T1 Ignition Signals — Thursday, September 10, 2026

EdgeOS scanned ~3,000 liquid US equities and identified 122 qualified signals.

CHOP REGIMEHistorical T1 win rate: 44% in Chop regimes(7-yr backtest · 799k signals)🟢 13 bull   🔴 109 bear

Signal Snapshot

On Thursday, September 10, 2026, the EdgeOS scanner identified 13 T1 ignition signals in a Chop market regime. The SPY SCTR was in the Chop zone, which corresponds to a historical T1 win rate of 44% based on 7-year backtests across 799,000+ signals. Bull T1 ignitions fired on: DAMD, HPQ, XP, EQH, EXPD, VIST, BLLN, ZSL, ERAS, AAPL, TMV, QCOM, LGND. Bear ignitions: CVNA, PAAS, HAL, VTIP, TGB, AMT, CNI, WAY, XME, XENE, ATRO, ICSH, VUSB, VSEC, RIO, STM, JPST, BITX, VKTX, SYF, SOFI, MGA, GRID, EGP, DCI, AIT, OSK, TIP, SPSB, CRCL, SHY, LITX, EMB, PFF, EQIX, SCHO, KIM, LAZ, SPTL, VGLT, SPLB, TLH, TLT, BLV, IGLB, TMUS, TSEM, TTC, URI, VCLT, SOXL, LQD, FLS, ARQT, XMMO, SBAC, WYFI, URA, CRS, HXL, TEX, BBIO, CBOE, ONTO, CCI, CCJ, COGT, COIN, TSLL, YMM, GSK, STWD, NXE, TMDX, URNM, AAPD, TMF, ENB, ESI, ALM, SPXC, ALGN, AA, DOV, AEO, WMS, GDS, ESE, QUBT, ECG, ACI, ALGM, MSTX, CLBK, CRI, ZTS, MOD, FPS, CRCG, CRML, ROL, QXO, VFC, FLY, MLI, CONL, MTZ, XE, PPLT. A T1 ignition occurs when a stock's bull counter crosses from 0 to 1 with SCTR above 9, confirming the start of a new bullish count cycle. Entry is above the trigger price; the ATR-derived target and stop define the trade's risk/reward.

The 55% historical win rate for T1 ignitions applies in bull regimes. In chop, it drops to 44%; in bear regimes, 38%. Risk management and SCTR band matter: signals with SCTR in the High or VH band (above 6.0) historically outperform those in the Mid band.

🟢 T1 Ignition Signals (13)

SymbolSCTRBandTrendCloseTriggerTargetStopExt
DAMD217.9VHConfirmed Bull$14.01$1.56$2.37$1.06🔴 Ext
HPQ17.6VHConfirmed Bull$32.73$32.73$33.85$32.05🔵 Tight
XP12.8VHConfirmed Bull$19.97$19.22$19.82$18.86🔴 Ext
EQH11.9VHConfirmed Bull$52.60$52.39$53.36$51.79🔵 Tight
EXPD11.6VHConfirmed Bull$189.32$189.17$191.97$187.45🔵 Tight
VIST11.2VHConfirmed Bull$78.95$75.31$77.72$73.83🔴 Ext
BLLN11.0VHFluid Bull$98.51$100.58$105.17$97.74🔵 Tight
ZSL10.9VHFluid Bull$25.05$22.99$24.22$22.23🔴 Ext
ERAS10.4VHConfirmed Bear$16.03$15.98$16.87$15.42🔵 Tight
AAPL10.0VHConfirmed Bull$326.57$317.20$323.24$313.48🔴 Ext
TMV9.7VHConfirmed Bull$44.69$43.46$44.23$42.98🔴 Ext
QCOM9.5VHConfirmed Bull$176.88$178.06$183.43$174.74🔵 Tight
LGND9.4VHConfirmed Bull$289.25$290.17$297.05$285.93🔵 Tight
DAMDT1 IGNITIONSCTR 217.9 · Confirmed Bull

DAMD generated a T1 ignition signal on Thursday, September 10, 2026 with the bull counter crossing to 1. The stock closed at $14.01 with a buy trigger above $1.56. ATR-based target is $2.37 with a stop below $1.06. SCTR 217.9 places this in the VH band (above median — historically better WR).

HPQT1 IGNITIONSCTR 17.6 · Confirmed Bull

HPQ generated a T1 ignition signal on Thursday, September 10, 2026 with the bull counter crossing to 1. The stock closed at $32.73 with a buy trigger above $32.73. ATR-based target is $33.85 with a stop below $32.05. SCTR 17.6 places this in the VH band (above median — historically better WR).

XPT1 IGNITIONSCTR 12.8 · Confirmed Bull

XP generated a T1 ignition signal on Thursday, September 10, 2026 with the bull counter crossing to 1. The stock closed at $19.97 with a buy trigger above $19.22. ATR-based target is $19.82 with a stop below $18.86. SCTR 12.8 places this in the VH band (above median — historically better WR).

EQHT1 IGNITIONSCTR 11.9 · Confirmed Bull

EQH generated a T1 ignition signal on Thursday, September 10, 2026 with the bull counter crossing to 1. The stock closed at $52.60 with a buy trigger above $52.39. ATR-based target is $53.36 with a stop below $51.79. SCTR 11.9 places this in the VH band (above median — historically better WR).

EXPDT1 IGNITIONSCTR 11.6 · Confirmed Bull

EXPD generated a T1 ignition signal on Thursday, September 10, 2026 with the bull counter crossing to 1. The stock closed at $189.32 with a buy trigger above $189.17. ATR-based target is $191.97 with a stop below $187.45. SCTR 11.6 places this in the VH band (above median — historically better WR).

VISTT1 IGNITIONSCTR 11.2 · Confirmed Bull

VIST generated a T1 ignition signal on Thursday, September 10, 2026 with the bull counter crossing to 1. The stock closed at $78.95 with a buy trigger above $75.31. ATR-based target is $77.72 with a stop below $73.83. SCTR 11.2 places this in the VH band (above median — historically better WR).

🔴 Bear Ignition Signals (109)

SymbolSCTRTrendCloseShort BelowTargetStop
CVNA3.8Confirmed Bear$70.28$72.59$69.95$74.23
PAAS3.8Fluid Bear$50.65$52.39$50.74$53.41
HAL3.8Fluid Bear$36.07$36.87$36.03$37.39
VTIP3.8Confirmed Bear$49.64$49.72$49.67$49.74
TGB3.8Confirmed Bear$8.02$8.81$8.44$9.05
AMT3.7Confirmed Bear$172.98$174.45$171.26$176.41
CNI3.7Confirmed Bear$121.16$121.33$119.68$122.35
WAY3.7Confirmed Bear$23.06$23.60$22.76$24.12
XME3.6Fluid Bear$114.77$118.34$115.57$120.04
XENE3.4Confirmed Bear$58.80$58.52$57.02$59.44
ATRO3.3Confirmed Bear$73.49$74.74$71.96$76.46
ICSH3.3Confirmed Bear$50.39$50.40$50.38$50.42
VUSB3.3Confirmed Bear$49.55$49.59$49.56$49.61
VSEC3.2Confirmed Bear$192.64$195.54$187.88$200.26
RIO3.2Confirmed Bear$99.39$103.18$101.38$104.30
STM3.2Confirmed Bear$50.74$51.09$49.60$52.01
JPST3.2Confirmed Bear$50.35$50.39$50.37$50.41
BITX3.1Fluid Bear$16.98$17.25$16.51$17.71
VKTX3.1Confirmed Bear$32.13$32.35$31.23$33.05
SYF3.1Confirmed Bear$75.44$76.88$75.37$77.82
SOFI3.1Confirmed Bear$17.21$17.14$16.54$17.52
MGA3.1Confirmed Bear$65.14$65.01$63.50$65.93
GRID2.9Confirmed Bear$177.24$179.40$177.05$180.86
EGP2.9Confirmed Bear$196.70$197.16$194.74$198.66
DCI2.7Confirmed Bear$88.18$89.32$87.73$90.30
AIT2.6Confirmed Bear$318.58$322.93$316.73$326.77
OSK2.6Confirmed Bear$147.77$150.82$146.86$153.26
TIP2.6Confirmed Bear$106.33$106.72$106.48$106.88
SPSB2.5Confirmed Bear$29.72$29.78$29.75$29.80
CRCL2.5Fluid Bear$90.32$91.47$86.55$94.51
SHY2.5Confirmed Bear$81.42$81.61$81.54$81.65
LITX2.5neutral$32.51$35.43$31.85$37.63
EMB2.5Confirmed Bear$93.41$94.08$93.80$94.26
PFF2.5Confirmed Bear$29.97$30.14$29.99$30.22
EQIX2.5Confirmed Bear$1023.81$1036.10$1013.58$1050.02
SCHO2.5Confirmed Bear$23.93$23.99$23.97$24.01
KIM2.4Confirmed Bear$23.29$23.48$23.20$23.66
LAZ2.4Confirmed Bear$41.87$42.24$40.84$43.10
SPTL2.4Confirmed Bear$24.70$24.94$24.79$25.02
VGLT2.3Confirmed Bear$51.88$52.41$52.11$52.59
SPLB2.3Confirmed Bear$21.03$21.24$21.13$21.30
TLH2.3Confirmed Bear$95.04$96.01$95.51$96.31
TLT2.3Confirmed Bear$80.78$81.57$81.06$81.89
BLV2.3Confirmed Bear$64.83$65.48$65.12$65.70
IGLB2.2Confirmed Bear$47.07$47.56$47.32$47.70
TMUS2.2Confirmed Bear$177.16$176.22$172.60$178.46
TSEM2.2Confirmed Bear$208.07$213.18$202.20$219.96
TTC2.2Confirmed Bear$92.72$94.14$92.17$95.36
URI2.2Confirmed Bear$989.08$1021.08$996.17$1036.46
VCLT2.2Confirmed Bear$70.62$71.34$70.97$71.56
SOXL2.1Confirmed Bear$115.76$122.82$112.94$128.92
LQD2.1Confirmed Bear$104.36$105.19$104.82$105.43
FLS2.0Confirmed Bear$72.83$74.62$72.77$75.76
ARQT1.9Confirmed Bear$23.38$23.62$22.89$24.06
XMMO1.9Confirmed Bear$150.83$153.13$151.11$154.39
SBAC1.7Confirmed Bear$181.42$185.48$181.39$188.00
WYFI1.7Confirmed Bear$18.53$18.78$17.06$19.84
URA1.7Fluid Bear$45.00$46.47$45.21$47.25
CRS1.6Confirmed Bear$448.25$453.98$439.52$462.92
HXL1.6Confirmed Bear$89.82$89.82$87.88$91.02
TEX1.3Confirmed Bear$59.64$61.30$59.36$62.50
BBIO1.0Confirmed Bear$72.50$75.47$73.48$76.69
CBOE1.0Confirmed Bear$287.49$289.37$281.29$294.37
ONTO0.9Confirmed Bear$268.92$274.20$260.59$282.60
CCI0.9Confirmed Bear$73.87$74.70$73.16$75.66
CCJ0.9Confirmed Bear$97.42$99.51$96.59$101.31
COGT0.8Confirmed Bear$34.08$33.83$32.68$34.53
COIN0.8Fluid Bear$172.28$172.22$164.14$177.22
TSLL0.8neutral$9.62$9.67$9.08$10.03
YMM0.7Confirmed Bear$8.14$8.25$8.05$8.37
GSK0.7Confirmed Bear$48.12$48.38$47.58$48.88
STWD0.7Confirmed Bear$15.62$15.80$15.58$15.94
NXE0.5Confirmed Bear$10.21$10.53$10.18$10.75
TMDX0.4Fluid Bear$85.04$85.43$82.30$87.37
URNM0.4Confirmed Bear$54.63$56.50$54.95$57.46
AAPD0.3Confirmed Bear$10.66$10.98$10.77$11.10
TMF0.2Confirmed Bear$29.30$30.17$29.60$30.51
ENB0.1Confirmed Bear$48.22$49.92$49.18$50.38
ESI0.1Confirmed Bear$34.17$35.45$34.38$36.11
ALM0.0Fluid Bear$16.57$18.03$17.07$18.63
SPXC-0.2Confirmed Bear$186.95$191.09$185.77$194.37
ALGN-0.3Confirmed Bear$150.72$151.61$147.37$154.23
AA-0.7Confirmed Bear$48.30$50.20$48.49$51.26
DOV-0.9Confirmed Bear$187.37$190.43$187.24$192.41
AEO-1.1Confirmed Bear$14.53$16.69$16.06$17.09
WMS-1.1Confirmed Bear$127.16$130.73$127.32$132.83
GDS-1.2Confirmed Bear$31.06$32.06$30.98$32.72
ESE-1.3Confirmed Bear$267.26$268.82$262.05$273.00
QUBT-1.5Confirmed Bear$7.82$7.94$7.61$8.14
ECG-1.7Confirmed Bear$115.23$115.88$111.32$118.70
ACI-1.9Confirmed Bear$11.70$11.76$11.47$11.94
ALGM-2.1Confirmed Bear$35.27$35.34$33.71$36.34
MSTX-2.4Fluid Bear$13.55$14.04$12.70$14.88
CLBK-2.7Confirmed Bear$11.54$11.40$11.15$11.56
CRI-2.8Confirmed Bear$30.19$31.73$30.63$32.41
ZTS-2.8Confirmed Bear$72.86$72.77$71.03$73.85
MOD-3.1Confirmed Bear$179.26$183.39$175.05$188.55
FPS-3.8Confirmed Bear$29.20$30.51$28.94$31.47
CRCG-4.0Fluid Bear$15.05$15.50$13.85$16.52
CRML-4.0Confirmed Bear$6.72$6.93$6.48$7.21
ROL-4.2Confirmed Bear$34.56$34.33$33.64$34.75
QXO-4.5Confirmed Bear$12.29$12.56$12.08$12.86
VFC-4.8Confirmed Bear$12.62$12.79$12.42$13.03
FLY-5.2Confirmed Bear$20.90$21.44$20.26$22.18
MLI-5.9Confirmed Bear$60.16$63.23$61.69$64.19
CONL-6.1Confirmed Bear$5.14$5.14$4.64$5.46
MTZ-6.6Confirmed Bear$232.20$237.46$227.02$243.90
XE-6.9Confirmed Bear$15.84$16.86$15.58$17.66
PPLT-10.5Confirmed Bear$16.13$17.02$16.59$17.28

Frequently Asked Questions

How many T1 ignition signals fired on Thursday, September 10, 2026?

EdgeOS identified 13 bull T1 ignitions and 109 bear ignitions on Thursday, September 10, 2026. The scanner filters to ~3,000 liquid US equities with ADV ≥ $40M and price ≥ $5.00.

What is the historical win rate for T1 ignitions?

In a Chop regime (current on Thursday, September 10, 2026), the historical win rate is 44% based on 7-year backtests across 799,000+ signals. In bull regimes: 55%. In chop: 44%. In bear: 38%.

How do I use these signals?

Buy above the trigger price (the close when bull count = 1). Hold toward the ATR target, which represents a 1.0× ATR move above the prior period close. Stop below the lower trigger. Exit near count 9 if reached. Average hold: 12–15 trading days for completed cycles.

What is SCTR and why does it matter here?

SCTR (StockCharts Technical Rank) is a composite score from 0–10 blending 26-week/13-week rate of change, PPO, and RSI. A reading above 9 is required for a T1 bull ignition. Higher SCTR (VH band, above 8) historically shows slightly better win rates.

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