T1 Ignition Signals — Thursday, September 3, 2026

EdgeOS scanned ~3,000 liquid US equities and identified 79 qualified signals.

CHOP REGIMEHistorical T1 win rate: 44% in Chop regimes(7-yr backtest · 799k signals)🟢 65 bull   🔴 14 bear

Signal Snapshot

On Thursday, September 3, 2026, the EdgeOS scanner identified 65 T1 ignition signals in a Chop market regime. The SPY SCTR was in the Chop zone, which corresponds to a historical T1 win rate of 44% based on 7-year backtests across 799,000+ signals. Bull T1 ignitions fired on: NOWL, DELL, ESTC, MSTX, CRCG, MAN, BITX, SBET, BULL, BRZE, GWRE, HPQ, CRCL, SPSC, ETH, NCNO, FETH, ETHA, SVIX, MNDY, WK, CONL, BOX, FSM, DT, EL, CCC, BITO, CTSH, TRI, EPAM, COIN, PAYX, BBVA, SMMT, FNV, TMO, VOYA, THG, SSNC, UNM, GPC, ACN, RGLD, ROP, GLXY, MARA, PFG, ERAS, DJT, BMY, LIVN, IYH, VHT, HSBC, NICE, HSIC, DHT, ICE, KNSL, SPGI, NVO, IBRX, BRO, TSLG. Bear ignitions: EMN, SUI, HSY, TTC, CALM, JBS, SUPN, CPNG, BSX, EQPT, TSN, TSLQ, TSDD, RARE. A T1 ignition occurs when a stock's bull counter crosses from 0 to 1 with SCTR above 9, confirming the start of a new bullish count cycle. Entry is above the trigger price; the ATR-derived target and stop define the trade's risk/reward.

The 55% historical win rate for T1 ignitions applies in bull regimes. In chop, it drops to 44%; in bear regimes, 38%. Risk management and SCTR band matter: signals with SCTR in the High or VH band (above 6.0) historically outperform those in the Mid band.

🟢 T1 Ignition Signals (65)

SymbolSCTRBandTrendCloseTriggerTargetStopExt
NOWL35.0VHConfirmed Bull$8.55$7.75$8.29$7.41🔴 Ext
DELL30.9VHConfirmed Bull$516.39$499.91$524.86$484.49🔵 Tight
ESTC25.9VHConfirmed Bull$96.13$90.84$94.91$88.32🔴 Ext
MSTX25.2VHConfirmed Bull$17.33$13.26$14.62$12.42🔴 Ext
CRCG23.4VHConfirmed Bull$19.83$15.44$17.12$14.40🔴 Ext
MAN23.2VHConfirmed Bull$61.51$60.80$62.51$59.74🔵 Tight
BITX22.7VHConfirmed Bull$19.18$17.41$18.14$16.95🔴 Ext
SBET19.9VHConfirmed Bull$8.98$8.22$8.60$7.98🔴 Ext
BULL18.8VHConfirmed Bull$10.00$9.13$9.53$8.87🔴 Ext
BRZE18.6VHConfirmed Bull$33.25$33.31$34.49$32.57🔵 Tight
GWRE18.1VHConfirmed Bull$202.86$194.73$201.12$190.79🔴 Ext
HPQ18.0VHConfirmed Bull$31.93$32.33$33.42$31.65🔵 Tight
CRCL18.0VHConfirmed Bull$103.23$90.24$95.44$87.04🔴 Ext
SPSC17.2VHConfirmed Bull$84.21$83.54$85.89$82.10🔵 Tight
ETH17.0VHConfirmed Bull$24.03$23.02$23.60$22.66🔴 Ext
NCNO16.9VHConfirmed Bull$23.63$23.19$23.92$22.73🔵 Tight
FETH16.9VHConfirmed Bull$25.11$24.03$24.64$23.65🔴 Ext
ETHA16.9VHConfirmed Bull$19.02$18.19$18.66$17.91🔴 Ext
SVIX16.8VHConfirmed Bull$28.83$28.44$28.97$28.10🔵 Tight
MNDY16.7VHConfirmed Bull$97.33$95.70$99.76$93.18🔵 Tight
WK16.7VHConfirmed Bull$78.59$76.48$78.84$75.02🔵 Tight
CONL16.6VHConfirmed Bull$6.48$5.56$6.11$5.22🔴 Ext
BOX16.6VHConfirmed Bull$35.96$34.87$35.77$34.31🔴 Ext
FSM16.2VHConfirmed Bull$12.66$12.39$12.79$12.13🔵 Tight
DT15.8VHConfirmed Bull$52.76$51.34$52.85$50.40🔵 Tight
EL15.8VHneutral$100.86$101.95$104.52$100.35🔵 Tight
CCC15.5VHFluid Bear$7.22$7.25$7.48$7.11🔵 Tight
BITO14.9VHConfirmed Bull$11.01$10.47$10.71$10.33🔴 Ext
CTSH13.3VHConfirmed Bull$64.64$63.91$65.56$62.89🔵 Tight
TRI13.2VHConfirmed Bull$111.76$106.93$110.37$104.81🔴 Ext
EPAM13.1VHConfirmed Bull$119.88$118.37$122.15$116.03🔵 Tight
COIN13.1VHConfirmed Bull$192.70$177.70$186.57$172.22🔴 Ext
PAYX12.9VHneutral$125.08$124.71$127.02$123.29🔵 Tight
BBVA12.8VHConfirmed Bull$29.64$29.26$29.60$29.06🟡 Mod
SMMT12.7VHConfirmed Bull$17.13$14.84$15.60$14.36🔴 Ext
FNV12.5VHConfirmed Bull$270.31$261.71$268.17$257.71🔴 Ext
TMO12.2VHConfirmed Bull$618.43$612.37$624.76$604.71🔵 Tight
VOYA12.2VHConfirmed Bull$104.86$102.92$104.62$101.86🟡 Mod
THG11.8VHConfirmed Bull$231.68$228.11$231.30$226.13🟡 Mod
SSNC11.8VHConfirmed Bull$84.63$82.97$84.34$82.13🟠 Stretch
UNM11.7VHConfirmed Bull$96.57$93.35$95.11$92.25🔴 Ext
GPC11.7VHConfirmed Bull$137.62$137.92$140.41$136.38🔵 Tight
ACN11.6VHConfirmed Bull$193.12$189.29$194.50$186.07🔵 Tight
RGLD11.6VHConfirmed Bull$264.85$260.22$266.19$256.54🔵 Tight
ROP11.5VHConfirmed Bull$422.35$418.28$426.34$413.30🔵 Tight
GLXY11.5VHConfirmed Bull$26.50$24.51$25.97$23.61🔴 Ext
MARA11.2VHConfirmed Bull$11.60$10.70$11.43$10.24🔴 Ext
PFG10.8VHConfirmed Bull$118.51$111.95$114.03$110.67🔴 Ext
ERAS10.7VHConfirmed Bear$16.26$16.65$17.54$16.09🔵 Tight
DJT10.5VHConfirmed Bull$9.52$9.27$9.67$9.01🔵 Tight
BMY10.4VHConfirmed Bull$68.09$68.02$69.17$67.30🔵 Tight
LIVN10.3VHConfirmed Bull$81.20$82.98$84.86$81.82🔵 Tight
IYH10.3VHConfirmed Bull$73.15$73.27$74.10$72.75🔵 Tight
VHT10.1VHConfirmed Bull$324.80$325.58$329.19$323.36🔵 Tight
HSBC9.9VHConfirmed Bull$106.46$105.30$106.46$104.58🔵 Tight
NICE9.7VHConfirmed Bull$108.31$107.78$110.77$105.94🔵 Tight
HSIC9.5VHConfirmed Bull$90.86$90.84$92.31$89.94🔵 Tight
DHT9.5VHConfirmed Bull$20.19$20.23$20.75$19.91🔵 Tight
ICE9.4VHConfirmed Bull$164.59$158.70$161.46$157.00🔴 Ext
KNSL9.4VHConfirmed Bull$382.98$379.25$387.26$374.31🔵 Tight
SPGI9.3VHConfirmed Bull$450.58$434.54$443.70$428.88🔴 Ext
NVO9.2VHConfirmed Bull$47.51$47.09$48.14$46.45🔵 Tight
IBRX9.2VHConfirmed Bull$8.19$8.05$8.36$7.85🔵 Tight
BRO9.2VHConfirmed Bull$72.56$72.49$73.96$71.59🔵 Tight
TSLG9.1VHConfirmed Bull$5.16$4.74$5.03$4.56🔴 Ext
NOWLT1 IGNITIONSCTR 35.0 · Confirmed Bull

NOWL generated a T1 ignition signal on Thursday, September 3, 2026 with the bull counter crossing to 1. The stock closed at $8.55 with a buy trigger above $7.75. ATR-based target is $8.29 with a stop below $7.41. SCTR 35.0 places this in the VH band (above median — historically better WR).

DELLT1 IGNITIONSCTR 30.9 · Confirmed Bull

DELL generated a T1 ignition signal on Thursday, September 3, 2026 with the bull counter crossing to 1. The stock closed at $516.39 with a buy trigger above $499.91. ATR-based target is $524.86 with a stop below $484.49. SCTR 30.9 places this in the VH band (above median — historically better WR).

ESTCT1 IGNITIONSCTR 25.9 · Confirmed Bull

ESTC generated a T1 ignition signal on Thursday, September 3, 2026 with the bull counter crossing to 1. The stock closed at $96.13 with a buy trigger above $90.84. ATR-based target is $94.91 with a stop below $88.32. SCTR 25.9 places this in the VH band (above median — historically better WR).

MSTXT1 IGNITIONSCTR 25.2 · Confirmed Bull

MSTX generated a T1 ignition signal on Thursday, September 3, 2026 with the bull counter crossing to 1. The stock closed at $17.33 with a buy trigger above $13.26. ATR-based target is $14.62 with a stop below $12.42. SCTR 25.2 places this in the VH band (above median — historically better WR).

CRCGT1 IGNITIONSCTR 23.4 · Confirmed Bull

CRCG generated a T1 ignition signal on Thursday, September 3, 2026 with the bull counter crossing to 1. The stock closed at $19.83 with a buy trigger above $15.44. ATR-based target is $17.12 with a stop below $14.40. SCTR 23.4 places this in the VH band (above median — historically better WR).

MANT1 IGNITIONSCTR 23.2 · Confirmed Bull

MAN generated a T1 ignition signal on Thursday, September 3, 2026 with the bull counter crossing to 1. The stock closed at $61.51 with a buy trigger above $60.80. ATR-based target is $62.51 with a stop below $59.74. SCTR 23.2 places this in the VH band (above median — historically better WR).

🔴 Bear Ignition Signals (14)

SymbolSCTRTrendCloseShort BelowTargetStop
EMN3.3Confirmed Bear$70.77$71.71$70.25$72.61
SUI3.1Confirmed Bear$119.85$120.65$118.76$121.83
HSY2.3Confirmed Bear$175.06$176.45$173.28$178.41
TTC1.9Confirmed Bear$92.37$98.52$96.47$99.78
CALM1.6Confirmed Bear$76.03$78.19$76.16$79.45
JBS1.2Confirmed Bear$13.14$13.43$13.09$13.65
SUPN0.4Confirmed Bear$43.97$43.65$42.43$44.41
CPNG0.2Confirmed Bear$15.51$15.84$15.42$16.10
BSX-0.7Confirmed Bear$46.95$47.94$46.53$48.80
EQPT-2.3neutral$18.14$17.54$16.68$18.08
TSN-3.1Confirmed Bear$51.76$55.44$54.26$56.18
TSLQ-5.4Confirmed Bear$17.60$19.34$18.00$20.16
TSDD-5.6Confirmed Bear$7.39$8.14$7.58$8.48
RARE-15.0Confirmed Bear$14.85$26.03$24.42$27.03

Frequently Asked Questions

How many T1 ignition signals fired on Thursday, September 3, 2026?

EdgeOS identified 65 bull T1 ignitions and 14 bear ignitions on Thursday, September 3, 2026. The scanner filters to ~3,000 liquid US equities with ADV ≥ $40M and price ≥ $5.00.

What is the historical win rate for T1 ignitions?

In a Chop regime (current on Thursday, September 3, 2026), the historical win rate is 44% based on 7-year backtests across 799,000+ signals. In bull regimes: 55%. In chop: 44%. In bear: 38%.

How do I use these signals?

Buy above the trigger price (the close when bull count = 1). Hold toward the ATR target, which represents a 1.0× ATR move above the prior period close. Stop below the lower trigger. Exit near count 9 if reached. Average hold: 12–15 trading days for completed cycles.

What is SCTR and why does it matter here?

SCTR (StockCharts Technical Rank) is a composite score from 0–10 blending 26-week/13-week rate of change, PPO, and RSI. A reading above 9 is required for a T1 bull ignition. Higher SCTR (VH band, above 8) historically shows slightly better win rates.

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