Intraday
Mid-Market Update — November 2, 2026
Mid-Market Update: 8 T1 ignitions, 5 bear signals. Live EdgeOS index regime, SPY key levels, and active setups.
TRADERVALUE
📊 Mid-Market Update
Monday, November 2
Hey TraderValue readers,
Here's the live mid-session read from EdgeOS.
📡 Market Regime — Index & Futures
Index & Futures Regime
0/6 Bull 2/6 Bear T1 WR 57%
| Index | Last | Count | Trend | Ext | Chart |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPY (S&P 500) | $761.15 | — Neutral | ❌ Conf Bear | Tight | 📈 Chart |
| QQQ (Nasdaq) | $694.68 | 🔴 Bear 2 | ❌ Conf Bear | EXT ⚠️ | 📈 Chart |
| IWM (Russell) | $282.14 | 🟢 Bull 1 | 🔼 Fluid Bull | Tight | 📈 Chart |
| /ES (S&P Futs) | $7,678.50 | — Neutral | ❌ Conf Bear | EXT ⚠️ | 📈 Chart |
| /NQ (NQ Futs) | $28,692.75 | 🔴 Bear 3 | ❌ Conf Bear | Stretch | 📈 Chart |
| /YM (Dow Futs) | $52,433.00 | — Neutral | ✅ Conf Bull | Tight | 📈 Chart |
System is in a chop regime. T1 ignitions carry a 57% historical base rate. Tighten stops; avoid chasing extended setups.
8 T1 ignitions remain active mid-session. 6 at exhaustion — consider locking in gains. Avoid chasing setups with ext_score ≥ 20 (EXT) — the median 10-day drawdown roughly doubles.
EdgeOS · T1 base rate measured on 83k signals, 2020–2026. Not investment advice. Always use proper position sizing and stops.
📈 SPY Chart
📐 SPY — Saty ATR Price Levels
📐 SPY — Saty ATR Key Levels
| ▲ ATR Extension Target (+1.618×) | $763.47 |
| ▲ Bull Trigger (+0.236×) | $757.55 |
| — Last Close | $761.15 |
| ▼ Bear Trigger (−0.236×) | $753.89 |
| ▼ ATR Support Target (−1.618×) | $747.97 |
Mid-session: hold above $757.55 is bullish; break below $753.89 shifts to defensive.
🟢 T1 Ignitions — Active Setups
🟢 T1 Ignitions — 8 Active (Bull = 1, SCTR > 9)
| Symbol | Last | Count | Trigger | Stop | SCTR · Ext |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. CCUP | $16.47 | Bull 1 | $16.15 (2.0% above) | $14.91 | 116 SCTR · Tight · 57% WR |
| 2. BLKB | $54.62 | Bull 1 | $54.06 (1.0% above) | $53.06 | 26 SCTR · Tight · 57% WR |
| 3. VEEV | $314.97 | Bull 1 | $315.13 (+0.1% to trigger) | $310.79 | 23 SCTR · Tight · 57% WR |
| 4. ASAN | $11.38 | Bull 1 | $11.36 (0.1% above) | $11.10 | 22 SCTR · Tight · 57% WR |
| 5. VEEE | $9.28 | Bull 1 | $9.49 (+2.3% to trigger) | $9.05 | 22 SCTR · Tight · 57% WR |
| 6. QTWO | $71.30 | Bull 1 | $67.62 (5.2% above) | $66.54 | 22 SCTR · Mod · 57% WR |
| 7. FVN | $13.01 | Bull 1 | $11.86 (8.8% above) | $11.24 | 21 SCTR · Mod · 57% WR |
| 8. NTRB | $6.31 | Bull 1 | $6.43 (+1.9% to trigger) | $6.17 | 21 SCTR · Tight · 57% WR |
Buy > trigger price. Target: ATR extension. Stop: below bear trigger. Base rate: 57% (83k T1s, 2020–26)
⚠️ Approaching Exhaustion (Bull ≥ 9)
⚠️ Exhaustion Watch — 6 at Bull ≥ 9
| Symbol | Last | Count | ATR Target | Stop | SCTR · Ext |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. MBRX | $7.67 | Bull 10 ⚠️ | $8.92 (+16.3% to target) | $7.92 | 470 SCTR · EXT ⚠️ |
| 2. TZA | $45.25 | Bull 43 ⚠️ | $48.65 (+7.5% to target) | $46.30 | 163 SCTR · EXT ⚠️ |
| 3. AMDD | $27.01 | Bull 22 ⚠️ | $27.67 (+2.5% to target) | $26.14 | 134 SCTR · EXT ⚠️ |
| 4. ABTC | $6.64 | Bull 16 ⚠️ | $7.30 (+10.0% to target) | $6.46 | 127 SCTR · EXT ⚠️ |
| 5. RCEL | $15.28 | Bull 27 ⚠️ | $16.50 (+8.0% to target) | $15.45 | 53 SCTR · EXT ⚠️ |
| 6. SLN | $19.76 | Bull 11 ⚠️ | $20.46 (+3.5% to target) | $19.58 | 52 SCTR · EXT ⚠️ |
These are approaching or at exhaustion (bull ≥ 9). Consider trimming or tightening stops.
🔴 Bear Ignitions
🔴 Bear T1 Ignitions — 5 Active
| Symbol | Last | Count | Short Trigger | Stop | SCTR · Ext |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. BULG | $15.62 | Bear 1 | $16.24 (4.0% below trigger) | $17.43 | -14 SCTR · EXT ⚠️ |
| 2. SDOT | $6.86 | Bear 1 | $6.55 (−4.4% to trigger) | $6.93 | -12 SCTR · Stretch |
| 3. ALHC | $7.00 | Bear 1 | $7.14 (2.1% below trigger) | $7.40 | -11 SCTR · EXT ⚠️ |
| 4. FCEL | $11.01 | Bear 1 | $10.92 (−0.8% to trigger) | $11.52 | -10 SCTR · Stretch |
| 5. MLYS | $17.23 | Bear 1 | $17.86 (3.7% below trigger) | $18.50 | -7 SCTR · Tight |
Short < bear trigger. Target: lo_atr. Stop: above bull trigger. Bear ignitions hit −1 ATR first 63% in a chop regime (measured 2020–2026); only 46% are lower after 10 days — take the target.
⏳ Brewing — Coiling Below Trigger
⏳ Brewing — Coiling Below Trigger
| Symbol | Last | Trigger | Distance | SCTR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMTD | $19.91 | $20.28 | +1.9% to trigger | SCTR 1147 |
| SKIN | $10.00 | $10.13 | +1.3% to trigger | SCTR 217 |
| DHY | $16.61 | $16.74 | +0.8% to trigger | SCTR 136 |
| TJGC | $31.89 | $32.26 | +1.2% to trigger | SCTR 101 |
| RGTZ | $25.26 | $26.02 | +3.0% to trigger | SCTR 80 |
| NBIZ | $39.05 | $39.08 | +0.1% to trigger | SCTR 71 |
Set alerts at trigger price. These become T1 ignitions on breakout confirmation.
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Not investment advice. EdgeOS signals are based on historical pattern recognition.
Past win rates do not guarantee future results. Always use proper stops and position sizing.
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