T1 Ignition Signals — Tuesday, August 25, 2026

EdgeOS scanned ~3,000 liquid US equities and identified 95 qualified signals.

CHOP REGIMEHistorical T1 win rate: 44% in Chop regimes(7-yr backtest · 799k signals)🟢 45 bull   🔴 50 bear

Signal Snapshot

On Tuesday, August 25, 2026, the EdgeOS scanner identified 45 T1 ignition signals in a Chop market regime. The SPY SCTR was in the Chop zone, which corresponds to a historical T1 win rate of 44% based on 7-year backtests across 799,000+ signals. Bull T1 ignitions fired on: REPL, UVIX, MRNA, ABCL, TWST, QURE, GTLB, TEM, GEO, DINO, BULL, CDE, WEN, CONL, HL, NUVB, FIG, SVIX, GFI, MRX, ACAD, GMAB, ALM, TGB, SOLV, IBB, ONC, EXEL, CRSP, COPX, SILJ, ARKK, UEC, BNS, OVV, HUBS, MELI, IBRX, VG, BEKE, NTLA, EPAM, BEAM, LYV, EIX. Bear ignitions: CSL, INOD, BOOT, DG, FTV, VSEC, GMED, HIG, SHAK, SXI, ENSG, LDOS, QBTS, DIOD, OPCH, AIG, WRB, AEE, FTS, TCOM, L, HGV, QUBT, TSN, OTIS, WOLF, IDXX, STRL, MCD, GIL, TDG, BIRK, SPXC, MTSI, OLLI, GAP, VIAV, EME, PFSI, POOL, WMT, FORM, SAIA, BBWI, NI, KTOS, DECK, JOBY, RRX, FLY. A T1 ignition occurs when a stock's bull counter crosses from 0 to 1 with SCTR above 9, confirming the start of a new bullish count cycle. Entry is above the trigger price; the ATR-derived target and stop define the trade's risk/reward.

The 55% historical win rate for T1 ignitions applies in bull regimes. In chop, it drops to 44%; in bear regimes, 38%. Risk management and SCTR band matter: signals with SCTR in the High or VH band (above 6.0) historically outperform those in the Mid band.

🟢 T1 Ignition Signals (45)

SymbolSCTRBandTrendCloseTriggerTargetStopExt
REPL106.7VHConfirmed Bull$15.80$15.02$16.02$14.40🔵 Tight
UVIX96.8VHConfirmed Bear$42.08$44.20$46.45$42.82🔵 Tight
MRNA85.6VHConfirmed Bull$158.83$142.54$154.36$135.24🔴 Ext
ABCL62.2VHConfirmed Bull$12.50$10.82$11.50$10.40🔴 Ext
TWST39.8VHConfirmed Bull$151.42$143.06$150.37$138.54🔴 Ext
QURE38.7VHConfirmed Bull$51.05$48.02$49.83$46.90🔴 Ext
GTLB24.7VHneutral$41.66$42.49$43.98$41.57🔵 Tight
TEM22.4VHConfirmed Bull$68.73$67.30$70.94$65.04🔵 Tight
GEO18.6VHConfirmed Bull$32.16$32.46$33.37$31.90🔵 Tight
DINO18.4VHneutral$93.24$96.01$98.71$94.35🔵 Tight
BULL17.7VHConfirmed Bull$8.94$8.65$9.03$8.41🔵 Tight
CDE17.4VHConfirmed Bull$21.59$21.14$21.98$20.62🔵 Tight
WEN17.0VHConfirmed Bull$9.12$8.93$9.24$8.75🔵 Tight
CONL16.2VHConfirmed Bull$6.28$5.92$6.41$5.62🔵 Tight
HL16.1VHConfirmed Bull$20.92$20.64$21.41$20.16🔵 Tight
NUVB16.1VHConfirmed Bull$7.10$6.85$7.16$6.67🔵 Tight
FIG16.0VHConfirmed Bull$27.27$27.85$29.16$27.03🔵 Tight
SVIX15.8VHConfirmed Bull$27.49$27.15$27.66$26.83🔵 Tight
GFI15.3VHConfirmed Bull$48.87$47.77$49.18$46.89🔵 Tight
MRX14.9VHneutral$70.85$71.35$73.98$69.73🔵 Tight
ACAD14.5VHConfirmed Bull$30.57$29.87$30.60$29.43🔵 Tight
GMAB14.4VHConfirmed Bull$34.36$33.23$33.89$32.81🔴 Ext
ALM14.3VHConfirmed Bull$18.93$18.57$19.53$17.98🔵 Tight
TGB14.3VHConfirmed Bull$9.51$9.45$9.81$9.23🔵 Tight
SOLV14.0VHConfirmed Bull$91.61$91.85$93.80$90.65🔵 Tight
IBB13.6VHConfirmed Bull$216.40$213.56$216.90$211.50🔵 Tight
ONC13.1VHConfirmed Bull$376.37$374.32$381.89$369.64🔵 Tight
EXEL12.2VHConfirmed Bull$56.72$54.94$56.22$54.16🔴 Ext
CRSP11.9VHConfirmed Bull$60.90$57.74$59.91$56.41🔴 Ext
COPX11.9VHConfirmed Bull$96.32$95.19$97.31$93.87🔵 Tight
SILJ11.9VHConfirmed Bull$32.79$32.31$33.29$31.71🔵 Tight
ARKK11.3VHConfirmed Bull$86.37$84.50$86.38$83.34🔵 Tight
UEC11.2VHConfirmed Bull$13.27$12.67$13.19$12.35🔴 Ext
BNS11.1VHConfirmed Bull$93.10$87.30$88.73$86.42🔴 Ext
OVV11.0VHneutral$64.40$66.35$67.74$65.49🔵 Tight
HUBS10.8VHneutral$237.69$248.00$260.39$240.34🔵 Tight
MELI10.0VHConfirmed Bull$1997.00$1964.10$2016.54$1931.70🔵 Tight
IBRX9.8VHConfirmed Bull$8.19$7.68$8.01$7.48🔴 Ext
VG9.8VHneutral$14.07$14.56$15.09$14.22🔵 Tight
BEKE9.6VHConfirmed Bull$18.01$17.83$18.22$17.59🔵 Tight
NTLA9.6VHConfirmed Bull$13.51$12.74$13.34$12.38🔴 Ext
EPAM9.4VHConfirmed Bull$111.85$112.52$116.59$110.00🔵 Tight
BEAM9.4VHConfirmed Bull$31.03$28.74$30.07$27.92🔴 Ext
LYV9.4VHConfirmed Bull$186.77$185.60$188.88$183.58🔵 Tight
EIX9.2VHConfirmed Bull$74.78$74.52$76.29$73.42🔵 Tight
REPLT1 IGNITIONSCTR 106.7 · Confirmed Bull

REPL generated a T1 ignition signal on Tuesday, August 25, 2026 with the bull counter crossing to 1. The stock closed at $15.80 with a buy trigger above $15.02. ATR-based target is $16.02 with a stop below $14.40. SCTR 106.7 places this in the VH band (above median — historically better WR).

UVIXT1 IGNITIONSCTR 96.8 · Confirmed Bear

UVIX generated a T1 ignition signal on Tuesday, August 25, 2026 with the bull counter crossing to 1. The stock closed at $42.08 with a buy trigger above $44.20. ATR-based target is $46.45 with a stop below $42.82. SCTR 96.8 places this in the VH band (above median — historically better WR).

MRNAT1 IGNITIONSCTR 85.6 · Confirmed Bull

MRNA generated a T1 ignition signal on Tuesday, August 25, 2026 with the bull counter crossing to 1. The stock closed at $158.83 with a buy trigger above $142.54. ATR-based target is $154.36 with a stop below $135.24. SCTR 85.6 places this in the VH band (above median — historically better WR).

ABCLT1 IGNITIONSCTR 62.2 · Confirmed Bull

ABCL generated a T1 ignition signal on Tuesday, August 25, 2026 with the bull counter crossing to 1. The stock closed at $12.50 with a buy trigger above $10.82. ATR-based target is $11.50 with a stop below $10.40. SCTR 62.2 places this in the VH band (above median — historically better WR).

TWSTT1 IGNITIONSCTR 39.8 · Confirmed Bull

TWST generated a T1 ignition signal on Tuesday, August 25, 2026 with the bull counter crossing to 1. The stock closed at $151.42 with a buy trigger above $143.06. ATR-based target is $150.37 with a stop below $138.54. SCTR 39.8 places this in the VH band (above median — historically better WR).

QURET1 IGNITIONSCTR 38.7 · Confirmed Bull

QURE generated a T1 ignition signal on Tuesday, August 25, 2026 with the bull counter crossing to 1. The stock closed at $51.05 with a buy trigger above $48.02. ATR-based target is $49.83 with a stop below $46.90. SCTR 38.7 places this in the VH band (above median — historically better WR).

🔴 Bear Ignition Signals (50)

SymbolSCTRTrendCloseShort BelowTargetStop
CSL3.9Fluid Bear$363.27$359.55$349.92$365.49
INOD3.9Confirmed Bear$57.17$56.01$52.39$58.25
BOOT3.9Confirmed Bear$159.69$160.08$154.47$163.54
DG3.7Fluid Bear$122.58$124.46$121.65$126.20
FTV3.7Confirmed Bear$59.50$60.15$59.16$60.77
VSEC3.6Fluid Bear$217.65$212.43$204.12$217.57
GMED3.6Fluid Bear$82.96$83.45$81.43$84.71
HIG3.6neutral$138.22$138.36$136.34$139.60
SHAK3.4neutral$74.07$74.83$72.86$76.05
SXI3.4Confirmed Bear$304.73$300.18$291.10$305.80
ENSG3.4Fluid Bear$179.02$178.36$175.07$180.38
LDOS3.4Fluid Bear$134.54$137.41$134.09$139.45
QBTS3.2Confirmed Bear$19.35$18.35$17.27$19.01
DIOD3.1Confirmed Bear$92.95$88.18$83.09$91.32
OPCH3.0Confirmed Bull$23.64$23.50$22.95$23.84
AIG3.0Confirmed Bear$76.38$77.04$75.93$77.72
WRB3.0Confirmed Bear$68.48$69.36$68.27$70.04
AEE2.9Confirmed Bear$106.83$106.70$105.22$107.62
FTS2.8Confirmed Bear$55.07$55.13$54.50$55.51
TCOM2.7Confirmed Bull$45.98$45.78$45.01$46.26
L2.7Confirmed Bear$110.81$110.99$109.50$111.91
HGV2.4Confirmed Bear$44.91$44.93$43.54$45.79
QUBT2.2Confirmed Bear$8.46$8.11$7.69$8.37
TSN2.1Confirmed Bear$57.17$57.53$56.41$58.21
OTIS2.0Confirmed Bear$71.46$71.84$70.70$72.54
WOLF1.9Confirmed Bear$25.29$23.98$21.44$25.54
IDXX1.9Confirmed Bear$550.01$555.37$541.96$563.65
STRL1.9Confirmed Bear$486.39$486.79$454.85$506.53
MCD1.8Confirmed Bear$268.10$271.30$267.30$273.78
GIL1.8Confirmed Bear$54.59$54.56$53.28$55.34
TDG1.8Confirmed Bear$1192.60$1191.55$1167.18$1206.61
BIRK1.0Confirmed Bear$35.29$34.84$33.36$35.76
SPXC1.0Confirmed Bear$200.98$198.87$192.29$202.93
MTSI0.9Confirmed Bear$266.27$252.98$238.57$261.88
OLLI0.7Confirmed Bear$74.61$75.64$73.34$77.06
GAP0.7neutral$20.15$20.22$19.75$20.50
VIAV0.6Confirmed Bear$37.71$36.23$33.88$37.67
EME0.4Confirmed Bear$739.87$757.53$733.69$772.27
PFSI-0.4Confirmed Bear$74.16$74.60$72.71$75.76
POOL-0.4Confirmed Bear$186.36$186.60$181.28$189.88
WMT-0.5Confirmed Bear$105.38$105.80$103.56$107.18
FORM-0.5Confirmed Bear$107.72$105.63$98.29$110.17
SAIA-1.0Confirmed Bear$343.92$345.93$334.26$353.15
BBWI-1.0Confirmed Bear$17.58$18.94$18.21$19.40
NI-1.3Confirmed Bear$40.65$40.63$39.97$41.03
KTOS-1.6Confirmed Bear$52.64$52.24$49.57$53.90
DECK-1.8Confirmed Bear$88.74$91.31$88.83$92.85
JOBY-2.3Confirmed Bear$7.22$7.09$6.75$7.29
RRX-2.4Confirmed Bear$162.18$160.69$154.10$164.75
FLY-5.1Confirmed Bear$22.26$22.64$21.14$23.56

Frequently Asked Questions

How many T1 ignition signals fired on Tuesday, August 25, 2026?

EdgeOS identified 45 bull T1 ignitions and 50 bear ignitions on Tuesday, August 25, 2026. The scanner filters to ~3,000 liquid US equities with ADV ≥ $40M and price ≥ $5.00.

What is the historical win rate for T1 ignitions?

In a Chop regime (current on Tuesday, August 25, 2026), the historical win rate is 44% based on 7-year backtests across 799,000+ signals. In bull regimes: 55%. In chop: 44%. In bear: 38%.

How do I use these signals?

Buy above the trigger price (the close when bull count = 1). Hold toward the ATR target, which represents a 1.0× ATR move above the prior period close. Stop below the lower trigger. Exit near count 9 if reached. Average hold: 12–15 trading days for completed cycles.

What is SCTR and why does it matter here?

SCTR (StockCharts Technical Rank) is a composite score from 0–10 blending 26-week/13-week rate of change, PPO, and RSI. A reading above 9 is required for a T1 bull ignition. Higher SCTR (VH band, above 8) historically shows slightly better win rates.

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