Intraday
Mid-Market Update — October 26, 2026
Mid-Market Update: 8 T1 ignitions, 5 bear signals. Live EdgeOS index regime, SPY key levels, and active setups.
TRADERVALUE
📊 Mid-Market Update
Monday, October 26
Hey TraderValue readers,
Here's the live mid-session read from EdgeOS.
📡 Market Regime — Index & Futures
Index & Futures Regime
0/6 Bull 2/6 Bear 1 Exhausting T1 WR 57%
| Index | Last | Count | Trend | Ext | Chart |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPY (S&P 500) | $765.60 | — Neutral | ⚪ Neutral | Tight | 📈 Chart |
| QQQ (Nasdaq) | $712.74 | 🔴 Bear 7 | ❌ Conf Bear | EXT ⚠️ | 📈 Chart |
| IWM (Russell) | $277.79 | 🟢 Bull 1 | 🔼 Fluid Bull | Tight | 📈 Chart |
| /ES (S&P Futs) | $7,719.25 | — Neutral | ⚪ Neutral | Stretch | 📈 Chart |
| /NQ (NQ Futs) | $29,488.50 | 🔴 Bear 10 | ⚪ Neutral | Mod | 📈 Chart |
| /YM (Dow Futs) | $52,667.00 | 🟢 Bull 1 | ✅ Conf Bull | Tight | 📈 Chart |
System is in a chop regime. T1 ignitions carry a 57% historical base rate. Tighten stops; avoid chasing extended setups.
8 T1 ignitions remain active mid-session. 6 at exhaustion — consider locking in gains. Avoid chasing setups with ext_score ≥ 20 (EXT) — the median 10-day drawdown roughly doubles.
EdgeOS · T1 base rate measured on 83k signals, 2020–2026. Not investment advice. Always use proper position sizing and stops.
📈 SPY Chart
📐 SPY — Saty ATR Price Levels
📐 SPY — Saty ATR Key Levels
| ▲ ATR Extension Target (+1.618×) | $767.22 |
| ▲ Bull Trigger (+0.236×) | $761.68 |
| — Last Close | $765.60 |
| ▼ Bear Trigger (−0.236×) | $758.26 |
| ▼ ATR Support Target (−1.618×) | $752.72 |
Mid-session: hold above $761.68 is bullish; break below $758.26 shifts to defensive.
🟢 T1 Ignitions — Active Setups
🟢 T1 Ignitions — 8 Active (Bull = 1, SCTR > 9)
| Symbol | Last | Count | Trigger | Stop | SCTR · Ext |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. IONZ | $35.57 | Bull 1 | $35.21 (1.0% above) | $33.51 | 224 SCTR · Tight · 57% WR |
| 2. BYND | $6.67 | Bull 1 | $7.28 (+9.2% to trigger) | $7.02 | 129 SCTR · Tight · 57% WR |
| 3. ATRC | $60.30 | Bull 1 | $59.48 (1.4% above) | $58.47 | 28 SCTR · Tight · 57% WR |
| 4. CVI | $61.96 | Bull 1 | $58.87 (5.0% above) | $57.45 | 27 SCTR · Mod · 57% WR |
| 5. ANF | $163.95 | Bull 1 | $156.38 (4.6% above) | $153.62 | 25 SCTR · Mod · 57% WR |
| 6. RBRK | $134.86 | Bull 1 | $130.28 (3.4% above) | $127.20 | 24 SCTR · Tight · 57% WR |
| 7. MPC | $468.94 | Bull 1 | $461.17 (1.7% above) | $453.27 | 22 SCTR · Tight · 57% WR |
| 8. DK | $79.35 | Bull 1 | $75.36 (5.0% above) | $73.46 | 20 SCTR · Mod · 57% WR |
Buy > trigger price. Target: ATR extension. Stop: below bear trigger. Base rate: 57% (83k T1s, 2020–26)
⚠️ Approaching Exhaustion (Bull ≥ 9)
⚠️ Exhaustion Watch — 6 at Bull ≥ 9
| Symbol | Last | Count | ATR Target | Stop | SCTR · Ext |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. SKIN | $10.90 | Bull 9 ⚠️ | $11.83 (+8.5% to target) | $10.66 | 677 SCTR · EXT ⚠️ |
| 2. SOXS | $47.97 | Bull 9 ⚠️ | $56.96 (+18.7% to target) | $51.40 | 206 SCTR · EXT ⚠️ |
| 3. UVIX | $38.73 | Bull 41 ⚠️ | $43.67 (+12.8% to target) | $39.83 | 170 SCTR · EXT ⚠️ |
| 4. TZA | $47.58 | Bull 38 ⚠️ | $50.52 (+6.2% to target) | $48.26 | 158 SCTR · EXT ⚠️ |
| 5. TECS | $59.26 | Bull 14 ⚠️ | $65.66 (+10.8% to target) | $61.43 | 126 SCTR · EXT ⚠️ |
| 6. AMDD | $25.57 | Bull 17 ⚠️ | $27.39 (+7.1% to target) | $25.97 | 121 SCTR · EXT ⚠️ |
These are approaching or at exhaustion (bull ≥ 9). Consider trimming or tightening stops.
🔴 Bear Ignitions
🔴 Bear T1 Ignitions — 5 Active
| Symbol | Last | Count | Short Trigger | Stop | SCTR · Ext |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. BBGI | $7.38 | Bear 1 | $7.30 (−1.0% to trigger) | $7.82 | -16 SCTR · EXT ⚠️ |
| 2. IMXI | $9.40 | Bear 1 | $9.17 (−2.4% to trigger) | $9.43 | -8 SCTR · Mod |
| 3. PHAT | $5.90 | Bear 1 | $5.62 (−4.7% to trigger) | $5.86 | -7 SCTR · Tight |
| 4. FBYD | $7.81 | Bear 1 | $7.72 (−1.1% to trigger) | $8.02 | -6 SCTR · Mod |
| 5. KARD | $12.71 | Bear 1 | $12.52 (−1.5% to trigger) | $13.08 | -5 SCTR · Tight |
Short < bear trigger. Target: lo_atr. Stop: above bull trigger. Bear ignitions hit −1 ATR first 63% in a chop regime (measured 2020–2026); only 46% are lower after 10 days — take the target.
⏳ Brewing — Coiling Below Trigger
⏳ Brewing — Coiling Below Trigger
| Symbol | Last | Trigger | Distance | SCTR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DHY | $16.19 | $16.32 | +0.8% to trigger | SCTR 133 |
| TJGC | $31.89 | $32.43 | +1.7% to trigger | SCTR 99 |
| BWET | $899.96 | $910.51 | +1.2% to trigger | SCTR 53 |
| CDNA | $69.25 | $70.08 | +1.2% to trigger | SCTR 38 |
| SAIH | $29.30 | $29.98 | +2.3% to trigger | SCTR 30 |
| QBTZ | $30.24 | $31.11 | +2.9% to trigger | SCTR 29 |
Set alerts at trigger price. These become T1 ignitions on breakout confirmation.
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Not investment advice. EdgeOS signals are based on historical pattern recognition.
Past win rates do not guarantee future results. Always use proper stops and position sizing.
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