Intraday
Mid-Market Update — September 22, 2026
Mid-Market Update: 6 T1 ignitions, 5 bear signals. Live EdgeOS index regime, SPY key levels, and active setups.
TRADERVALUE
📊 Mid-Market Update
Tuesday, September 22
Hey TraderValue readers,
Here's the live mid-session read from EdgeOS.
📡 Market Regime — Index & Futures
Index & Futures Regime
1/6 Bull 0/6 Bear T1 WR 44%
| Index | Last | Count | Trend | Ext | Chart |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPY (S&P 500) | $773.50 | 🟢 Bull 1 | ✅ Conf Bull | EXT ⚠️ | 📈 Chart |
| QQQ (Nasdaq) | $741.47 | 🟢 Bull 1 | ✅ Conf Bull | EXT ⚠️ | 📈 Chart |
| IWM (Russell) | $285.58 | — Neutral | ⚪ Neutral | EXT ⚠️ | 📈 Chart |
| /ES (S&P Futs) | $7,829.50 | 🟢 Bull 2 | ✅ Conf Bull | EXT ⚠️ | 📈 Chart |
| /NQ (NQ Futs) | $30,787.25 | 🟢 Bull 2 | ✅ Conf Bull | EXT ⚠️ | 📈 Chart |
| /YM (Dow Futs) | $52,193.00 | — Neutral | ⚪ Neutral | EXT ⚠️ | 📈 Chart |
System is in a chop regime. T1 ignitions carry a 44% historical base rate. Tighten stops; avoid chasing extended setups.
6 T1 ignitions remain active mid-session. 6 at exhaustion — consider locking in gains. Avoid chasing setups with ext_score ≥ 1.2 (EXT tag).
EdgeOS · 7yr backtest · n=799k signals. Not investment advice. Always use proper position sizing and stops.
📈 SPY Chart
📐 SPY — Saty ATR Price Levels
📐 SPY — Saty ATR Key Levels
| ▲ ATR Extension Target (+1.618×) | $768.73 |
| ▲ Bull Trigger (+0.236×) | $763.35 |
| — Last Close | $773.50 |
| ▼ Bear Trigger (−0.236×) | $760.03 |
| ▼ ATR Support Target (−1.618×) | $754.65 |
Mid-session: hold above $763.35 is bullish; break below $760.03 shifts to defensive.
🟢 T1 Ignitions — Active Setups
🟢 T1 Ignitions — 6 Active (Bull = 1, SCTR > 9)
| Symbol | Last | Count | Trigger | Stop | SCTR · Ext |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. OKLL | $11.39 | Bull 1 | $10.54 (7.5% above) | $9.90 | 113 SCTR · Tight · 44% WR |
| 2. STRO | $40.91 | Bull 1 | $39.99 (2.3% above) | $38.64 | 53 SCTR · Tight · 44% WR |
| 3. TWST | $165.83 | Bull 1 | $169.37 (+2.1% to trigger) | $164.61 | 45 SCTR · Tight · 44% WR |
| 4. KZIA | $14.30 | Bull 1 | $14.37 (+0.5% to trigger) | $13.83 | 40 SCTR · Tight · 44% WR |
| 5. CDNA | $54.33 | Bull 1 | $54.33 (0.0% above) | $53.33 | 35 SCTR · Tight · 44% WR |
| 6. OKTA | $191.33 | Bull 1 | $184.61 (3.5% above) | $180.13 | 32 SCTR · Tight · 44% WR |
Buy > trigger price. Target: ATR extension. Stop: below bear trigger. Base rate: 44% (7yr)
⚠️ Approaching Exhaustion (Bull ≥ 9)
⚠️ Exhaustion Watch — 6 at Bull ≥ 9
| Symbol | Last | Count | ATR Target | Stop | SCTR · Ext |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. TCGL | $172.84 | Bull 9 ⚠️ | $173.00 (+0.1% to target) | $172.80 | 483 SCTR · EXT ⚠️ |
| 2. GGLS | $56.73 | Bull 14 ⚠️ | $59.11 (+4.2% to target) | $57.37 | 154 SCTR · EXT ⚠️ |
| 3. TZA | $44.19 | Bull 14 ⚠️ | $46.35 (+4.9% to target) | $44.52 | 134 SCTR · EXT ⚠️ |
| 4. UVIX | $37.39 | Bull 14 ⚠️ | $43.36 (+16.0% to target) | $40.05 | 91 SCTR · EXT ⚠️ |
| 5. ROMA | $7.93 | Bull 10 ⚠️ | $7.97 (+0.5% to target) | $6.91 | 76 SCTR · EXT ⚠️ |
| 6. STFS | $10.00 | Bull 14 ⚠️ | $11.35 (+13.5% to target) | $9.68 | 69 SCTR · EXT ⚠️ |
These are approaching or at exhaustion (bull ≥ 9). Consider trimming or tightening stops.
🔴 Bear Ignitions
🔴 Bear T1 Ignitions — 5 Active
| Symbol | Last | Count | Short Trigger | Stop | SCTR · Ext |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. RVSN | $6.83 | Bear 1 | $6.78 (−0.8% to trigger) | $7.12 | -17 SCTR · EXT ⚠️ |
| 2. KLRA | $11.99 | Bear 1 | $12.57 (4.8% below trigger) | $13.09 | -11 SCTR · EXT ⚠️ |
| 3. BBNX | $9.82 | Bear 1 | $9.68 (−1.4% to trigger) | $10.02 | -9 SCTR · EXT ⚠️ |
| 4. PSTV | $5.85 | Bear 1 | $5.90 (0.9% below trigger) | $6.18 | -9 SCTR · EXT ⚠️ |
| 5. IREZ | $7.47 | Bear 1 | $7.22 (−3.3% to trigger) | $8.04 | -9 SCTR · EXT ⚠️ |
Short < bear trigger. Target: lo_atr. Stop: above bull trigger. Bear WR in chop regime: 53%.
⏳ Brewing — Coiling Below Trigger
⏳ Brewing — Coiling Below Trigger
| Symbol | Last | Trigger | Distance | SCTR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WATT | $25.86 | $26.45 | +2.3% to trigger | SCTR 83 |
| VRTL | $205.06 | $211.19 | +3.0% to trigger | SCTR 52 |
| CLYM | $11.17 | $11.32 | +1.3% to trigger | SCTR 42 |
| IOVA | $10.19 | $10.38 | +1.9% to trigger | SCTR 40 |
| ABCL | $12.66 | $12.80 | +1.1% to trigger | SCTR 35 |
Set alerts at trigger price. These become T1 ignitions on breakout confirmation.
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Not investment advice. EdgeOS signals are based on historical pattern recognition.
Past win rates do not guarantee future results. Always use proper stops and position sizing.
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