Intraday
Mid-Market Update — November 3, 2026
Mid-Market Update: 8 T1 ignitions, 5 bear signals. Live EdgeOS index regime, SPY key levels, and active setups.
TRADERVALUE
📊 Mid-Market Update
Tuesday, November 3
Hey TraderValue readers,
Here's the live mid-session read from EdgeOS.
📡 Market Regime — Index & Futures
Index & Futures Regime
0/6 Bull 4/6 Bear T1 WR 57%
| Index | Last | Count | Trend | Ext | Chart |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPY (S&P 500) | $755.84 | 🔴 Bear 3 | ❌ Conf Bear | Tight | 📈 Chart |
| QQQ (Nasdaq) | $687.69 | 🔴 Bear 3 | ❌ Conf Bear | EXT ⚠️ | 📈 Chart |
| IWM (Russell) | $281.43 | 🟢 Bull 1 | 🔼 Fluid Bull | Tight | 📈 Chart |
| /ES (S&P Futs) | $7,607.00 | 🔴 Bear 4 | ❌ Conf Bear | EXT ⚠️ | 📈 Chart |
| /NQ (NQ Futs) | $28,286.50 | 🔴 Bear 4 | ❌ Conf Bear | EXT ⚠️ | 📈 Chart |
| /YM (Dow Futs) | $51,782.00 | 🔴 Bear 4 | ❌ Conf Bear | Tight | 📈 Chart |
System is in a chop regime. T1 ignitions carry a 57% historical base rate. Tighten stops; avoid chasing extended setups.
8 T1 ignitions remain active mid-session. 6 at exhaustion — consider locking in gains. Avoid chasing setups with ext_score ≥ 20 (EXT) — the median 10-day drawdown roughly doubles.
EdgeOS · T1 base rate measured on 83k signals, 2020–2026. Not investment advice. Always use proper position sizing and stops.
📈 SPY Chart
📐 SPY — Saty ATR Price Levels
📐 SPY — Saty ATR Key Levels
| ▲ ATR Extension Target (+1.618×) | $759.88 |
| ▲ Bull Trigger (+0.236×) | $753.94 |
| — Last Close | $755.84 |
| ▼ Bear Trigger (−0.236×) | $750.26 |
| ▼ ATR Support Target (−1.618×) | $744.32 |
Mid-session: hold above $753.94 is bullish; break below $750.26 shifts to defensive.
🟢 T1 Ignitions — Active Setups
🟢 T1 Ignitions — 8 Active (Bull = 1, SCTR > 9)
| Symbol | Last | Count | Trigger | Stop | SCTR · Ext |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. NTRB | $6.36 | Bull 1 | $6.43 (+1.1% to trigger) | $6.17 | 21 SCTR · Tight · 57% WR |
| 2. ZSL | $39.29 | Bull 1 | $38.73 (1.4% above) | $37.81 | 19 SCTR · Tight · 57% WR |
| 3. HGTY | $17.06 | Bull 1 | $16.01 (6.2% above) | $15.77 | 18 SCTR · Stretch · 57% WR |
| 4. LFST | $13.65 | Bull 1 | $13.36 (2.1% above) | $13.16 | 14 SCTR · Tight · 57% WR |
| 5. SIBN | $22.22 | Bull 1 | $20.47 (7.9% above) | $19.97 | 14 SCTR · Stretch · 57% WR |
| 6. CFFI | $111.79 | Bull 1 | $112.11 (+0.3% to trigger) | $110.34 | 14 SCTR · Tight · 57% WR |
| 7. CBNK | $42.96 | Bull 1 | $43.33 (+0.9% to trigger) | $42.89 | 13 SCTR · Tight · 57% WR |
| 8. FOXA | $67.03 | Bull 1 | $63.29 (5.6% above) | $62.23 | 12 SCTR · Mod · 57% WR |
Buy > trigger price. Target: ATR extension. Stop: below bear trigger. Base rate: 57% (83k T1s, 2020–26)
⚠️ Approaching Exhaustion (Bull ≥ 9)
⚠️ Exhaustion Watch — 6 at Bull ≥ 9
| Symbol | Last | Count | ATR Target | Stop | SCTR · Ext |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. MBRX | $8.27 | Bull 11 ⚠️ | $9.10 (+10.0% to target) | $8.14 | 562 SCTR · EXT ⚠️ |
| 2. CCG | $7.80 | Bull 9 ⚠️ | $8.45 (+8.3% to target) | $7.10 | 264 SCTR · EXT ⚠️ |
| 3. TZA | $45.62 | Bull 44 ⚠️ | $48.78 (+6.9% to target) | $46.46 | 164 SCTR · EXT ⚠️ |
| 4. AMDD | $26.96 | Bull 23 ⚠️ | $29.82 (+10.6% to target) | $28.11 | 129 SCTR · EXT ⚠️ |
| 5. ABTC | $6.53 | Bull 17 ⚠️ | $6.84 (+4.7% to target) | $5.99 | 121 SCTR · EXT ⚠️ |
| 6. RCEL | $15.97 | Bull 28 ⚠️ | $16.29 (+2.0% to target) | $15.20 | 53 SCTR · EXT ⚠️ |
These are approaching or at exhaustion (bull ≥ 9). Consider trimming or tightening stops.
🔴 Bear Ignitions
🔴 Bear T1 Ignitions — 5 Active
| Symbol | Last | Count | Short Trigger | Stop | SCTR · Ext |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. PTHS | $11.05 | Bear 1 | $11.03 (−0.2% to trigger) | $12.01 | -18 SCTR · EXT ⚠️ |
| 2. GOGL | $14.92 | Bear 1 | $14.77 (−1.0% to trigger) | $15.31 | -13 SCTR · Tight |
| 3. OKLO | $23.41 | Bear 1 | $23.08 (−1.4% to trigger) | $23.96 | -12 SCTR · EXT ⚠️ |
| 4. GRNQ | $5.94 | Bear 1 | $5.68 (−4.2% to trigger) | $6.12 | -11 SCTR · EXT ⚠️ |
| 5. HOVNP | $12.42 | Bear 1 | $12.54 (1.0% below trigger) | $13.06 | -9 SCTR · Tight |
Short < bear trigger. Target: lo_atr. Stop: above bull trigger. Bear ignitions hit −1 ATR first 63% in a chop regime (measured 2020–2026); only 46% are lower after 10 days — take the target.
⏳ Brewing — Coiling Below Trigger
⏳ Brewing — Coiling Below Trigger
| Symbol | Last | Trigger | Distance | SCTR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DHY | $16.58 | $16.79 | +1.3% to trigger | SCTR 136 |
| TJGC | $31.89 | $32.23 | +1.1% to trigger | SCTR 95 |
| DRIP | $31.81 | $32.14 | +1.0% to trigger | SCTR 80 |
| SLN | $19.79 | $19.92 | +0.6% to trigger | SCTR 49 |
| NXTC | $5.71 | $5.88 | +3.0% to trigger | SCTR 34 |
Set alerts at trigger price. These become T1 ignitions on breakout confirmation.
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Not investment advice. EdgeOS signals are based on historical pattern recognition.
Past win rates do not guarantee future results. Always use proper stops and position sizing.
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