Intraday

Mid-Market Update — October 22, 2026

Mid-Market Update: 8 T1 ignitions, 5 bear signals. Live EdgeOS index regime, SPY key levels, and active setups.

TRADERVALUE 📊 Mid-Market Update

Thursday, October 22

Hey TraderValue readers,

Here's the live mid-session read from EdgeOS.

📡 Market Regime — Index & Futures
Index & Futures Regime
0/6 Bull  2/6 Bear  1 Exhausting  T1 WR 57%
Index Last Count Trend Ext Chart
SPY (S&P 500) $765.52 🔴 Bear 1 ❌ Conf Bear Tight 📈 Chart
QQQ (Nasdaq) $710.10 🔴 Bear 5 ❌ Conf Bear EXT ⚠️ 📈 Chart
IWM (Russell) $276.65 — Neutral 🔼 Fluid Bull EXT ⚠️ 📈 Chart
/ES (S&P Futs) $7,698.50 🔴 Bear 1 ❌ Conf Bear Stretch 📈 Chart
/NQ (NQ Futs) $29,292.00 🔴 Bear 7 ❌ Conf Bear Tight 📈 Chart
/YM (Dow Futs) $52,944.00 🟢 Bull 12 ✅ Conf Bull EXT ⚠️ 📈 Chart

System is in a chop regime. T1 ignitions carry a 57% historical base rate. Tighten stops; avoid chasing extended setups.

8 T1 ignitions remain active mid-session. 6 at exhaustion — consider locking in gains. Avoid chasing setups with ext_score ≥ 20 (EXT) — the median 10-day drawdown roughly doubles.

EdgeOS · T1 base rate measured on 83k signals, 2020–2026. Not investment advice. Always use proper position sizing and stops.

📈 SPY Chart
📐 SPY — Saty ATR Price Levels
📐 SPY — Saty ATR Key Levels
▲ ATR Extension Target (+1.618×)$780.39
▲ Bull Trigger (+0.236×)$774.81
— Last Close$765.52
▼ Bear Trigger (−0.236×)$771.37
▼ ATR Support Target (−1.618×)$765.79
Mid-session: hold above $774.81 is bullish; break below $771.37 shifts to defensive.
🟢 T1 Ignitions — Active Setups
🟢 T1 Ignitions — 8 Active (Bull = 1, SCTR > 9)
Symbol Last Count Trigger Stop SCTR · Ext
1. RKLZ $25.89 Bull 1 $24.33 (6.0% above) $23.21 161 SCTR · Tight · 57% WR
2. APLZ $32.28 Bull 1 $28.92 (10.4% above) $26.96 39 SCTR · Tight · 57% WR
3. VRA $6.40 Bull 1 $6.16 (3.8% above) $6.00 27 SCTR · Tight · 57% WR
4. RPD $14.01 Bull 1 $13.71 (2.1% above) $13.31 25 SCTR · Tight · 57% WR
5. ATRC $59.26 Bull 1 $58.20 (1.8% above) $57.14 24 SCTR · Tight · 57% WR
6. GTLB $56.02 Bull 1 $56.03 (+0.0% to trigger) $54.87 23 SCTR · Tight · 57% WR
7. NTWK $7.27 Bull 1 $7.01 (3.6% above) $6.83 22 SCTR · Tight · 57% WR
8. AMLX $29.81 Bull 1 $29.37 (1.5% above) $28.69 22 SCTR · Tight · 57% WR
Buy > trigger price. Target: ATR extension. Stop: below bear trigger. Base rate: 57% (83k T1s, 2020–26)
⚠️ Approaching Exhaustion (Bull ≥ 9)
⚠️ Exhaustion Watch — 6 at Bull ≥ 9
Symbol Last Count ATR Target Stop SCTR · Ext
1. NXGL $5.29 Bull 13 ⚠️ $5.87 (+11.0% to target) $5.00 895 SCTR · EXT ⚠️
2. TZA $48.20 Bull 36 ⚠️ $50.07 (+3.9% to target) $47.78 171 SCTR · EXT ⚠️
3. UVIX $37.98 Bull 39 ⚠️ $38.16 (+0.5% to target) $34.53 167 SCTR · EXT ⚠️
4. TECS $63.20 Bull 12 ⚠️ $61.24 (+-3.1% to target) $57.01 151 SCTR · EXT ⚠️
5. AMDD $26.54 Bull 15 ⚠️ $25.84 (+-2.6% to target) $24.37 135 SCTR · EXT ⚠️
6. ABTC $8.15 Bull 9 ⚠️ $9.38 (+15.0% to target) $8.46 132 SCTR · EXT ⚠️
These are approaching or at exhaustion (bull ≥ 9). Consider trimming or tightening stops.
🔴 Bear Ignitions
🔴 Bear T1 Ignitions — 5 Active
Symbol Last Count Short Trigger Stop SCTR · Ext
1. FLNC $5.85 Bear 1 $5.88 (0.5% below trigger) $6.12 -15 SCTR · EXT ⚠️
2. ULTI $5.30 Bear 1 $5.51 (4.0% below trigger) $5.63 -11 SCTR · EXT ⚠️
3. RFIL $6.98 Bear 1 $7.22 (3.5% below trigger) $7.42 -10 SCTR · EXT ⚠️
4. CCOI $7.16 Bear 1 $7.26 (1.5% below trigger) $7.62 -10 SCTR · Mod
5. CORZ $13.45 Bear 1 $14.00 (4.1% below trigger) $14.50 -9 SCTR · EXT ⚠️
Short < bear trigger. Target: lo_atr. Stop: above bull trigger. Bear ignitions hit −1 ATR first 63% in a chop regime (measured 2020–2026); only 46% are lower after 10 days — take the target.
⏳ Brewing — Coiling Below Trigger
⏳ Brewing — Coiling Below Trigger
Symbol Last Trigger Distance SCTR
DHY $16.24 $16.70 +2.9% to trigger SCTR 132
TJGC $31.89 $32.51 +2.0% to trigger SCTR 84
QBTZ $29.56 $29.92 +1.2% to trigger SCTR 28
Set alerts at trigger price. These become T1 ignitions on breakout confirmation.
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Not investment advice. EdgeOS signals are based on historical pattern recognition.
Past win rates do not guarantee future results. Always use proper stops and position sizing.
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