band (above 6.0) historically outperform those in the Mid band.

🟢 T1 Ignition Signals (10)

SymbolSCTRBandTrendCloseTriggerTargetStopExt
NTRA18.9VHConfirmed Bull$345.34$353.47$362.19$348.09🔵 Tight
NET17.2VHConfirmed Bull$324.65$331.19$344.00$323.27🔵 Tight
SIG15.9VHConfirmed Bull$102.94$100.93$104.36$98.81🔵 Tight
LQDA13.2VHFluid Bull$68.45$66.53$69.16$64.91🔵 Tight
EQH12.3VHConfirmed Bull$53.88$54.27$55.26$53.67🔵 Tight
CRBG12.2VHConfirmed Bull$34.85$35.22$35.85$34.82🔵 Tight
ARQT10.7VHConfirmed Bull$26.14$23.77$24.60$23.25🔴 Ext
EHC9.7VHConfirmed Bull$123.91$122.64$124.70$121.36🔵 Tight
RAMP9.6VHConfirmed Bull$37.87$37.65$37.76$37.57🟠 Stretch
QGEN9.2VHConfirmed Bull$42.90$42.75$43.61$42.21🔵 Tight
NTRAT1 IGNITIONSCTR 18.9 · Confirmed Bull

NTRA generated a T1 ignition signal on Wednesday, September 16, 2026 with the bull counter crossing to 1. The stock closed at $345.34 with a buy trigger above $353.47. ATR-based target is $362.19 with a stop below $348.09. SCTR 18.9 places this in the VH band (above median — historically better WR).

NETT1 IGNITIONSCTR 17.2 · Confirmed Bull

NET generated a T1 ignition signal on Wednesday, September 16, 2026 with the bull counter crossing to 1. The stock closed at $324.65 with a buy trigger above $331.19. ATR-based target is $344.00 with a stop below $323.27. SCTR 17.2 places this in the VH band (above median — historically better WR).

SIGT1 IGNITIONSCTR 15.9 · Confirmed Bull

SIG generated a T1 ignition signal on Wednesday, September 16, 2026 with the bull counter crossing to 1. The stock closed at $102.94 with a buy trigger above $100.93. ATR-based target is $104.36 with a stop below $98.81. SCTR 15.9 places this in the VH band (above median — historically better WR).

LQDAT1 IGNITIONSCTR 13.2 · Fluid Bull

LQDA generated a T1 ignition signal on Wednesday, September 16, 2026 with the bull counter crossing to 1. The stock closed at $68.45 with a buy trigger above $66.53. ATR-based target is $69.16 with a stop below $64.91. SCTR 13.2 places this in the VH band (above median — historically better WR).

EQHT1 IGNITIONSCTR 12.3 · Confirmed Bull

EQH generated a T1 ignition signal on Wednesday, September 16, 2026 with the bull counter crossing to 1. The stock closed at $53.88 with a buy trigger above $54.27. ATR-based target is $55.26 with a stop below $53.67. SCTR 12.3 places this in the VH band (above median — historically better WR).

CRBGT1 IGNITIONSCTR 12.2 · Confirmed Bull

CRBG generated a T1 ignition signal on Wednesday, September 16, 2026 with the bull counter crossing to 1. The stock closed at $34.85 with a buy trigger above $35.22. ATR-based target is $35.85 with a stop below $34.82. SCTR 12.2 places this in the VH band (above median — historically better WR).

🔴 Bear Ignition Signals (84)

SymbolSCTRTrendCloseShort BelowTargetStop
ORI3.9Confirmed Bear$40.90$40.88$40.31$41.24
ASB3.8Confirmed Bear$29.76$30.18$29.72$30.46
COLD3.7Confirmed Bear$14.52$14.86$14.47$15.10
FTI3.6Confirmed Bear$72.78$74.37$72.41$75.57
EWBC3.5Confirmed Bear$126.18$128.14$126.22$129.32
FBTC3.4Fluid Bear$66.10$65.72$64.18$66.68
IBIT3.4Fluid Bear$43.04$42.80$41.78$43.42
KEX3.4Confirmed Bear$136.94$138.19$135.68$139.73
USB3.4Confirmed Bear$59.73$61.92$60.94$62.52
BITB3.4Fluid Bear$41.24$41.02$40.07$41.62
CVS3.4Confirmed Bear$91.72$93.93$92.12$95.05
ARKB3.3Fluid Bear$25.16$25.05$24.47$25.41
FAF3.3Confirmed Bear$71.11$72.37$70.90$73.29
ESS3.3Confirmed Bear$271.34$274.89$271.14$277.21
GBTC3.3Fluid Bear$58.75$58.42$57.05$59.26
ZION3.3Confirmed Bear$65.47$67.61$66.39$68.37
MMM3.2Confirmed Bear$162.65$163.80$160.98$165.54
KNX3.2Confirmed Bear$65.78$67.90$65.99$69.08
CNI3.1Confirmed Bear$119.49$121.29$119.72$122.25
BITO3.1Fluid Bear$10.22$10.15$9.91$10.31
SHOP3.0Confirmed Bear$129.96$128.40$123.69$131.32
AUB3.0Confirmed Bear$39.14$39.70$39.08$40.08
MGY3.0Confirmed Bear$26.10$28.32$27.57$28.78
PB3.0Confirmed Bear$70.34$70.66$69.70$71.26
PYPL2.9Confirmed Bear$52.71$53.39$52.03$54.23
PNC2.9Confirmed Bear$231.49$239.61$235.82$241.95
CFG2.9Confirmed Bear$66.84$69.84$68.54$70.64
TMUS2.8Confirmed Bear$176.26$179.30$175.51$181.64
AN2.6Confirmed Bear$195.37$202.05$197.02$205.17
OIH2.6Confirmed Bear$399.85$408.68$399.50$414.34
MTB2.6Confirmed Bear$226.01$234.23$230.52$236.51
HST2.5Confirmed Bear$21.76$22.02$21.68$22.24
VNOM2.4Confirmed Bear$43.19$45.68$44.78$46.24
TFC2.3Confirmed Bear$48.44$50.20$49.37$50.72
WCN2.3Confirmed Bear$156.50$158.74$156.38$160.20
NBIX2.2Confirmed Bear$149.50$148.95$145.49$151.09
PNFP2.0Confirmed Bear$96.07$98.75$96.83$99.93
PHM1.9Confirmed Bear$117.55$118.68$116.14$120.26
NE1.8Confirmed Bear$44.34$46.14$44.80$46.96
RIG1.8Confirmed Bear$5.54$5.88$5.67$6.00
RF1.8Confirmed Bear$28.47$29.53$29.05$29.83
UPS1.8Confirmed Bear$98.77$101.84$100.18$102.86
HAL1.8Confirmed Bear$34.51$35.40$34.53$35.94
VAL1.8Confirmed Bear$82.52$87.29$84.26$89.17
HIMS1.6Confirmed Bear$28.00$27.45$26.15$28.25
NFLX1.6Confirmed Bear$76.41$77.37$75.64$78.43
RRC1.5Confirmed Bear$38.85$41.61$40.69$42.19
CTRE1.4Confirmed Bear$37.98$38.20$37.48$38.64
AXP1.4Confirmed Bear$312.43$322.92$318.04$325.94
ENPH1.4Confirmed Bear$35.56$36.23$34.63$37.21
HBAN1.1Confirmed Bear$15.82$16.66$16.37$16.84
KEY1.0Confirmed Bear$20.72$21.59$21.23$21.81
ABG0.9Confirmed Bear$195.21$203.69$198.96$206.61
TPL0.8Confirmed Bear$348.57$368.01$356.29$375.25
SUI0.8Confirmed Bear$114.89$116.54$114.63$117.72
ICLN0.7Confirmed Bear$17.32$17.35$17.05$17.53
KBH0.5Confirmed Bear$48.67$49.11$47.79$49.93
ALLY0.5Confirmed Bear$40.31$41.33$40.50$41.83
INFY0.4Confirmed Bear$11.08$11.23$10.95$11.41
VERA0.2Confirmed Bear$31.77$33.20$31.66$34.14
BLSH0.1Fluid Bear$32.08$34.91$33.15$36.01
JBHT0.0Confirmed Bear$236.73$270.72$263.17$275.38
WY-0.3Confirmed Bear$21.81$22.16$21.76$22.42
BITX-0.3Fluid Bear$16.41$16.24$15.46$16.72
LMND-0.4Confirmed Bear$48.57$49.18$47.38$50.30
VALE-0.4Confirmed Bear$14.13$14.36$14.02$14.58
NXPI-0.6Confirmed Bear$218.98$224.45$218.30$228.25
BKV-0.6Confirmed Bear$22.79$24.07$23.18$24.63
RKT-0.7Confirmed Bear$12.95$13.04$12.56$13.34
COIN-1.5Confirmed Bear$164.51$169.28$160.12$174.94
ADSK-1.8Confirmed Bear$220.31$224.09$216.28$228.91
NXST-1.9Confirmed Bear$163.67$167.28$162.34$170.32
INOD-2.4neutral$55.41$53.64$51.28$55.10
Z-2.5Confirmed Bear$31.31$32.16$30.98$32.88
SYNA-2.7Confirmed Bear$89.24$96.16$92.39$98.48
ODFL-2.7Confirmed Bear$174.36$179.50$174.77$182.42
RKLB-3.3neutral$63.70$62.66$59.79$64.44
ONDS-3.5Confirmed Bear$7.20$7.13$6.77$7.35
ON-4.5Confirmed Bear$66.60$72.29$69.35$74.11
RUN-5.1Confirmed Bear$8.27$8.29$7.93$8.51
FLY-5.6Confirmed Bear$20.28$20.14$19.00$20.84
NXT-5.7Confirmed Bear$78.03$78.72$75.25$80.86
AVL-8.0Confirmed Bear$33.70$33.06$31.07$34.30
AVGX-8.2Confirmed Bear$35.38$34.78$32.67$36.08

Frequently Asked Questions

How many T1 ignition signals fired on Wednesday, September 16, 2026?

EdgeOS identified 10 bull T1 ignitions and 84 bear ignitions on Wednesday, September 16, 2026. The scanner filters to ~3,000 liquid US equities with ADV ≥ $40M and price ≥ $5.00.

What is the historical win rate for T1 ignitions?

In a Chop regime (current on Wednesday, September 16, 2026), the historical win rate is 44% based on 7-year backtests across 799,000+ signals. In bull regimes: 55%. In chop: 44%. In bear: 38%.

How do I use these signals?

Buy above the trigger price (the close when bull count = 1). Hold toward the ATR target, which represents a 1.0× ATR move above the prior period close. Stop below the lower trigger. Exit near count 9 if reached. Average hold: 12–15 trading days for completed cycles.

What is SCTR and why does it matter here?

SCTR (StockCharts Technical Rank) is a composite score from 0–10 blending 26-week/13-week rate of change, PPO, and RSI. A reading above 9 is required for a T1 bull ignition. Higher SCTR (VH band, above 8) historically shows slightly better win rates.

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