T1 Ignition Signals — Tuesday, September 15, 2026
EdgeOS scanned ~3,000 liquid US equities and identified 124 qualified signals.
Signal Snapshot
On Tuesday, September 15, 2026, the EdgeOS scanner identified 31 T1 ignition signals in a Chop market regime. The SPY SCTR was in the Chop zone, which corresponds to a historical T1 win rate of 44% based on 7-year backtests across 799,000+ signals. Bull T1 ignitions fired on: SWKS, NTSK, GH, DK, PBF, ADPT, QRVO, BUG, RVTY, DBX, APA, CRGY, COP, TMO, WEX, FFIV, MTCH, BILL, FTXN, DGX, XLE, EOG, XOM, VDE, ABBV, BTE, FXN, MET, WST, QCOM, FANG. Bear ignitions: CBRL, KSS, URBN, DLO, XLP, ROP, MGA, STEP, CMG, PEN, ADBE, HUT, SOFI, SBRA, ED, PKG, AXSM, EVRG, JKHY, FXI, ASND, JETS, CPT, MSCI, SNA, TOST, SNY, WRBY, DUK, HLT, BRZE, GAP, MCHI, SHOO, HLN, ORLY, IDA, AAL, MIRM, WEC, VCYT, IRTC, OTIS, EXC, HYMB, SCMB, VTEB, SRE, COST, SO, TNL, TTWO, ATO, DPZ, EME, H, YUM, VICI, PEG, AZO, DTM, HRL, FLG, CMS, GWRE, BSY, AON, PTC, AVGO, RYAAY, XPO, FERG, ABVX, WWD, NKE, FICO, BBWI, TME, MIAX, Q, AEO, FND, POOL, POET, RH, UPST, PINS, NCLH, AAON, ROL, XPEV, MTZ, ALHC. A T1 ignition occurs when a stock's bull counter crosses from 0 to 1 with SCTR above 9, confirming the start of a new bullish count cycle. Entry is above the trigger price; the ATR-derived target and stop define the trade's risk/reward.
The 55% historical win rate for T1 ignitions applies in bull regimes. In chop, it drops to 44%; in bear regimes, 38%. Risk management and SCTR band matter: signals with SCTR in the High or VH band (above 6.0) historically outperform those in the Mid band.
🟢 T1 Ignition Signals (31)
| Symbol | SCTR | Band | Trend | Close | Trigger | Target | Stop | Ext |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SWKS | 21.8 | VH | Confirmed Bull | $90.00 | $80.40 | $84.07 | $78.12 | 🔴 Ext |
| NTSK | 21.3 | VH | Confirmed Bull | $17.47 | $17.26 | $18.09 | $16.74 | 🔵 Tight |
| GH | 20.7 | VH | Confirmed Bull | $175.65 | $169.83 | $176.26 | $165.85 | 🔵 Tight |
| DK | 20.5 | VH | Confirmed Bull | $78.14 | $75.45 | $78.62 | $73.49 | 🔵 Tight |
| PBF | 19.9 | VH | Confirmed Bull | $74.72 | $71.45 | $74.83 | $69.35 | 🔵 Tight |
| ADPT | 19.5 | VH | Confirmed Bull | $26.68 | $25.06 | $25.98 | $24.50 | 🔴 Ext |
| QRVO | 18.2 | VH | Confirmed Bull | $118.06 | $109.06 | $112.55 | $106.90 | 🔴 Ext |
| BUG | 18.0 | VH | Confirmed Bull | $45.30 | $44.70 | $45.95 | $43.92 | 🔵 Tight |
| RVTY | 16.3 | VH | Confirmed Bull | $140.19 | $129.54 | $132.95 | $127.44 | 🔴 Ext |
| DBX | 16.3 | VH | Confirmed Bull | $37.63 | $37.59 | $38.51 | $37.03 | 🔵 Tight |
| APA | 15.7 | VH | Confirmed Bull | $47.41 | $45.39 | $46.57 | $44.67 | 🔴 Ext |
| CRGY | 15.0 | VH | Confirmed Bull | $15.37 | $14.71 | $15.08 | $14.47 | 🔴 Ext |
| COP | 12.8 | VH | Confirmed Bull | $141.22 | $137.44 | $139.93 | $135.90 | 🔴 Ext |
| TMO | 12.4 | VH | Confirmed Bull | $641.39 | $617.37 | $629.52 | $609.87 | 🔴 Ext |
| WEX | 12.2 | VH | Confirmed Bull | $200.08 | $202.09 | $206.44 | $199.41 | 🔵 Tight |
| FFIV | 12.2 | VH | Confirmed Bull | $430.88 | $414.72 | $425.17 | $408.26 | 🔴 Ext |
| MTCH | 12.0 | VH | Confirmed Bull | $44.40 | $43.45 | $44.44 | $42.85 | 🔵 Tight |
| BILL | 11.7 | VH | Confirmed Bull | $49.96 | $50.13 | $51.63 | $49.21 | 🔵 Tight |
| FTXN | 11.2 | VH | Confirmed Bull | $41.84 | $41.02 | $41.58 | $40.68 | 🔴 Ext |
| DGX | 11.2 | VH | Confirmed Bull | $247.08 | $239.23 | $243.56 | $236.55 | 🔴 Ext |
| XLE | 10.9 | VH | Confirmed Bull | $65.93 | $64.83 | $65.80 | $64.23 | 🟡 Mod |
| EOG | 10.8 | VH | Confirmed Bull | $153.74 | $149.42 | $152.25 | $147.66 | 🔴 Ext |
| XOM | 10.7 | VH | Confirmed Bull | $169.32 | $165.96 | $168.82 | $164.20 | 🟠 Stretch |
| VDE | 10.6 | VH | Confirmed Bull | $185.61 | $182.39 | $185.03 | $180.75 | 🟠 Stretch |
| ABBV | 10.4 | VH | Confirmed Bull | $263.04 | $263.17 | $267.72 | $260.37 | 🔵 Tight |
| BTE | 10.4 | VH | Confirmed Bull | $5.17 | $5.07 | $5.19 | $4.99 | 🔵 Tight |
| FXN | 10.3 | VH | Confirmed Bull | $24.35 | $23.91 | $24.27 | $23.69 | 🟠 Stretch |
| MET | 10.0 | VH | Confirmed Bull | $98.22 | $98.17 | $99.53 | $97.33 | 🔵 Tight |
| WST | 9.9 | VH | Confirmed Bull | $365.00 | $357.24 | $363.86 | $353.16 | 🟠 Stretch |
| QCOM | 9.6 | VH | Confirmed Bull | $187.80 | $181.97 | $187.85 | $178.33 | 🔵 Tight |
| FANG | 9.6 | VH | Confirmed Bull | $211.53 | $207.09 | $211.53 | $204.35 | 🔵 Tight |
SWKS generated a T1 ignition signal on Tuesday, September 15, 2026 with the bull counter crossing to 1. The stock closed at $90.00 with a buy trigger above $80.40. ATR-based target is $84.07 with a stop below $78.12. SCTR 21.8 places this in the VH band (above median — historically better WR).
NTSK generated a T1 ignition signal on Tuesday, September 15, 2026 with the bull counter crossing to 1. The stock closed at $17.47 with a buy trigger above $17.26. ATR-based target is $18.09 with a stop below $16.74. SCTR 21.3 places this in the VH band (above median — historically better WR).
GH generated a T1 ignition signal on Tuesday, September 15, 2026 with the bull counter crossing to 1. The stock closed at $175.65 with a buy trigger above $169.83. ATR-based target is $176.26 with a stop below $165.85. SCTR 20.7 places this in the VH band (above median — historically better WR).
DK generated a T1 ignition signal on Tuesday, September 15, 2026 with the bull counter crossing to 1. The stock closed at $78.14 with a buy trigger above $75.45. ATR-based target is $78.62 with a stop below $73.49. SCTR 20.5 places this in the VH band (above median — historically better WR).
PBF generated a T1 ignition signal on Tuesday, September 15, 2026 with the bull counter crossing to 1. The stock closed at $74.72 with a buy trigger above $71.45. ATR-based target is $74.83 with a stop below $69.35. SCTR 19.9 places this in the VH band (above median — historically better WR).
ADPT generated a T1 ignition signal on Tuesday, September 15, 2026 with the bull counter crossing to 1. The stock closed at $26.68 with a buy trigger above $25.06. ATR-based target is $25.98 with a stop below $24.50. SCTR 19.5 places this in the VH band (above median — historically better WR).
🔴 Bear Ignition Signals (93)
| Symbol | SCTR | Trend | Close | Short Below | Target | Stop |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBRL | 3.8 | Confirmed Bear | $45.15 | $49.94 | $48.05 | $51.12 |
| KSS | 3.8 | Confirmed Bear | $16.36 | $16.94 | $16.18 | $17.40 |
| URBN | 3.8 | Confirmed Bear | $75.91 | $76.29 | $73.98 | $77.73 |
| DLO | 3.8 | Confirmed Bear | $14.45 | $14.72 | $14.33 | $14.96 |
| XLP | 3.7 | Confirmed Bear | $83.73 | $84.17 | $83.37 | $84.67 |
| ROP | 3.7 | Confirmed Bear | $383.94 | $392.07 | $383.84 | $397.15 |
| MGA | 3.6 | Confirmed Bear | $63.42 | $64.44 | $62.99 | $65.34 |
| STEP | 3.6 | Fluid Bear | $49.41 | $50.90 | $49.26 | $51.92 |
| CMG | 3.5 | Confirmed Bear | $34.83 | $36.73 | $35.78 | $37.33 |
| PEN | 3.5 | Confirmed Bear | $318.43 | $319.36 | $317.73 | $320.36 |
| ADBE | 3.4 | Fluid Bear | $257.76 | $263.03 | $254.73 | $268.17 |
| HUT | 3.3 | Confirmed Bear | $87.09 | $89.21 | $83.01 | $93.05 |
| SOFI | 3.1 | Confirmed Bear | $17.07 | $17.47 | $16.90 | $17.83 |
| SBRA | 3.1 | Confirmed Bear | $20.27 | $20.40 | $20.06 | $20.60 |
| ED | 3.0 | Confirmed Bear | $105.24 | $105.39 | $104.12 | $106.17 |
| PKG | 3.0 | Confirmed Bear | $231.21 | $231.90 | $227.51 | $234.62 |
| AXSM | 2.8 | Confirmed Bear | $204.07 | $214.71 | $208.65 | $218.45 |
| EVRG | 2.8 | Confirmed Bear | $80.20 | $80.55 | $79.55 | $81.17 |
| JKHY | 2.3 | Confirmed Bear | $154.07 | $163.31 | $159.28 | $165.79 |
| FXI | 2.3 | Confirmed Bear | $34.40 | $34.73 | $34.39 | $34.95 |
| ASND | 2.2 | Confirmed Bear | $239.77 | $262.56 | $254.92 | $267.28 |
| JETS | 2.2 | Confirmed Bear | $27.88 | $28.03 | $27.54 | $28.33 |
| CPT | 2.1 | Confirmed Bear | $102.84 | $103.42 | $102.09 | $104.24 |
| MSCI | 2.0 | Confirmed Bear | $544.60 | $550.45 | $540.08 | $556.85 |
| SNA | 1.9 | Confirmed Bear | $374.82 | $376.16 | $370.92 | $379.40 |
| TOST | 1.9 | Confirmed Bear | $31.84 | $33.00 | $32.06 | $33.58 |
| SNY | 1.8 | Confirmed Bear | $42.40 | $43.15 | $42.58 | $43.51 |
| WRBY | 1.8 | Confirmed Bear | $24.34 | $25.38 | $24.31 | $26.04 |
| DUK | 1.7 | Confirmed Bear | $117.77 | $118.59 | $117.18 | $119.45 |
| HLT | 1.6 | Confirmed Bear | $307.79 | $309.04 | $304.01 | $312.16 |
| BRZE | 1.6 | Confirmed Bear | $25.42 | $25.17 | $23.79 | $26.03 |
| GAP | 1.5 | Confirmed Bear | $20.43 | $20.72 | $20.07 | $21.12 |
| MCHI | 1.4 | Confirmed Bear | $52.91 | $53.18 | $52.72 | $53.46 |
| SHOO | 1.3 | Confirmed Bear | $40.46 | $41.98 | $40.83 | $42.70 |
| HLN | 1.2 | Confirmed Bear | $9.24 | $9.35 | $9.20 | $9.43 |
| ORLY | 1.2 | Confirmed Bear | $85.16 | $86.77 | $85.32 | $87.67 |
| IDA | 1.1 | Confirmed Bear | $132.68 | $133.34 | $131.38 | $134.54 |
| AAL | 1.1 | Confirmed Bear | $12.77 | $12.99 | $12.65 | $13.21 |
| MIRM | 1.1 | Confirmed Bear | $93.90 | $95.82 | $92.79 | $97.68 |
| WEC | 1.1 | Confirmed Bear | $103.51 | $104.76 | $103.42 | $105.58 |
| VCYT | 1.1 | Confirmed Bear | $40.14 | $40.71 | $39.09 | $41.71 |
| IRTC | 1.0 | Confirmed Bear | $111.88 | $113.43 | $109.27 | $116.01 |
| OTIS | 0.9 | Confirmed Bear | $68.50 | $69.84 | $68.73 | $70.52 |
| EXC | 0.9 | Confirmed Bear | $42.20 | $42.53 | $41.90 | $42.91 |
| HYMB | 0.9 | Confirmed Bear | $24.06 | $24.13 | $24.03 | $24.19 |
| SCMB | 0.8 | Confirmed Bear | $24.54 | $24.60 | $24.52 | $24.66 |
| VTEB | 0.8 | Confirmed Bear | $48.22 | $48.37 | $48.23 | $48.45 |
| SRE | 0.7 | Confirmed Bear | $81.20 | $82.53 | $81.03 | $83.45 |
| COST | 0.7 | Confirmed Bear | $901.35 | $915.19 | $903.14 | $922.63 |
| SO | 0.6 | Confirmed Bear | $85.95 | $86.66 | $85.58 | $87.34 |
| TNL | 0.6 | Confirmed Bear | $65.40 | $65.77 | $64.41 | $66.61 |
| TTWO | 0.6 | Confirmed Bear | $211.91 | $220.97 | $214.67 | $224.85 |
| ATO | 0.5 | Confirmed Bear | $162.04 | $163.24 | $161.31 | $164.44 |
| DPZ | 0.4 | Confirmed Bear | $310.82 | $321.05 | $312.26 | $326.49 |
| EME | 0.3 | Confirmed Bear | $735.52 | $743.33 | $722.69 | $756.07 |
| H | 0.2 | Confirmed Bear | $160.19 | $162.60 | $158.99 | $164.82 |
| YUM | 0.1 | Confirmed Bear | $140.77 | $145.33 | $142.08 | $147.33 |
| VICI | 0.1 | Confirmed Bear | $24.76 | $24.94 | $24.61 | $25.14 |
| PEG | 0.0 | Confirmed Bear | $70.42 | $70.63 | $69.71 | $71.21 |
| AZO | 0.0 | Confirmed Bear | $2860.25 | $2948.13 | $2891.84 | $2982.91 |
| DTM | 0.0 | Confirmed Bear | $125.08 | $126.43 | $123.90 | $127.99 |
| HRL | -0.1 | Confirmed Bear | $20.79 | $20.84 | $20.45 | $21.08 |
| FLG | -0.1 | Confirmed Bear | $12.84 | $12.96 | $12.75 | $13.08 |
| CMS | -0.3 | Confirmed Bear | $65.92 | $66.55 | $65.68 | $67.09 |
| GWRE | -0.4 | Confirmed Bear | $148.88 | $150.60 | $142.81 | $155.40 |
| BSY | -0.4 | Confirmed Bear | $31.88 | $31.39 | $30.39 | $32.01 |
| AON | -0.5 | Confirmed Bear | $304.67 | $309.31 | $302.11 | $313.77 |
| PTC | -0.5 | Confirmed Bear | $132.75 | $135.38 | $131.25 | $137.92 |
| AVGO | -0.6 | Confirmed Bear | $339.27 | $341.83 | $332.48 | $347.61 |
| RYAAY | -0.6 | Confirmed Bear | $51.95 | $52.85 | $51.83 | $53.47 |
| XPO | -0.6 | Confirmed Bear | $178.24 | $178.90 | $173.74 | $182.08 |
| FERG | -0.7 | Confirmed Bear | $215.11 | $220.88 | $216.25 | $223.74 |
| ABVX | -0.8 | Confirmed Bear | $106.66 | $112.44 | $108.76 | $114.72 |
| WWD | -0.9 | Confirmed Bear | $319.50 | $322.18 | $314.11 | $327.16 |
| NKE | -1.0 | Confirmed Bear | $36.22 | $36.81 | $36.05 | $37.29 |
| FICO | -1.1 | Confirmed Bear | $985.96 | $988.65 | $947.05 | $1014.35 |
| BBWI | -1.1 | Confirmed Bear | $16.72 | $17.67 | $16.89 | $18.15 |
| TME | -1.3 | Confirmed Bear | $7.89 | $8.05 | $7.86 | $8.17 |
| MIAX | -1.6 | Confirmed Bear | $39.51 | $41.34 | $39.94 | $42.20 |
| Q | -1.7 | Confirmed Bear | $114.59 | $115.81 | $111.23 | $118.65 |
| AEO | -1.8 | Confirmed Bear | $14.81 | $15.23 | $14.60 | $15.63 |
| FND | -2.0 | Confirmed Bear | $46.11 | $47.63 | $46.02 | $48.63 |
| POOL | -2.0 | Confirmed Bear | $166.86 | $170.41 | $166.02 | $173.11 |
| POET | -2.3 | Confirmed Bear | $7.21 | $7.30 | $6.89 | $7.56 |
| RH | -2.3 | Confirmed Bear | $124.83 | $132.17 | $125.70 | $136.17 |
| UPST | -2.5 | Confirmed Bear | $25.28 | $25.77 | $24.69 | $26.43 |
| PINS | -3.5 | Confirmed Bear | $18.76 | $19.48 | $18.80 | $19.90 |
| NCLH | -4.2 | Confirmed Bear | $14.28 | $14.58 | $14.11 | $14.86 |
| AAON | -4.5 | Confirmed Bear | $74.32 | $74.57 | $71.42 | $76.51 |
| ROL | -4.7 | Confirmed Bear | $33.77 | $35.10 | $34.40 | $35.52 |
| XPEV | -5.0 | Confirmed Bear | $10.23 | $10.62 | $10.32 | $10.80 |
| MTZ | -6.3 | Confirmed Bear | $222.70 | $224.56 | $214.41 | $230.84 |
| ALHC | -10.7 | Confirmed Bear | $10.37 | $12.74 | $12.09 | $13.14 |
Frequently Asked Questions
How many T1 ignition signals fired on Tuesday, September 15, 2026?
EdgeOS identified 31 bull T1 ignitions and 93 bear ignitions on Tuesday, September 15, 2026. The scanner filters to ~3,000 liquid US equities with ADV ≥ $40M and price ≥ $5.00.
What is the historical win rate for T1 ignitions?
In a Chop regime (current on Tuesday, September 15, 2026), the historical win rate is 44% based on 7-year backtests across 799,000+ signals. In bull regimes: 55%. In chop: 44%. In bear: 38%.
How do I use these signals?
Buy above the trigger price (the close when bull count = 1). Hold toward the ATR target, which represents a 1.0× ATR move above the prior period close. Stop below the lower trigger. Exit near count 9 if reached. Average hold: 12–15 trading days for completed cycles.
What is SCTR and why does it matter here?
SCTR (StockCharts Technical Rank) is a composite score from 0–10 blending 26-week/13-week rate of change, PPO, and RSI. A reading above 9 is required for a T1 bull ignition. Higher SCTR (VH band, above 8) historically shows slightly better win rates.