Intraday
Mid-Market Update — October 28, 2026
Mid-Market Update: 8 T1 ignitions, 5 bear signals. Live EdgeOS index regime, SPY key levels, and active setups.
TRADERVALUE
📊 Mid-Market Update
Wednesday, October 28
Hey TraderValue readers,
Here's the live mid-session read from EdgeOS.
📡 Market Regime — Index & Futures
Index & Futures Regime
0/6 Bull 0/6 Bear T1 WR 57%
| Index | Last | Count | Trend | Ext | Chart |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPY (S&P 500) | $771.32 | — Neutral | ✅ Conf Bull | Tight | 📈 Chart |
| QQQ (Nasdaq) | $722.07 | — Neutral | 🔼 Fluid Bull | EXT ⚠️ | 📈 Chart |
| IWM (Russell) | $280.01 | 🟢 Bull 3 | 🔼 Fluid Bull | Tight | 📈 Chart |
| /ES (S&P Futs) | $7,772.50 | — Neutral | ✅ Conf Bull | EXT ⚠️ | 📈 Chart |
| /NQ (NQ Futs) | $29,810.00 | — Neutral | 🔼 Fluid Bull | Stretch | 📈 Chart |
| /YM (Dow Futs) | $52,619.00 | — Neutral | ✅ Conf Bull | Stretch | 📈 Chart |
System is in a chop regime. T1 ignitions carry a 57% historical base rate. Tighten stops; avoid chasing extended setups.
8 T1 ignitions remain active mid-session. 6 at exhaustion — consider locking in gains. Avoid chasing setups with ext_score ≥ 20 (EXT) — the median 10-day drawdown roughly doubles.
EdgeOS · T1 base rate measured on 83k signals, 2020–2026. Not investment advice. Always use proper position sizing and stops.
📈 SPY Chart
📐 SPY — Saty ATR Price Levels
📐 SPY — Saty ATR Key Levels
| ▲ ATR Extension Target (+1.618×) | $776.48 |
| ▲ Bull Trigger (+0.236×) | $771.27 |
| — Last Close | $771.32 |
| ▼ Bear Trigger (−0.236×) | $768.05 |
| ▼ ATR Support Target (−1.618×) | $762.84 |
Mid-session: hold above $771.27 is bullish; break below $768.05 shifts to defensive.
🟢 T1 Ignitions — Active Setups
🟢 T1 Ignitions — 8 Active (Bull = 1, SCTR > 9)
| Symbol | Last | Count | Trigger | Stop | SCTR · Ext |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. AMTD | $21.30 | Bull 1 | $20.50 (3.7% above) | $19.02 | 1342 SCTR · Tight · 57% WR |
| 2. BYND | $6.91 | Bull 1 | $7.16 (+3.5% to trigger) | $6.90 | 135 SCTR · Tight · 57% WR |
| 3. EAF | $11.94 | Bull 1 | $12.05 (+0.9% to trigger) | $11.61 | 26 SCTR · Tight · 57% WR |
| 4. AOUT | $18.21 | Bull 1 | $18.16 (0.3% above) | $17.80 | 21 SCTR · Tight · 57% WR |
| 5. CBZ | $54.95 | Bull 1 | $54.85 (0.2% above) | $54.79 | 21 SCTR · Tight · 57% WR |
| 6. DMAC | $9.70 | Bull 1 | $8.81 (9.1% above) | $8.57 | 20 SCTR · Stretch · 57% WR |
| 7. RVTY | $166.45 | Bull 1 | $163.24 (1.9% above) | $160.48 | 20 SCTR · Tight · 57% WR |
| 8. CSTL | $36.26 | Bull 1 | $34.89 (3.8% above) | $34.13 | 18 SCTR · Tight · 57% WR |
Buy > trigger price. Target: ATR extension. Stop: below bear trigger. Base rate: 57% (83k T1s, 2020–26)
⚠️ Approaching Exhaustion (Bull ≥ 9)
⚠️ Exhaustion Watch — 6 at Bull ≥ 9
| Symbol | Last | Count | ATR Target | Stop | SCTR · Ext |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. SKIN | $10.28 | Bull 11 ⚠️ | $11.02 (+7.2% to target) | $9.91 | 666 SCTR · EXT ⚠️ |
| 2. TZA | $46.46 | Bull 40 ⚠️ | $48.17 (+3.7% to target) | $45.99 | 168 SCTR · EXT ⚠️ |
| 3. UVIX | $36.74 | Bull 43 ⚠️ | $40.72 (+10.8% to target) | $37.14 | 144 SCTR · EXT ⚠️ |
| 4. ABTC | $7.68 | Bull 13 ⚠️ | $8.42 (+9.7% to target) | $7.59 | 131 SCTR · EXT ⚠️ |
| 5. TECS | $55.96 | Bull 16 ⚠️ | $59.40 (+6.1% to target) | $55.28 | 130 SCTR · EXT ⚠️ |
| 6. AMDD | $23.83 | Bull 19 ⚠️ | $25.25 (+6.0% to target) | $23.84 | 117 SCTR · EXT ⚠️ |
These are approaching or at exhaustion (bull ≥ 9). Consider trimming or tightening stops.
🔴 Bear Ignitions
🔴 Bear T1 Ignitions — 5 Active
| Symbol | Last | Count | Short Trigger | Stop | SCTR · Ext |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. IONX | $13.62 | Bear 1 | $13.79 (1.2% below trigger) | $14.91 | -18 SCTR · EXT ⚠️ |
| 2. SMCL | $12.98 | Bear 1 | $12.74 (−1.9% to trigger) | $13.66 | -16 SCTR · Stretch |
| 3. RVNL | $12.20 | Bear 1 | $12.60 (3.3% below trigger) | $13.20 | -14 SCTR · EXT ⚠️ |
| 4. FOA | $10.57 | Bear 1 | $10.61 (0.4% below trigger) | $10.93 | -9 SCTR · EXT ⚠️ |
| 5. MLI | $54.61 | Bear 1 | $54.47 (−0.3% to trigger) | $55.29 | -9 SCTR · EXT ⚠️ |
Short < bear trigger. Target: lo_atr. Stop: above bull trigger. Bear ignitions hit −1 ATR first 63% in a chop regime (measured 2020–2026); only 46% are lower after 10 days — take the target.
⏳ Brewing — Coiling Below Trigger
⏳ Brewing — Coiling Below Trigger
| Symbol | Last | Trigger | Distance | SCTR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DHY | $16.37 | $16.51 | +0.9% to trigger | SCTR 133 |
| TJGC | $31.89 | $32.35 | +1.5% to trigger | SCTR 101 |
| SFWL | $6.20 | $6.34 | +2.2% to trigger | SCTR 92 |
| DRIP | $29.64 | $30.31 | +2.3% to trigger | SCTR 70 |
| BWET | $906.50 | $909.59 | +0.3% to trigger | SCTR 55 |
| ETHA | $52.70 | $53.58 | +1.7% to trigger | SCTR 54 |
Set alerts at trigger price. These become T1 ignitions on breakout confirmation.
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Not investment advice. EdgeOS signals are based on historical pattern recognition.
Past win rates do not guarantee future results. Always use proper stops and position sizing.
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