T1 Ignition Signals — Wednesday, August 19, 2026

EdgeOS scanned ~3,000 liquid US equities and identified 158 qualified signals.

CHOP REGIMEHistorical T1 win rate: 44% in Chop regimes(7-yr backtest · 799k signals)🟢 110 bull   🔴 48 bear

Signal Snapshot

On Wednesday, August 19, 2026, the EdgeOS scanner identified 110 T1 ignition signals in a Chop market regime. The SPY SCTR was in the Chop zone, which corresponds to a historical T1 win rate of 44% based on 7-year backtests across 799,000+ signals. Bull T1 ignitions fired on: MRNA, TXG, DD, NUGT, JNUG, TEM, HRB, CAI, COMP, EXK, RGEN, ELF, GKOS, HMY, ABNB, HL, ASST, AUGO, FSM, EGO, BTG, SSRM, CDE, EWTX, BNTX, NEM, WPM, WGS, AG, IAG, EL, PRAX, RING, ILMN, FRPT, HIMS, EQX, TGT, GDXJ, BMRN, GDX, CRSP, GFI, TGB, ALM, SIL, SILJ, DYN, BIO, BBY, PK, BDX, INCY, B, WAT, PAYX, KGC, WRBY, REGN, LH, JLL, ARKK, GDDY, RGLD, HYMC, CRM, SJM, DGX, RVTY, RACE, TMO, CAG, BHP, SBET, NTLA, IBRX, MSI, FNV, UGL, NWSA, AGIO, MOAT, KO, BOOT, FWONK, XME, BMY, CLX, FAST, TMDX, CVCO, AGI, AVY, ENPH, EFX, CRCL, IHI, UPST, VKTX, VLTO, ERIE, TKO, QGEN, CSGP, TSLL, DKNG, BAH, UEC, JKHY, PVAL. Bear ignitions: TDY, KEYS, WRB, HIG, FHN, FTV, KEY, LFUS, UUP, BN, GTES, DE, CALM, ESI, CDNS, CINF, HUBB, Q, ALGM, ALGN, AXS, TRP, UCTT, MKL, CSTM, SARO, POWL, ESE, AGX, FN, LUMN, NI, RBC, GLL, ESLT, AROC, AAON, ZSL, CENX, ESAB, WULF, MIDD, VXX, SNEX, MSTZ, MLI, DUST, WDCX. A T1 ignition occurs when a stock's bull counter crosses from 0 to 1 with SCTR above 9, confirming the start of a new bullish count cycle. Entry is above the trigger price; the ATR-derived target and stop define the trade's risk/reward.

The 55% historical win rate for T1 ignitions applies in bull regimes. In chop, it drops to 44%; in bear regimes, 38%. Risk management and SCTR band matter: signals with SCTR in the High or VH band (above 6.0) historically outperform those in the Mid band.

🟢 T1 Ignition Signals (110)

SymbolSCTRBandTrendCloseTriggerTargetStopExt
MRNA100.8VHConfirmed Bull$174.38$65.67$74.46$60.25🔴 Ext
TXG39.8VHConfirmed Bull$62.19$56.49$59.27$54.77🔴 Ext
DD35.5VHFluid Bear$139.68$139.79$142.96$137.83🔵 Tight
NUGT22.1VHConfirmed Bull$186.39$160.15$169.17$154.57🔴 Ext
JNUG22.1VHConfirmed Bull$189.87$162.94$172.86$156.82🔴 Ext
TEM21.6VHConfirmed Bull$61.25$50.28$53.25$48.44🔴 Ext
HRB21.6VHConfirmed Bull$52.25$51.49$53.28$50.39🔵 Tight
CAI21.1VHConfirmed Bull$22.76$21.24$22.10$20.70🔴 Ext
COMP20.9VHConfirmed Bull$12.80$12.45$12.95$12.15🔵 Tight
EXK20.4VHConfirmed Bull$10.99$9.81$10.28$9.51🔴 Ext
RGEN20.3VHConfirmed Bull$176.36$167.81$173.19$164.49🔴 Ext
ELF20.1VHConfirmed Bull$99.65$93.60$97.12$91.42🔴 Ext
GKOS19.9VHConfirmed Bull$189.55$185.79$191.11$182.51🔵 Tight
HMY19.8VHConfirmed Bull$21.09$19.48$20.13$19.08🔴 Ext
ABNB19.5VHConfirmed Bull$186.39$184.68$189.29$181.82🔵 Tight
HL19.5VHConfirmed Bull$20.54$18.19$18.97$17.71🔴 Ext
ASST18.8VHConfirmed Bull$14.73$13.01$13.71$12.59🔴 Ext
AUGO18.7VHConfirmed Bull$85.00$77.28$80.66$75.20🔴 Ext
FSM18.7VHConfirmed Bull$11.63$10.56$10.93$10.34🔴 Ext
EGO18.6VHConfirmed Bull$41.76$39.17$40.68$38.25🔴 Ext
BTG18.6VHConfirmed Bull$5.27$5.03$5.20$4.93🔴 Ext
SSRM18.1VHConfirmed Bull$35.38$32.07$33.31$31.31🔴 Ext
CDE17.5VHConfirmed Bull$20.93$18.77$19.63$18.25🔴 Ext
EWTX17.2VHConfirmed Bull$46.44$44.66$46.46$43.56🔵 Tight
BNTX17.0VHConfirmed Bull$113.12$93.68$96.69$91.82🔴 Ext
NEM16.8VHConfirmed Bull$125.08$117.05$120.51$114.91🔴 Ext
WPM16.6VHConfirmed Bull$147.43$133.97$138.10$131.43🔴 Ext
WGS16.6VHConfirmed Bull$79.65$77.49$81.23$75.19🔵 Tight
AG16.5VHConfirmed Bull$20.85$18.73$19.53$18.23🔴 Ext
IAG16.4VHConfirmed Bull$19.72$18.41$19.11$17.97🔴 Ext
EL16.4VHConfirmed Bull$98.01$85.07$87.65$83.47🔴 Ext
PRAX16.3VHConfirmed Bull$386.19$374.56$389.83$365.12🔵 Tight
RING15.6VHConfirmed Bull$85.10$78.43$80.80$76.97🔴 Ext
ILMN15.5VHConfirmed Bull$205.00$190.13$196.09$186.45🔴 Ext
FRPT15.5VHConfirmed Bull$75.03$73.37$75.75$71.89🔵 Tight
HIMS15.3VHConfirmed Bull$31.09$27.94$29.70$26.84🔴 Ext
EQX15.2VHConfirmed Bull$12.66$11.59$12.05$11.31🔴 Ext
TGT15.0VHConfirmed Bull$159.00$153.58$157.13$151.38🔴 Ext
GDXJ14.9VHConfirmed Bull$126.55$116.59$120.39$114.25🔴 Ext
BMRN14.8VHConfirmed Bull$69.33$67.47$69.01$66.51🔴 Ext
GDX14.8VHConfirmed Bull$97.33$89.79$92.51$88.11🔴 Ext
CRSP14.7VHConfirmed Bull$59.81$53.55$55.42$52.39🔴 Ext
GFI14.6VHConfirmed Bull$43.85$41.33$42.67$40.51🔴 Ext
TGB14.4VHneutral$8.47$8.47$8.83$8.25🔵 Tight
ALM14.3VHConfirmed Bull$16.18$15.89$16.82$15.31🔵 Tight
SIL14.3VHConfirmed Bull$95.87$88.41$91.26$86.65🔴 Ext
SILJ14.3VHConfirmed Bull$31.42$28.98$29.97$28.38🔴 Ext
DYN14.3VHConfirmed Bull$26.78$26.27$27.15$25.73🔵 Tight
BIO14.3VHConfirmed Bull$364.26$355.20$363.34$350.18🟡 Mod
BBY14.2VHConfirmed Bull$89.21$87.91$89.97$86.63🔵 Tight
PK14.2VHConfirmed Bull$15.83$15.47$15.81$15.27🔵 Tight
BDX14.1VHConfirmed Bull$187.60$181.83$185.28$179.71🔴 Ext
INCY14.0VHConfirmed Bull$128.47$124.36$127.24$122.58🔴 Ext
B13.4VHConfirmed Bull$45.13$42.49$43.77$41.69🔴 Ext
WAT13.3VHConfirmed Bull$415.84$404.09$413.27$398.41🔴 Ext
PAYX13.0VHConfirmed Bull$122.50$120.78$123.55$119.08🔵 Tight
KGC13.0VHConfirmed Bull$29.90$27.39$28.26$26.85🔴 Ext
WRBY12.9VHConfirmed Bull$28.50$26.02$27.35$25.20🔴 Ext
REGN12.9VHConfirmed Bull$840.84$815.12$830.92$805.36🔴 Ext
LH12.9VHConfirmed Bull$330.44$324.04$330.05$320.32🔵 Tight
JLL12.9VHConfirmed Bull$390.21$373.67$382.22$368.39🔴 Ext
ARKK12.8VHConfirmed Bull$83.31$79.72$81.58$78.58🔴 Ext
GDDY12.6VHConfirmed Bull$96.84$97.00$100.89$94.60🔵 Tight
RGLD12.6VHConfirmed Bull$248.14$232.27$238.21$228.59🔴 Ext
HYMC12.5VHConfirmed Bull$27.90$24.65$26.14$23.73🔴 Ext
CRM12.5VHConfirmed Bull$206.09$198.13$204.59$194.15🔴 Ext
SJM12.4VHConfirmed Bull$122.84$119.27$121.77$117.73🔴 Ext
DGX12.2VHConfirmed Bull$241.76$237.48$241.46$235.02🔵 Tight
RVTY12.1VHConfirmed Bull$119.45$114.63$117.48$112.87🔴 Ext
RACE11.9VHConfirmed Bull$425.18$414.43$420.87$410.45🔴 Ext
TMO11.8VHConfirmed Bull$613.54$592.68$604.47$585.40🔴 Ext
CAG11.6VHConfirmed Bull$16.22$15.63$16.00$15.41🔴 Ext
BHP11.6VHConfirmed Bull$92.29$89.66$91.52$88.52🔴 Ext
SBET11.5VHConfirmed Bull$7.08$6.38$6.67$6.20🔴 Ext
NTLA11.1VHConfirmed Bull$13.28$11.78$12.35$11.42🔴 Ext
IBRX11.0VHConfirmed Bull$8.13$7.82$8.14$7.62🔵 Tight
MSI10.9VHConfirmed Bull$480.84$472.49$482.18$466.51🔵 Tight
FNV10.9VHConfirmed Bull$251.07$234.90$241.20$231.02🔴 Ext
UGL10.7VHConfirmed Bull$54.56$51.07$52.50$50.19🔴 Ext
NWSA10.6VHConfirmed Bull$29.45$29.57$30.17$29.21🔵 Tight
AGIO10.6VHConfirmed Bull$35.12$34.79$36.07$34.01🔵 Tight
MOAT10.5VHConfirmed Bull$114.09$112.33$113.41$111.65🔴 Ext
KO10.5VHConfirmed Bull$90.35$89.20$90.45$88.44🔵 Tight
BOOT10.5VHConfirmed Bull$169.17$159.77$165.21$156.41🔴 Ext
FWONK10.5VHConfirmed Bull$104.84$102.66$104.74$101.38🔵 Tight
XME10.4VHConfirmed Bull$117.07$114.50$117.30$112.76🔵 Tight
BMY10.4VHConfirmed Bull$67.61$66.46$67.77$65.64🔵 Tight
CLX10.4VHConfirmed Bull$107.90$106.26$108.57$104.84🔵 Tight
FAST10.4VHConfirmed Bull$51.44$51.54$52.41$51.00🔵 Tight
TMDX10.3VHConfirmed Bull$93.97$91.68$94.88$89.70🔵 Tight
CVCO10.1VHConfirmed Bull$598.85$589.32$604.07$580.22🔵 Tight
AGI10.0VHConfirmed Bull$35.74$33.24$34.36$32.56🔴 Ext
AVY9.7VHConfirmed Bull$183.16$178.96$183.00$176.46🔵 Tight
ENPH9.7VHneutral$39.37$38.14$39.97$37.02🔵 Tight
EFX9.7VHConfirmed Bull$192.10$183.54$189.04$180.14🔴 Ext
CRCL9.6VHConfirmed Bull$78.59$72.96$76.95$70.50🔴 Ext
IHI9.6VHConfirmed Bull$56.64$55.70$56.54$55.18🟡 Mod
UPST9.6VHConfirmed Bull$30.60$29.53$30.89$28.69🔵 Tight
VKTX9.6VHConfirmed Bull$35.98$33.74$34.95$33.00🔴 Ext
VLTO9.6VHConfirmed Bull$100.10$96.64$98.47$95.50🔴 Ext
ERIE9.5VHConfirmed Bull$267.38$259.41$267.36$254.49🔵 Tight
TKO9.5VHConfirmed Bull$201.69$193.50$197.98$190.72🔴 Ext
QGEN9.5VHConfirmed Bull$44.50$42.59$43.48$42.05🔴 Ext
CSGP9.3VHConfirmed Bull$33.73$31.75$32.96$31.01🔴 Ext
TSLL9.2VHFluid Bull$9.19$8.65$9.20$8.31🔵 Tight
DKNG9.2VHConfirmed Bull$25.31$24.33$25.26$23.75🟡 Mod
BAH9.2VHConfirmed Bull$78.84$76.45$78.70$75.07🟡 Mod
UEC9.1VHConfirmed Bull$11.63$11.09$11.53$10.83🔴 Ext
JKHY9.1VHConfirmed Bull$163.06$154.41$158.60$151.83🔴 Ext
PVAL9.1VHConfirmed Bull$54.42$54.27$54.61$54.07🔵 Tight
MRNAT1 IGNITIONSCTR 100.8 · Confirmed Bull

MRNA generated a T1 ignition signal on Wednesday, August 19, 2026 with the bull counter crossing to 1. The stock closed at $174.38 with a buy trigger above $65.67. ATR-based target is $74.46 with a stop below $60.25. SCTR 100.8 places this in the VH band (above median — historically better WR).

TXGT1 IGNITIONSCTR 39.8 · Confirmed Bull

TXG generated a T1 ignition signal on Wednesday, August 19, 2026 with the bull counter crossing to 1. The stock closed at $62.19 with a buy trigger above $56.49. ATR-based target is $59.27 with a stop below $54.77. SCTR 39.8 places this in the VH band (above median — historically better WR).

DDT1 IGNITIONSCTR 35.5 · Fluid Bear

DD generated a T1 ignition signal on Wednesday, August 19, 2026 with the bull counter crossing to 1. The stock closed at $139.68 with a buy trigger above $139.79. ATR-based target is $142.96 with a stop below $137.83. SCTR 35.5 places this in the VH band (above median — historically better WR).

NUGTT1 IGNITIONSCTR 22.1 · Confirmed Bull

NUGT generated a T1 ignition signal on Wednesday, August 19, 2026 with the bull counter crossing to 1. The stock closed at $186.39 with a buy trigger above $160.15. ATR-based target is $169.17 with a stop below $154.57. SCTR 22.1 places this in the VH band (above median — historically better WR).

JNUGT1 IGNITIONSCTR 22.1 · Confirmed Bull

JNUG generated a T1 ignition signal on Wednesday, August 19, 2026 with the bull counter crossing to 1. The stock closed at $189.87 with a buy trigger above $162.94. ATR-based target is $172.86 with a stop below $156.82. SCTR 22.1 places this in the VH band (above median — historically better WR).

TEMT1 IGNITIONSCTR 21.6 · Confirmed Bull

TEM generated a T1 ignition signal on Wednesday, August 19, 2026 with the bull counter crossing to 1. The stock closed at $61.25 with a buy trigger above $50.28. ATR-based target is $53.25 with a stop below $48.44. SCTR 21.6 places this in the VH band (above median — historically better WR).

🔴 Bear Ignition Signals (48)

SymbolSCTRTrendCloseShort BelowTargetStop
TDY3.9Confirmed Bear$648.63$660.92$647.71$669.08
KEYS3.8Confirmed Bear$319.45$337.40$325.75$344.60
WRB3.7Confirmed Bear$69.61$69.82$68.68$70.52
HIG3.7Confirmed Bear$137.53$138.32$136.23$139.60
FHN3.6Confirmed Bear$24.87$25.70$25.30$25.94
FTV3.6Confirmed Bear$58.90$59.11$58.02$59.79
KEY3.6Confirmed Bear$22.10$22.68$22.34$22.90
LFUS3.6Confirmed Bear$414.87$432.57$416.57$442.45
UUP3.4Confirmed Bear$27.88$28.11$28.03$28.17
BN3.3Confirmed Bear$42.15$41.88$41.09$42.38
GTES3.0Confirmed Bear$26.23$26.87$26.03$27.39
DE2.9Confirmed Bear$580.63$584.95$572.74$592.49
CALM2.9Confirmed Bear$80.55$80.57$78.58$81.81
ESI2.9Confirmed Bear$36.18$36.93$35.77$37.65
CDNS2.8Confirmed Bear$314.98$313.76$304.82$319.28
CINF2.7Confirmed Bear$168.49$170.43$167.45$172.27
HUBB2.6Confirmed Bear$475.64$480.10$467.94$487.62
Q1.8Confirmed Bear$126.04$131.85$126.24$135.31
ALGM1.6Confirmed Bear$38.35$38.61$36.07$40.17
ALGN1.6Confirmed Bear$163.04$166.25$160.87$169.57
AXS1.6Confirmed Bear$98.55$100.10$98.03$101.38
TRP1.5Confirmed Bear$62.37$63.66$62.49$64.38
UCTT1.1Confirmed Bear$75.01$79.70$72.85$83.94
MKL0.9Confirmed Bear$1795.04$1805.96$1776.41$1824.22
CSTM0.6Confirmed Bear$26.54$27.69$26.70$28.29
SARO0.6Confirmed Bear$26.40$26.75$25.99$27.23
POWL0.6Confirmed Bear$198.21$200.25$189.56$206.85
ESE0.4Confirmed Bear$290.77$303.56$294.11$309.40
AGX0.2Confirmed Bear$528.01$543.84$514.08$562.22
FN0.0Confirmed Bear$454.55$471.88$437.19$493.30
LUMN0.0Confirmed Bear$6.13$6.04$5.74$6.22
NI-0.4Confirmed Bear$41.63$41.91$41.24$42.33
RBC-0.4Confirmed Bear$520.54$541.54$528.22$549.76
GLL-0.5Confirmed Bear$21.22$22.72$22.00$23.16
ESLT-0.6Confirmed Bear$752.30$789.55$769.61$801.87
AROC-0.8Confirmed Bear$32.29$33.80$32.78$34.44
AAON-1.2Confirmed Bear$80.99$80.68$76.22$83.44
ZSL-1.6Confirmed Bear$23.45$25.19$23.79$26.05
CENX-2.0Confirmed Bear$43.58$44.92$42.52$46.40
ESAB-2.1Confirmed Bear$78.89$78.02$74.93$79.92
WULF-2.4Confirmed Bear$15.50$15.23$13.98$16.01
MIDD-4.6Confirmed Bear$112.43$112.92$109.43$115.08
VXX-4.6Confirmed Bear$19.05$19.49$18.98$19.81
SNEX-5.2Confirmed Bear$66.15$65.40$62.15$67.40
MSTZ-5.6Confirmed Bear$8.77$11.34$10.21$12.04
MLI-5.7Confirmed Bear$62.73$63.93$62.14$65.03
DUST-11.9Confirmed Bear$34.29$41.12$37.78$43.18
WDCX-13.0Confirmed Bear$18.57$20.45$16.85$22.67

Frequently Asked Questions

How many T1 ignition signals fired on Wednesday, August 19, 2026?

EdgeOS identified 110 bull T1 ignitions and 48 bear ignitions on Wednesday, August 19, 2026. The scanner filters to ~3,000 liquid US equities with ADV ≥ $40M and price ≥ $5.00.

What is the historical win rate for T1 ignitions?

In a Chop regime (current on Wednesday, August 19, 2026), the historical win rate is 44% based on 7-year backtests across 799,000+ signals. In bull regimes: 55%. In chop: 44%. In bear: 38%.

How do I use these signals?

Buy above the trigger price (the close when bull count = 1). Hold toward the ATR target, which represents a 1.0× ATR move above the prior period close. Stop below the lower trigger. Exit near count 9 if reached. Average hold: 12–15 trading days for completed cycles.

What is SCTR and why does it matter here?

SCTR (StockCharts Technical Rank) is a composite score from 0–10 blending 26-week/13-week rate of change, PPO, and RSI. A reading above 9 is required for a T1 bull ignition. Higher SCTR (VH band, above 8) historically shows slightly better win rates.

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