Intraday
Mid-Market Update — October 23, 2026
Mid-Market Update: 8 T1 ignitions, 5 bear signals. Live EdgeOS index regime, SPY key levels, and active setups.
TRADERVALUE
📊 Mid-Market Update
Friday, October 23
Hey TraderValue readers,
Here's the live mid-session read from EdgeOS.
📡 Market Regime — Index & Futures
Index & Futures Regime
0/6 Bull 2/6 Bear 1 Exhausting T1 WR 57%
| Index | Last | Count | Trend | Ext | Chart |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPY (S&P 500) | $761.76 | 🔴 Bear 2 | ❌ Conf Bear | Tight | 📈 Chart |
| QQQ (Nasdaq) | $706.63 | 🔴 Bear 6 | ❌ Conf Bear | EXT ⚠️ | 📈 Chart |
| IWM (Russell) | $275.75 | — Neutral | ⚪ Neutral | EXT ⚠️ | 📈 Chart |
| /ES (S&P Futs) | $7,690.00 | 🔴 Bear 2 | ❌ Conf Bear | Stretch | 📈 Chart |
| /NQ (NQ Futs) | $29,287.00 | 🔴 Bear 8 | ❌ Conf Bear | Mod | 📈 Chart |
| /YM (Dow Futs) | $52,579.00 | 🔴 Bull 13 (TERMINAL) | ⚪ Neutral | EXT ⚠️ | 📈 Chart |
System is in a chop regime. T1 ignitions carry a 57% historical base rate. Tighten stops; avoid chasing extended setups.
8 T1 ignitions remain active mid-session. 6 at exhaustion — consider locking in gains. Avoid chasing setups with ext_score ≥ 20 (EXT) — the median 10-day drawdown roughly doubles.
EdgeOS · T1 base rate measured on 83k signals, 2020–2026. Not investment advice. Always use proper position sizing and stops.
📈 SPY Chart
📐 SPY — Saty ATR Price Levels
📐 SPY — Saty ATR Key Levels
| ▲ ATR Extension Target (+1.618×) | $771.17 |
| ▲ Bull Trigger (+0.236×) | $765.66 |
| — Last Close | $761.76 |
| ▼ Bear Trigger (−0.236×) | $762.26 |
| ▼ ATR Support Target (−1.618×) | $756.75 |
Mid-session: hold above $765.66 is bullish; break below $762.26 shifts to defensive.
🟢 T1 Ignitions — Active Setups
🟢 T1 Ignitions — 8 Active (Bull = 1, SCTR > 9)
| Symbol | Last | Count | Trigger | Stop | SCTR · Ext |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. GGLS | $61.89 | Bull 1 | $62.37 (+0.8% to trigger) | $61.74 | 162 SCTR · Tight · 57% WR |
| 2. CCUP | $22.44 | Bull 1 | $23.01 (+2.5% to trigger) | $21.69 | 122 SCTR · Tight · 57% WR |
| 3. KPLT | $8.04 | Bull 1 | $7.70 (4.2% above) | $7.36 | 32 SCTR · Tight · 57% WR |
| 4. QBTZ | $31.80 | Bull 1 | $31.55 (0.8% above) | $30.31 | 32 SCTR · Tight · 57% WR |
| 5. QLYS | $215.94 | Bull 1 | $211.49 (2.1% above) | $206.65 | 22 SCTR · Tight · 57% WR |
| 6. FIVN | $37.29 | Bull 1 | $35.61 (4.5% above) | $34.60 | 21 SCTR · Tight · 57% WR |
| 7. ARHS | $11.59 | Bull 1 | $11.65 (+0.5% to trigger) | $11.41 | 21 SCTR · Tight · 57% WR |
| 8. SGHT | $9.16 | Bull 1 | $9.20 (+0.5% to trigger) | $8.98 | 20 SCTR · Tight · 57% WR |
Buy > trigger price. Target: ATR extension. Stop: below bear trigger. Base rate: 57% (83k T1s, 2020–26)
⚠️ Approaching Exhaustion (Bull ≥ 9)
⚠️ Exhaustion Watch — 6 at Bull ≥ 9
| Symbol | Last | Count | ATR Target | Stop | SCTR · Ext |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. UVIX | $41.40 | Bull 40 ⚠️ | $42.76 (+3.3% to target) | $38.92 | 172 SCTR · EXT ⚠️ |
| 2. TZA | $48.57 | Bull 37 ⚠️ | $49.98 (+2.9% to target) | $47.69 | 167 SCTR · EXT ⚠️ |
| 3. TECS | $61.50 | Bull 13 ⚠️ | $66.70 (+8.5% to target) | $62.45 | 135 SCTR · EXT ⚠️ |
| 4. ABTC | $7.85 | Bull 10 ⚠️ | $8.67 (+10.4% to target) | $7.78 | 129 SCTR · EXT ⚠️ |
| 5. AMDD | $25.99 | Bull 16 ⚠️ | $28.06 (+8.0% to target) | $26.59 | 123 SCTR · EXT ⚠️ |
| 6. BMBL | $5.95 | Bull 10 ⚠️ | $6.15 (+3.4% to target) | $5.90 | 58 SCTR · EXT ⚠️ |
These are approaching or at exhaustion (bull ≥ 9). Consider trimming or tightening stops.
🔴 Bear Ignitions
🔴 Bear T1 Ignitions — 5 Active
| Symbol | Last | Count | Short Trigger | Stop | SCTR · Ext |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. BULG | $20.72 | Bear 1 | $21.41 (3.3% below trigger) | $22.89 | -13 SCTR · EXT ⚠️ |
| 2. IPX | $12.42 | Bear 1 | $12.60 (1.5% below trigger) | $13.10 | -13 SCTR · EXT ⚠️ |
| 3. AVEX | $10.68 | Bear 1 | $10.67 (−0.1% to trigger) | $11.25 | -11 SCTR · EXT ⚠️ |
| 4. NEGG | $9.85 | Bear 1 | $9.97 (1.2% below trigger) | $10.39 | -8 SCTR · EXT ⚠️ |
| 5. CLPT | $9.05 | Bear 1 | $9.24 (2.2% below trigger) | $9.56 | -8 SCTR · EXT ⚠️ |
Short < bear trigger. Target: lo_atr. Stop: above bull trigger. Bear ignitions hit −1 ATR first 63% in a chop regime (measured 2020–2026); only 46% are lower after 10 days — take the target.
⏳ Brewing — Coiling Below Trigger
⏳ Brewing — Coiling Below Trigger
| Symbol | Last | Trigger | Distance | SCTR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BYND | $7.33 | $7.42 | +1.2% to trigger | SCTR 148 |
| DHY | $16.12 | $16.47 | +2.2% to trigger | SCTR 132 |
| TJGC | $31.89 | $32.47 | +1.8% to trigger | SCTR 91 |
| MRNX | $141.31 | $144.79 | +2.5% to trigger | SCTR 54 |
| BWET | $889.02 | $911.36 | +2.5% to trigger | SCTR 53 |
| ETHA | $54.21 | $54.49 | +0.5% to trigger | SCTR 52 |
Set alerts at trigger price. These become T1 ignitions on breakout confirmation.
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Not investment advice. EdgeOS signals are based on historical pattern recognition.
Past win rates do not guarantee future results. Always use proper stops and position sizing.
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