T1 Ignition Signals — Wednesday, September 9, 2026

EdgeOS scanned ~3,000 liquid US equities and identified 111 qualified signals.

CHOP REGIMEHistorical T1 win rate: 44% in Chop regimes(7-yr backtest · 799k signals)🟢 20 bull   🔴 91 bear

Signal Snapshot

On Wednesday, September 9, 2026, the EdgeOS scanner identified 20 T1 ignition signals in a Chop market regime. The SPY SCTR was in the Chop zone, which corresponds to a historical T1 win rate of 44% based on 7-year backtests across 799,000+ signals. Bull T1 ignitions fired on: SCO, PBF, DK, SIG, BHVN, MT, ING, MATX, SWKS, GGB, QRVO, CF, FFIV, VG, BNO, TECH, VCYT, CVX, JEF, ASO. Bear ignitions: EWH, MC, IWP, M, CP, SPSM, IJH, PG, IAGG, MDY, SPMD, PYLD, VGSH, SPGI, USIG, SPTS, DFCF, AGG, JBND, IGSB, IUSB, BND, GOVT, DXYZ, SPAB, BNDX, FBND, BOND, SNAP, HUBS, SPIB, BSV, SCHP, D, NE, BINC, MAC, ROST, SCHI, SCI, RELX, IGF, AEE, XEL, BALL, VNT, PLD, PAVE, DPZ, NICE, XLI, TRNO, FIX, LYB, RDDT, WOLF, YUM, OTIS, BRUN, TRMB, LIN, RIG, IRM, EME, FTV, BBWI, HDB, CELC, ORA, CNM, RL, NKE, OLED, FTAI, APG, ODFL, ESAB, BRZE, AMRZ, CHWY, KVYO, NCLH, LGN, OSIS, POWI, EIX, LPTH, KNF, UI, PRIM, AGX. A T1 ignition occurs when a stock's bull counter crosses from 0 to 1 with SCTR above 9, confirming the start of a new bullish count cycle. Entry is above the trigger price; the ATR-derived target and stop define the trade's risk/reward.

The 55% historical win rate for T1 ignitions applies in bull regimes. In chop, it drops to 44%; in bear regimes, 38%. Risk management and SCTR band matter: signals with SCTR in the High or VH band (above 6.0) historically outperform those in the Mid band.

🟢 T1 Ignition Signals (20)

SymbolSCTRBandTrendCloseTriggerTargetStopExt
SCO32.9VHConfirmed Bear$21.21$21.83$22.68$21.31🔵 Tight
PBF20.5VHConfirmed Bull$76.51$77.68$80.63$75.86🔵 Tight
DK20.0VHConfirmed Bull$75.28$76.63$79.73$74.71🔵 Tight
SIG16.8VHConfirmed Bull$102.48$83.72$87.11$81.62🔴 Ext
BHVN16.2VHFluid Bear$15.00$14.99$15.85$14.45🔵 Tight
MT13.7VHConfirmed Bull$77.05$77.62$79.16$76.68🔵 Tight
ING12.2VHneutral$36.65$37.29$37.69$37.03🔵 Tight
MATX12.1VHConfirmed Bull$226.86$224.63$228.96$221.95🔵 Tight
SWKS12.0VHConfirmed Bull$76.54$76.10$78.41$74.66🔵 Tight
GGB11.8VHConfirmed Bull$5.01$5.10$5.23$5.02🔵 Tight
QRVO11.6VHConfirmed Bull$105.24$104.75$106.93$103.39🔵 Tight
CF11.0VHConfirmed Bull$138.11$135.56$139.53$133.10🔵 Tight
FFIV11.0VHConfirmed Bull$404.63$392.66$402.51$386.58🔴 Ext
VG11.0VHConfirmed Bull$15.29$14.89$15.40$14.57🔵 Tight
BNO10.7VHConfirmed Bull$59.32$58.12$59.38$57.34🔵 Tight
TECH10.7VHFluid Bear$72.25$72.38$72.59$72.24🔵 Tight
VCYT10.7VHFluid Bull$43.86$42.95$44.58$41.95🔵 Tight
CVX9.9VHConfirmed Bull$213.81$210.77$213.89$208.83🔵 Tight
JEF9.2VHConfirmed Bull$55.25$56.10$57.35$55.34🔵 Tight
ASO9.1VHConfirmed Bull$51.15$45.17$46.66$44.25🔴 Ext
SCOT1 IGNITIONSCTR 32.9 · Confirmed Bear

SCO generated a T1 ignition signal on Wednesday, September 9, 2026 with the bull counter crossing to 1. The stock closed at $21.21 with a buy trigger above $21.83. ATR-based target is $22.68 with a stop below $21.31. SCTR 32.9 places this in the VH band (above median — historically better WR).

PBFT1 IGNITIONSCTR 20.5 · Confirmed Bull

PBF generated a T1 ignition signal on Wednesday, September 9, 2026 with the bull counter crossing to 1. The stock closed at $76.51 with a buy trigger above $77.68. ATR-based target is $80.63 with a stop below $75.86. SCTR 20.5 places this in the VH band (above median — historically better WR).

DKT1 IGNITIONSCTR 20.0 · Confirmed Bull

DK generated a T1 ignition signal on Wednesday, September 9, 2026 with the bull counter crossing to 1. The stock closed at $75.28 with a buy trigger above $76.63. ATR-based target is $79.73 with a stop below $74.71. SCTR 20.0 places this in the VH band (above median — historically better WR).

SIGT1 IGNITIONSCTR 16.8 · Confirmed Bull

SIG generated a T1 ignition signal on Wednesday, September 9, 2026 with the bull counter crossing to 1. The stock closed at $102.48 with a buy trigger above $83.72. ATR-based target is $87.11 with a stop below $81.62. SCTR 16.8 places this in the VH band (above median — historically better WR).

BHVNT1 IGNITIONSCTR 16.2 · Fluid Bear

BHVN generated a T1 ignition signal on Wednesday, September 9, 2026 with the bull counter crossing to 1. The stock closed at $15.00 with a buy trigger above $14.99. ATR-based target is $15.85 with a stop below $14.45. SCTR 16.2 places this in the VH band (above median — historically better WR).

MTT1 IGNITIONSCTR 13.7 · Confirmed Bull

MT generated a T1 ignition signal on Wednesday, September 9, 2026 with the bull counter crossing to 1. The stock closed at $77.05 with a buy trigger above $77.62. ATR-based target is $79.16 with a stop below $76.68. SCTR 13.7 places this in the VH band (above median — historically better WR).

🔴 Bear Ignition Signals (91)

SymbolSCTRTrendCloseShort BelowTargetStop
EWH3.9Fluid Bear$22.69$22.87$22.68$22.99
MC3.9Confirmed Bear$65.39$68.18$66.27$69.36
IWP3.8Confirmed Bear$138.45$138.99$137.53$139.89
M3.8Confirmed Bear$21.51$22.26$21.65$22.64
CP3.7Confirmed Bear$90.07$90.68$89.22$91.58
SPSM3.7Confirmed Bear$55.51$55.95$55.50$56.23
IJH3.6Confirmed Bear$74.56$75.17$74.57$75.55
PG3.6Confirmed Bear$142.64$144.99$143.08$146.17
IAGG3.6Confirmed Bear$49.55$49.65$49.56$49.71
MDY3.6Confirmed Bear$679.65$685.29$679.87$688.63
SPMD3.6Confirmed Bear$65.34$65.89$65.37$66.21
PYLD3.4Confirmed Bear$25.95$25.98$25.92$26.02
VGSH3.4Confirmed Bear$57.87$57.89$57.84$57.91
SPGI3.4Confirmed Bear$418.36$426.41$417.02$432.21
USIG3.3Confirmed Bear$49.89$49.92$49.80$50.00
SPTS3.3Confirmed Bear$28.82$28.82$28.80$28.84
DFCF3.3Confirmed Bear$41.29$41.34$41.24$41.40
AGG3.2Confirmed Bear$96.68$96.83$96.60$96.97
JBND3.2Confirmed Bear$52.25$52.32$52.18$52.40
IGSB3.2Confirmed Bear$51.79$51.80$51.74$51.84
IUSB3.2Confirmed Bear$45.12$45.18$45.07$45.24
BND3.2Confirmed Bear$71.73$71.84$71.67$71.94
GOVT3.2Confirmed Bear$22.30$22.33$22.28$22.35
DXYZ3.1Fluid Bear$32.60$33.75$32.15$34.73
SPAB3.1Confirmed Bear$24.91$24.96$24.89$25.00
BNDX3.1Confirmed Bear$47.23$47.36$47.26$47.42
FBND3.1Confirmed Bear$44.56$44.63$44.49$44.71
BOND3.1Confirmed Bear$89.72$89.91$89.67$90.07
SNAP3.1Fluid Bear$5.31$5.36$5.14$5.50
HUBS3.1Fluid Bear$230.19$237.05$226.13$243.79
SPIB3.0Confirmed Bear$32.84$32.87$32.80$32.91
BSV3.0Confirmed Bear$77.10$77.14$77.02$77.22
SCHP3.0Confirmed Bear$25.81$25.85$25.79$25.89
D3.0Confirmed Bear$65.10$65.95$65.06$66.49
NE2.9Fluid Bear$45.46$45.52$44.34$46.26
BINC2.9Confirmed Bear$51.53$51.59$51.51$51.63
MAC2.9Confirmed Bear$23.03$23.44$22.98$23.72
ROST2.9Confirmed Bear$225.27$228.02$223.86$230.60
SCHI2.8Confirmed Bear$21.99$22.02$21.96$22.06
SCI2.8Confirmed Bear$79.69$80.58$79.27$81.40
RELX2.7Confirmed Bear$34.25$34.48$33.76$34.92
IGF2.7Confirmed Bear$64.77$65.12$64.68$65.38
AEE2.6Confirmed Bear$106.25$106.32$104.99$107.14
XEL2.5Confirmed Bear$76.19$76.55$75.49$77.21
BALL2.3Confirmed Bear$60.29$60.73$59.77$61.31
VNT2.3Confirmed Bear$31.86$32.37$31.74$32.77
PLD2.2Confirmed Bear$135.66$137.93$136.16$139.03
PAVE2.2Confirmed Bear$54.19$54.61$53.95$55.01
DPZ2.2Confirmed Bear$321.46$332.69$323.90$338.13
NICE2.2Confirmed Bear$98.87$100.53$97.48$102.41
XLI2.0Confirmed Bear$171.79$173.85$172.02$174.99
TRNO2.0Confirmed Bear$65.20$65.78$64.89$66.32
FIX1.9Fluid Bull$1615.14$1630.26$1571.32$1666.68
LYB1.9neutral$64.51$64.07$62.39$65.11
RDDT1.7Confirmed Bear$146.44$147.31$140.63$151.44
WOLF1.7Confirmed Bear$27.28$28.25$26.23$29.51
YUM1.5Confirmed Bear$145.16$148.58$145.57$150.44
OTIS1.4Confirmed Bear$69.30$69.75$68.73$70.37
BRUN1.3Confirmed Bear$17.36$18.33$16.73$19.31
TRMB1.2Confirmed Bear$57.40$58.33$56.89$59.23
LIN1.2Confirmed Bear$466.65$466.39$459.96$470.37
RIG1.2Fluid Bear$5.71$5.70$5.52$5.82
IRM1.1Confirmed Bear$115.22$115.15$112.16$117.01
EME1.1Confirmed Bear$754.29$767.11$747.54$779.21
FTV1.0Confirmed Bear$55.81$56.22$55.30$56.80
BBWI0.4Confirmed Bear$17.71$18.66$17.88$19.14
HDB0.2Confirmed Bear$22.08$22.36$21.99$22.60
CELC0.2Confirmed Bear$90.08$91.99$88.64$94.05
ORA-0.2Confirmed Bear$98.81$107.03$103.99$108.91
CNM-0.4Confirmed Bear$41.60$43.73$42.68$44.39
RL-0.4Confirmed Bear$335.61$344.60$336.07$349.86
NKE-0.6Confirmed Bear$37.35$37.84$37.01$38.36
OLED-0.7Confirmed Bear$79.91$81.58$79.26$83.02
FTAI-1.2Confirmed Bear$185.25$194.10$185.71$199.28
APG-1.5Confirmed Bear$38.01$39.87$38.81$40.53
ODFL-1.9Confirmed Bear$181.96$185.43$180.31$188.59
ESAB-2.4Confirmed Bear$72.81$74.03$71.72$75.45
BRZE-2.4Confirmed Bear$23.73$29.84$28.32$30.78
AMRZ-2.5Confirmed Bear$40.97$41.64$40.63$42.26
CHWY-2.6Confirmed Bear$20.75$23.01$22.17$23.53
KVYO-2.6Confirmed Bear$16.27$17.60$16.68$18.18
NCLH-3.4Confirmed Bear$14.85$15.24$14.76$15.54
LGN-3.6neutral$55.22$56.18$53.41$57.90
OSIS-3.9Confirmed Bear$197.49$202.44$196.56$206.06
POWI-4.0Confirmed Bear$49.71$49.80$47.67$51.12
EIX-4.9Confirmed Bear$57.44$58.50$55.81$60.16
LPTH-5.2Confirmed Bear$10.14$10.49$9.65$11.01
KNF-6.0Confirmed Bear$57.97$60.80$58.78$62.06
UI-6.3Confirmed Bear$520.58$573.60$551.15$587.46
PRIM-6.5Confirmed Bear$73.85$74.61$71.90$76.29
AGX-8.8Confirmed Bear$402.13$429.42$405.58$444.14

Frequently Asked Questions

How many T1 ignition signals fired on Wednesday, September 9, 2026?

EdgeOS identified 20 bull T1 ignitions and 91 bear ignitions on Wednesday, September 9, 2026. The scanner filters to ~3,000 liquid US equities with ADV ≥ $40M and price ≥ $5.00.

What is the historical win rate for T1 ignitions?

In a Chop regime (current on Wednesday, September 9, 2026), the historical win rate is 44% based on 7-year backtests across 799,000+ signals. In bull regimes: 55%. In chop: 44%. In bear: 38%.

How do I use these signals?

Buy above the trigger price (the close when bull count = 1). Hold toward the ATR target, which represents a 1.0× ATR move above the prior period close. Stop below the lower trigger. Exit near count 9 if reached. Average hold: 12–15 trading days for completed cycles.

What is SCTR and why does it matter here?

SCTR (StockCharts Technical Rank) is a composite score from 0–10 blending 26-week/13-week rate of change, PPO, and RSI. A reading above 9 is required for a T1 bull ignition. Higher SCTR (VH band, above 8) historically shows slightly better win rates.

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