Intraday

Mid-Market Update — September 25, 2026

Mid-Market Update: 3 T1 ignitions, 5 bear signals. Live EdgeOS index regime, SPY key levels, and active setups.

TRADERVALUE 📊 Mid-Market Update

Friday, September 25

Hey TraderValue readers,

Here's the live mid-session read from EdgeOS.

📡 Market Regime — Index & Futures
Index & Futures Regime
0/6 Bull  2/6 Bear  T1 WR 44%
Index Last Count Trend Ext Chart
SPY (S&P 500) $767.18 — Neutral ⚪ Neutral Tight 📈 Chart
QQQ (Nasdaq) $741.10 🟢 Bull 4 ✅ Conf Bull Tight 📈 Chart
IWM (Russell) $281.66 🔴 Bear 2 ❌ Conf Bear EXT ⚠️ 📈 Chart
/ES (S&P Futs) $7,755.75 🟢 Bull 5 ✅ Conf Bull Tight 📈 Chart
/NQ (NQ Futs) $30,718.50 🟢 Bull 5 ✅ Conf Bull EXT ⚠️ 📈 Chart
/YM (Dow Futs) $51,639.00 🔴 Bear 2 ❌ Conf Bear EXT ⚠️ 📈 Chart

System is in a chop regime. T1 ignitions carry a 44% historical base rate. Tighten stops; avoid chasing extended setups.

3 T1 ignitions remain active mid-session. 6 at exhaustion — consider locking in gains. Avoid chasing setups with ext_score ≥ 1.2 (EXT tag).

EdgeOS · 7yr backtest · n=799k signals. Not investment advice. Always use proper position sizing and stops.

📈 SPY Chart
📐 SPY — Saty ATR Price Levels
📐 SPY — Saty ATR Key Levels
▲ ATR Extension Target (+1.618×)$774.50
▲ Bull Trigger (+0.236×)$769.39
— Last Close$767.18
▼ Bear Trigger (−0.236×)$766.23
▼ ATR Support Target (−1.618×)$761.12
Mid-session: hold above $769.39 is bullish; break below $766.23 shifts to defensive.
🟢 T1 Ignitions — Active Setups
🟢 T1 Ignitions — 3 Active (Bull = 1, SCTR > 9)
Symbol Last Count Trigger Stop SCTR · Ext
1. STRO $40.91 Bull 1 $39.99 (2.3% above) $38.64 53 SCTR · Tight · 44% WR
2. IOVA $10.80 Bull 1 $10.33 (4.4% above) $10.05 46 SCTR · Mod · 44% WR
3. KZIA $14.30 Bull 1 $14.37 (+0.5% to trigger) $13.83 40 SCTR · Tight · 44% WR
Buy > trigger price. Target: ATR extension. Stop: below bear trigger. Base rate: 44% (7yr)
⚠️ Approaching Exhaustion (Bull ≥ 9)
⚠️ Exhaustion Watch — 6 at Bull ≥ 9
Symbol Last Count ATR Target Stop SCTR · Ext
1. TCGL $172.84 Bull 9 ⚠️ $173.00 (+0.1% to target) $172.80 483 SCTR · EXT ⚠️
2. GGLS $58.32 Bull 19 ⚠️ $60.61 (+3.9% to target) $58.83 158 SCTR · EXT ⚠️
3. TZA $45.51 Bull 18 ⚠️ $46.87 (+3.0% to target) $45.00 133 SCTR · EXT ⚠️
4. UVIX $36.72 Bull 19 ⚠️ $38.71 (+5.4% to target) $35.72 100 SCTR · EXT ⚠️
5. ROMA $7.93 Bull 10 ⚠️ $7.97 (+0.5% to target) $6.91 76 SCTR · EXT ⚠️
6. STFS $10.00 Bull 14 ⚠️ $11.35 (+13.5% to target) $9.68 69 SCTR · EXT ⚠️
These are approaching or at exhaustion (bull ≥ 9). Consider trimming or tightening stops.
🔴 Bear Ignitions
🔴 Bear T1 Ignitions — 5 Active
Symbol Last Count Short Trigger Stop SCTR · Ext
1. RVSN $6.83 Bear 1 $6.78 (−0.8% to trigger) $7.12 -17 SCTR · EXT ⚠️
2. PLTZ $7.51 Bear 1 $7.34 (−2.3% to trigger) $7.78 -13 SCTR · EXT ⚠️
3. CCOI $7.64 Bear 1 $7.94 (4.0% below trigger) $8.32 -11 SCTR · EXT ⚠️
4. BBNX $9.82 Bear 1 $9.68 (−1.4% to trigger) $10.02 -9 SCTR · EXT ⚠️
5. PSTV $5.85 Bear 1 $5.90 (0.9% below trigger) $6.18 -9 SCTR · EXT ⚠️
Short < bear trigger. Target: lo_atr. Stop: above bull trigger. Bear WR in chop regime: 53%.
⏳ Brewing — Coiling Below Trigger
⏳ Brewing — Coiling Below Trigger
Symbol Last Trigger Distance SCTR
WATT $25.86 $26.45 +2.3% to trigger SCTR 83
TECS $52.70 $52.99 +0.6% to trigger SCTR 78
AMDD $22.39 $22.96 +2.5% to trigger SCTR 72
CCUP $26.91 $26.92 +0.1% to trigger SCTR 61
VRTL $205.06 $211.19 +3.0% to trigger SCTR 52
TOP $14.99 $15.25 +1.7% to trigger SCTR 45
Set alerts at trigger price. These become T1 ignitions on breakout confirmation.
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Not investment advice. EdgeOS signals are based on historical pattern recognition.
Past win rates do not guarantee future results. Always use proper stops and position sizing.
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