T1 Ignition Signals — Monday, August 31, 2026

EdgeOS scanned ~3,000 liquid US equities and identified 129 qualified signals.

CHOP REGIMEHistorical T1 win rate: 44% in Chop regimes(7-yr backtest · 799k signals)🟢 52 bull   🔴 77 bear

Signal Snapshot

On Monday, August 31, 2026, the EdgeOS scanner identified 52 T1 ignition signals in a Chop market regime. The SPY SCTR was in the Chop zone, which corresponds to a historical T1 win rate of 44% based on 7-year backtests across 799,000+ signals. Bull T1 ignitions fired on: NOWL, HTFL, GTLB, PATH, ELF, SAIL, NTNX, BITX, SBET, RHI, MSTX, BULL, RGEN, CCC, DUOL, CLMT, CONL, CRCL, SM, ADBE, EXLS, IGV, BITO, BOIL, KRYS, CTSH, MEDP, TECH, FCX, COIN, TARS, TMO, DJT, EPAM, QCOM, MA, CTVA, KNTK, EXEL, FTXN, XOP, XLE, PFE, FXN, VDE, GILD, ASND, CVX, DE, TSLL, KHC, AAPL. Bear ignitions: COCO, SCHH, IEI, VNQ, SPTI, VGIT, GOOG, CPT, XLRE, XENE, BNDX, MAA, JAAA, PAAA, PULS, IRTC, MUB, EGP, RARE, JMUB, DPZ, CHDN, GVA, HLT, O, FTV, ORCL, GGLL, AEE, KRG, VICI, OPCH, WM, XEL, KTB, H, OTIS, YMM, TCOM, TAP, ESTA, REG, FNF, NOC, BRX, TME, HON, IDA, HXL, CHH, AAPD, HGV, AON, ALK, BIRK, TMDX, CRH, LEVI, ORA, GDS, TXT, AS, BLBD, HWM, ESE, CAVA, ZTO, NCLH, ORCX, NOBL, BWXT, TSLQ, TSDD, EIX, MVLL, PL, SNDQ. A T1 ignition occurs when a stock's bull counter crosses from 0 to 1 with SCTR above 9, confirming the start of a new bullish count cycle. Entry is above the trigger price; the ATR-derived target and stop define the trade's risk/reward.

The 55% historical win rate for T1 ignitions applies in bull regimes. In chop, it drops to 44%; in bear regimes, 38%. Risk management and SCTR band matter: signals with SCTR in the High or VH band (above 6.0) historically outperform those in the Mid band.

🟢 T1 Ignition Signals (52)

SymbolSCTRBandTrendCloseTriggerTargetStopExt
NOWL38.8VHConfirmed Bull$8.91$8.68$9.19$8.36🔵 Tight
HTFL34.7VHConfirmed Bull$50.39$48.36$50.24$47.20🟠 Stretch
GTLB29.8VHConfirmed Bull$46.54$45.34$46.85$44.40🔵 Tight
PATH26.4VHConfirmed Bull$18.67$18.34$18.96$17.96🔵 Tight
ELF21.5VHConfirmed Bull$109.05$105.16$108.59$103.04🔴 Ext
SAIL20.7VHConfirmed Bull$20.56$20.08$20.89$19.58🔵 Tight
NTNX19.5VHConfirmed Bull$68.57$69.77$71.74$68.55🔵 Tight
BITX19.5VHConfirmed Bull$17.94$17.53$18.21$17.11🔵 Tight
SBET19.4VHConfirmed Bull$8.63$8.31$8.67$8.09🔵 Tight
RHI19.0VHConfirmed Bull$45.34$45.71$47.00$44.91🔵 Tight
MSTX18.8VHConfirmed Bull$15.07$14.25$15.46$13.49🔵 Tight
BULL18.5VHConfirmed Bull$9.48$9.49$9.87$9.25🔵 Tight
RGEN18.0VHConfirmed Bull$180.98$177.90$183.19$174.64🔵 Tight
CCC16.8VHConfirmed Bull$7.46$7.56$7.80$7.42🔵 Tight
DUOL15.8VHConfirmed Bull$148.36$148.73$154.38$145.23🔵 Tight
CLMT15.4VHConfirmed Bull$49.73$48.29$50.03$47.21🔵 Tight
CONL14.7VHConfirmed Bull$6.25$5.81$6.33$5.49🔵 Tight
CRCL14.6VHConfirmed Bull$95.55$88.62$93.43$85.66🔴 Ext
SM14.4VHConfirmed Bull$37.18$36.97$38.09$36.27🔵 Tight
ADBE13.7VHConfirmed Bull$292.79$293.99$301.97$289.05🔵 Tight
EXLS13.6VHConfirmed Bull$38.08$38.65$39.45$38.15🔵 Tight
IGV13.4VHConfirmed Bull$109.98$110.16$112.28$108.84🔵 Tight
BITO13.3VHConfirmed Bull$10.63$10.52$10.74$10.38🔵 Tight
BOIL13.3VHFluid Bull$20.37$20.19$20.94$19.73🔵 Tight
KRYS13.0VHConfirmed Bull$359.36$354.47$364.20$348.45🔵 Tight
CTSH12.9VHConfirmed Bull$64.58$64.57$66.30$63.51🔵 Tight
MEDP12.7VHFluid Bear$593.99$605.11$619.54$596.19🔵 Tight
TECH12.3VHFluid Bear$72.31$72.43$72.68$72.27🔵 Tight
FCX12.0VHneutral$75.74$77.11$79.23$75.79🔵 Tight
COIN11.9VHConfirmed Bull$188.12$181.25$189.71$176.03🔵 Tight
TARS11.7VHConfirmed Bull$74.24$72.42$74.57$71.10🔵 Tight
TMO11.7VHneutral$617.10$625.89$637.89$618.47🔵 Tight
DJT11.4VHConfirmed Bull$9.77$9.76$10.15$9.51🔵 Tight
EPAM11.0VHConfirmed Bull$117.83$116.02$119.95$113.58🔵 Tight
QCOM10.9VHFluid Bull$170.48$165.65$170.36$162.73🔵 Tight
MA10.2VHneutral$589.31$597.68$605.40$592.92🔵 Tight
CTVA10.2VHConfirmed Bull$84.63$84.41$86.07$83.39🔵 Tight
KNTK10.1VHConfirmed Bull$54.83$54.18$55.36$53.44🔵 Tight
EXEL10.1VHneutral$54.64$54.82$56.01$54.08🔵 Tight
FTXN10.0VHConfirmed Bull$40.49$39.88$40.41$39.56🟡 Mod
XOP9.9VHConfirmed Bull$188.96$186.98$190.34$184.90🔵 Tight
XLE9.9VHConfirmed Bull$63.96$62.97$63.89$62.39🔵 Tight
PFE9.8VHConfirmed Bull$28.46$28.10$28.55$27.82🔵 Tight
FXN9.8VHConfirmed Bull$23.75$23.52$23.86$23.30🔵 Tight
VDE9.7VHConfirmed Bull$180.17$177.33$179.84$175.79🟡 Mod
GILD9.6VHneutral$146.34$146.58$149.50$144.78🔵 Tight
ASND9.5VHConfirmed Bull$263.04$249.83$256.06$245.99🔴 Ext
CVX9.4VHConfirmed Bull$206.14$202.82$205.91$200.90🔵 Tight
DE9.3VHConfirmed Bull$654.91$635.05$650.35$625.61🔴 Ext
TSLL9.2VHFluid Bull$9.97$9.15$9.70$8.81🔴 Ext
KHC9.1VHConfirmed Bull$25.67$25.86$26.39$25.54🔵 Tight
AAPL9.1VHConfirmed Bull$316.85$321.41$326.94$317.99🔵 Tight
NOWLT1 IGNITIONSCTR 38.8 · Confirmed Bull

NOWL generated a T1 ignition signal on Monday, August 31, 2026 with the bull counter crossing to 1. The stock closed at $8.91 with a buy trigger above $8.68. ATR-based target is $9.19 with a stop below $8.36. SCTR 38.8 places this in the VH band (above median — historically better WR).

HTFLT1 IGNITIONSCTR 34.7 · Confirmed Bull

HTFL generated a T1 ignition signal on Monday, August 31, 2026 with the bull counter crossing to 1. The stock closed at $50.39 with a buy trigger above $48.36. ATR-based target is $50.24 with a stop below $47.20. SCTR 34.7 places this in the VH band (above median — historically better WR).

GTLBT1 IGNITIONSCTR 29.8 · Confirmed Bull

GTLB generated a T1 ignition signal on Monday, August 31, 2026 with the bull counter crossing to 1. The stock closed at $46.54 with a buy trigger above $45.34. ATR-based target is $46.85 with a stop below $44.40. SCTR 29.8 places this in the VH band (above median — historically better WR).

PATHT1 IGNITIONSCTR 26.4 · Confirmed Bull

PATH generated a T1 ignition signal on Monday, August 31, 2026 with the bull counter crossing to 1. The stock closed at $18.67 with a buy trigger above $18.34. ATR-based target is $18.96 with a stop below $17.96. SCTR 26.4 places this in the VH band (above median — historically better WR).

ELFT1 IGNITIONSCTR 21.5 · Confirmed Bull

ELF generated a T1 ignition signal on Monday, August 31, 2026 with the bull counter crossing to 1. The stock closed at $109.05 with a buy trigger above $105.16. ATR-based target is $108.59 with a stop below $103.04. SCTR 21.5 places this in the VH band (above median — historically better WR).

SAILT1 IGNITIONSCTR 20.7 · Confirmed Bull

SAIL generated a T1 ignition signal on Monday, August 31, 2026 with the bull counter crossing to 1. The stock closed at $20.56 with a buy trigger above $20.08. ATR-based target is $20.89 with a stop below $19.58. SCTR 20.7 places this in the VH band (above median — historically better WR).

🔴 Bear Ignition Signals (77)

SymbolSCTRTrendCloseShort BelowTargetStop
COCO3.9Confirmed Bear$58.72$61.04$58.89$62.38
SCHH3.9Confirmed Bear$23.58$23.67$23.46$23.81
IEI3.8Confirmed Bear$116.17$116.13$115.92$116.25
VNQ3.8Confirmed Bear$96.44$96.98$96.12$97.50
SPTI3.8Confirmed Bear$28.01$28.02$27.96$28.06
VGIT3.8Confirmed Bear$58.21$58.20$58.08$58.28
GOOG3.7Confirmed Bear$335.41$340.94$334.65$344.82
CPT3.7Confirmed Bear$105.80$105.92$104.53$106.78
XLRE3.7Confirmed Bear$44.11$44.35$43.95$44.61
XENE3.7Confirmed Bear$60.22$59.46$57.73$60.52
BNDX3.7Confirmed Bear$47.55$47.57$47.48$47.63
MAA3.7Confirmed Bear$128.85$129.07$127.33$130.15
JAAA3.5Confirmed Bear$50.51$50.69$50.66$50.71
PAAA3.5Confirmed Bear$51.31$51.50$51.47$51.52
PULS3.4Confirmed Bear$49.54$49.70$49.68$49.72
IRTC3.2Confirmed Bear$118.94$118.91$114.56$121.59
MUB3.1Confirmed Bear$105.10$105.15$104.93$105.29
EGP3.1Confirmed Bear$199.50$199.22$196.69$200.78
RARE3.1Confirmed Bear$25.21$25.29$24.27$25.93
JMUB3.0Confirmed Bear$49.52$49.57$49.48$49.63
DPZ3.0Fluid Bear$342.06$347.17$338.02$352.83
CHDN3.0Confirmed Bear$87.48$89.22$87.01$90.58
GVA2.9Confirmed Bear$120.56$121.57$118.50$123.47
HLT2.9Confirmed Bear$316.28$320.17$314.74$323.53
O2.6Confirmed Bear$61.28$61.77$61.10$62.19
FTV2.5Confirmed Bear$58.84$59.40$58.44$59.98
ORCL2.5Confirmed Bull$149.12$149.36$144.55$152.34
GGLL2.4Confirmed Bear$98.59$101.60$97.67$104.04
AEE2.4Confirmed Bear$106.01$105.69$104.29$106.55
KRG2.2Confirmed Bear$25.80$25.90$25.59$26.10
VICI2.1Confirmed Bear$25.65$25.77$25.44$25.97
OPCH2.1Fluid Bear$23.45$23.75$23.27$24.05
WM2.1Confirmed Bear$218.92$218.73$215.72$220.59
XEL2.0Confirmed Bear$75.69$76.11$75.01$76.79
KTB2.0Confirmed Bear$75.41$76.27$73.94$77.71
H2.0Confirmed Bear$166.97$171.05$167.18$173.45
OTIS1.9Confirmed Bear$71.13$71.41$70.35$72.07
YMM1.7Confirmed Bear$8.47$8.74$8.53$8.88
TCOM1.7Confirmed Bear$44.65$45.11$44.35$45.59
TAP1.7Confirmed Bear$39.76$41.17$40.24$41.75
ESTA1.7Confirmed Bear$69.33$69.83$67.22$71.45
REG1.6Confirmed Bear$74.77$75.26$74.43$75.78
FNF1.5Confirmed Bear$46.45$47.29$46.45$47.81
NOC1.5Confirmed Bear$539.70$542.63$533.10$548.51
BRX1.4Confirmed Bear$28.89$29.06$28.72$29.28
TME1.4Confirmed Bear$8.27$8.48$8.24$8.64
HON1.3Confirmed Bear$213.53$215.83$210.64$219.03
IDA1.2Confirmed Bear$136.16$135.13$133.03$136.43
HXL1.2Confirmed Bear$92.67$94.16$91.87$95.58
CHH1.2Confirmed Bear$103.36$108.02$105.29$109.70
AAPD1.1Confirmed Bear$10.98$10.84$10.65$10.96
HGV1.0Confirmed Bear$42.41$43.42$42.14$44.20
AON0.8Confirmed Bear$321.52$353.09$345.62$357.71
ALK0.7Confirmed Bear$41.33$41.90$40.52$42.74
BIRK0.5Confirmed Bear$34.91$35.23$33.86$36.07
TMDX0.4Fluid Bear$84.87$87.46$84.32$89.40
CRH0.2Confirmed Bear$94.29$95.24$93.25$96.48
LEVI0.2Confirmed Bear$20.76$21.13$20.63$21.45
ORA0.0Confirmed Bear$102.00$102.26$99.72$103.82
GDS-0.1Confirmed Bear$31.85$33.05$31.90$33.77
TXT-0.6Confirmed Bear$80.56$82.54$80.93$83.54
AS-0.6Confirmed Bear$30.55$30.76$29.84$31.34
BLBD-0.6Confirmed Bear$58.15$58.59$56.50$59.87
HWM-0.6Confirmed Bear$244.95$262.62$255.40$267.08
ESE-1.2Confirmed Bear$273.03$274.53$266.67$279.39
CAVA-1.3Confirmed Bear$65.75$66.17$63.66$67.71
ZTO-1.5Confirmed Bear$21.17$21.38$21.00$21.62
NCLH-2.4Confirmed Bear$16.14$16.49$15.96$16.81
ORCX-2.5neutral$22.38$22.48$21.04$23.36
NOBL-2.8Confirmed Bear$57.87$58.19$57.69$58.49
BWXT-4.2Confirmed Bear$152.29$151.47$147.02$154.23
TSLQ-5.0Confirmed Bear$18.66$20.52$19.21$21.32
TSDD-5.1Confirmed Bear$7.85$8.63$8.08$8.97
EIX-7.0Confirmed Bear$53.98$69.32$66.56$71.02
MVLL-8.4Confirmed Bear$23.90$23.82$19.79$26.30
PL-8.9Confirmed Bear$19.85$19.67$18.67$20.29
SNDQ-11.6Confirmed Bear$15.08$16.07$12.97$17.99

Frequently Asked Questions

How many T1 ignition signals fired on Monday, August 31, 2026?

EdgeOS identified 52 bull T1 ignitions and 77 bear ignitions on Monday, August 31, 2026. The scanner filters to ~3,000 liquid US equities with ADV ≥ $40M and price ≥ $5.00.

What is the historical win rate for T1 ignitions?

In a Chop regime (current on Monday, August 31, 2026), the historical win rate is 44% based on 7-year backtests across 799,000+ signals. In bull regimes: 55%. In chop: 44%. In bear: 38%.

How do I use these signals?

Buy above the trigger price (the close when bull count = 1). Hold toward the ATR target, which represents a 1.0× ATR move above the prior period close. Stop below the lower trigger. Exit near count 9 if reached. Average hold: 12–15 trading days for completed cycles.

What is SCTR and why does it matter here?

SCTR (StockCharts Technical Rank) is a composite score from 0–10 blending 26-week/13-week rate of change, PPO, and RSI. A reading above 9 is required for a T1 bull ignition. Higher SCTR (VH band, above 8) historically shows slightly better win rates.

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